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ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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ASTS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Communication Equipment
Current Price Live
$79.19
Analyst Target
$80.39
+1.5% Upside
52W High
$129.89
52W Low
$18.22

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AST SpaceMobile's deterministic health scores signal severe financial distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme operational weakness, with negative profitability, negative ROE and ROA, and a massive operating margin loss of -540.58%. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk, especially given the company's negative earnings and high revenue growth without profitability. Despite a 1239.9% YoY revenue surge and strong market momentum (420% 5Y return), the stock trades at an unsustainable 1624x Price/Sales and -77.94 Forward P/E, reflecting speculative valuation. Insider selling totaling $166.74M in six months further undermines confidence, signaling lack of internal conviction.

Key Strengths

Exceptional 1239.9% YoY revenue growth, indicating rapid market expansion
High gross margin of 68.68% suggests strong pricing power or low production costs
Significant 52-week price appreciation (+203.6% in 1 year) reflects strong market momentum
High current and quick ratios (9.56 and 9.10) indicate strong short-term liquidity
Market cap of $30.1B places it among top-tier tech innovators with high growth potential

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and operational failure
Negative ROE (-39.03%) and ROA (-10.16%) indicate poor capital efficiency and losses
Operating margin of -540.58% reflects catastrophic cost structure or revenue recognition issues
Insider selling of $166.74M in 6 months suggests lack of confidence from leadership
Valuation is extreme (1624x Price/Sales, -77.94 Forward P/E), unsustainable without sustained profitability

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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