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ASTS

BEARISH
$79.19 Live
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $80.39 (+1.5%)
$18.22 52W Range $129.89

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 28, 2026
Market cap
$30.1B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-39.0%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.44
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
AST SpaceMobile's deterministic health scores signal severe financial distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme operational weakness, with negative profitability, negative ROE and ROA, and a massive operating margin loss of -540.58%. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk, especially given the company's negative earnings and high revenue growth without profitability. Despite a 1239.9% YoY revenue surge and strong market momentum (420% 5Y return), the stock trades at an unsustainable 1624x Price/Sales and -77.94 Forward P/E, reflecting speculative valuation. Insider selling totaling $166.74M in six months further undermines confidence, signaling lack of internal conviction.

Key Strengths

Exceptional 1239.9% YoY revenue growth, indicating rapid market expansion
High gross margin of 68.68% suggests strong pricing power or low production costs
Significant 52-week price appreciation (+203.6% in 1 year) reflects strong market momentum
High current and quick ratios (9.56 and 9.10) indicate strong short-term liquidity
Market cap of $30.1B places it among top-tier tech innovators with high growth potential

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and operational failure
Negative ROE (-39.03%) and ROA (-10.16%) indicate poor capital efficiency and losses
Operating margin of -540.58% reflects catastrophic cost structure or revenue recognition issues
Insider selling of $166.74M in 6 months suggests lack of confidence from leadership
Valuation is extreme (1624x Price/Sales, -77.94 Forward P/E), unsustainable without sustained profitability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
20
Future
65
Past
40
Health
15
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Extremely low Piotroski F-Score (1/9), Negative profitability and return metrics, Speculative valuation with no earnings, Massive insider selling, High revenue growth without margin or cash flow support
Confidence
85%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • High gross margin (68.68%) suggests potential for future profitability
  • Strong revenue growth (1239.9% YoY) may justify premium valuation
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
  • Price/Sales of 1624.29 is astronomically high
  • Forward P/E of -77.94 indicates no earnings and negative expectations
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 1239.9% YoY revenue growth suggests explosive growth potential
  • High market cap and sector positioning indicate strong investor interest
Watchpoints
  • No operating or free cash flow data available
  • Negative ROIC and ROE suggest poor capital allocation
  • No earnings growth data, making future projections unreliable
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 52-week high of $129.89 and 5Y return of +420.3% show strong historical performance
  • Recent 1M drop (-34.7%) may reflect market correction or profit-taking
Watchpoints
  • Persistent negative profitability and margins over time
  • Declining technical trend (0/100) indicates bearish momentum
  • No dividend history or payout consistency
Health
15/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • High current and quick ratios (9.56, 9.10) suggest strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.44 is relatively low
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 is extremely low, indicating financial distress
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but negative ROE and margins suggest distress risk
  • Negative operating and net margins indicate fundamental operational failure
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100
  • Negative earnings make dividend sustainability impossible

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$79.19
Analyst Target
$80.39
Upside/Downside
+1.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASTS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-27
AST
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+420.3%
3Y
+1129.7%
1Y
+203.6%
6M
+61.8%
1M
-34.7%
1W
-1.3%
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
Peer
5Y
+71.7%
3Y
-7.6%
1Y
+102.0%
6M
+43.8%
1M
+21.0%
1W
+5.9%
GFS
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.
Peer
5Y
+5.0%
3Y
-28.1%
1Y
+34.6%
6M
+37.8%
1M
+4.4%
1W
+11.3%
TSE
Tower Semiconductor Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+670.1%
3Y
+401.1%
1Y
+536.3%
6M
+197.6%
1M
+37.2%
1W
+7.2%
WDA
Workday, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-49.0%
3Y
-37.1%
1Y
-44.4%
6M
-46.0%
1M
-3.0%
1W
+0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-77.94
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
17.36
P/S Ratio
1624.29
EV/Revenue
1181.22
EV/EBITDA
-95.04
Market Cap
$30.1B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -540.58%
Gross Margin 68.69%
ROE -39.03%
ROA -10.16%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1239.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.44
Low debt
Current Ratio
9.56
Strong
Quick Ratio
9.1
Excellent
Cash/Share
$4.34

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ASTS against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-39.03%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
+16.6% (Excellent)
Debt to Equity
0.44
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-40.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1239.9%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-71.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
9.56
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
+166.6% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LARSON KEITH R
Director
Buy
2025-12-24
625 shares · $50,000
LARSON KEITH R
Director
Buy
2025-12-17
715 shares · $50,064
GUPTA SHANTI B.
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2025-12-10
10,000 shares · $773,400
LARSON KEITH R
Director
Buy
2025-12-10
675 shares · $49,079
AMERICAN TOWER CORPORATION
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-12-09
2,288,621 shares · $159,631,315
YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2025-12-05
40,000 shares · $2,940,800
BERNAL MAYA
Officer
Sell
2025-12-05
6,000 shares · $442,560
JOHNSON ANDREW MARTIN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
125,000 shares
AVELLAN ABEL ANTONIO
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
250,000 shares
GUPTA SHANTI B.
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-02
125,000 shares
WISNIEWSKI SCOTT
President
Stock Award
2025-12-02
125,000 shares
JOHNSON ANDREW MARTIN
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-11-26
10,000 shares · $560,010
CISNEROS ADRIANA
Director
Buy
2025-11-20
750 shares · $38,092
YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-14
40,000 shares · $2,564
YAO HUIWEN
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2025-09-16
40,000 shares · $1,623,200
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
8 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2026-02-13
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
B. Riley Securities
2026-01-13
down
Buy Neutral
Scotiabank
2026-01-07
down
Sector Perform Sector Underperform
Scotiabank
2025-11-25
up
Sector Underperform Sector Perform
Clear Street
2025-11-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
B. Riley Securities
2025-10-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-10-17
down
Overweight Underweight
Scotiabank
2025-10-07
down
Sector Perform Sector Underperform
Barclays
2025-10-01
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-09-09
down
Buy Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ASTS from our newsroom.

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