AVAV
BEARISH
$307.75
Live
AeroVironment, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $388.62
(+26.3%)
$102.25
52W Range
$417.86
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$15.37B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-2.6%
Profit margin
-5.1%
Debt/Equity
0.19
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 0/9, indicating severe deterioration in core profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency. Despite explosive 150.7% year-over-year revenue growth and a bullish analyst consensus of 'strong_buy', the company is unprofitable (negative net and operating margins), burning equity (ROE of -2.64%), and trading at an elevated Forward P/E of 66.71. Persistent earnings misses over the last four quarters, declining YoY EPS, insider selling, and technical weakness in the short term (-21.7% weekly drop) further undermine valuation. While strong liquidity ratios suggest no immediate solvency risk, the lack of earnings quality and deteriorating fundamentals present substantial downside risk.
Key Strengths
Exceptional revenue growth of 150.7% YoY, significantly outpacing sector average of 16.5%
Exceptionally strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 5.08 and Quick Ratio of 4.15
Low leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19, well below sector average of 1.78
Bullish analyst consensus with a strong_buy rating from 16 analysts and a mean target price of $388.62
Strong historical price performance: +259% over 3 years and +69.5% over 1 year
Key Risks
Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 0/9, signaling severe financial distress and deteriorating fundamentals
Negative profitability across all metrics: profit margin (-5.08%), operating margin (-6.40%), and ROE (-2.64%)
Earnings volatility and consistent misses: 3 out of last 4 quarters missed estimates with an average surprise of -11.74%
Insider selling trend: $2.15M in insider sales over the last 6 months with zero buy transactions
Sharp technical reversal: -21.7% weekly price drop despite strong long-term returns, suggesting weakening momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$215.43
-30.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
27
Weak
20
65
40
10
0
AI Verdict
High-risk growth stock with deteriorating fundamentals and unsustainable valuation
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 0 severely penalizes health, Negative earnings and margins contradict high valuation, Revenue growth and analyst optimism provide partial offset, Insider selling and recent price weakness add downside pressure, Liquidity strength and low debt provide limited buffer
Confidence
80%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.19) supports capital structure safety
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 66.71 is extremely high relative to unprofitable status
- Price/Sales of 11.22 indicates significant premium to sales
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available due to unprofitability
- Negative earnings invalidate traditional P/E and PEG metrics
Future
65/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 150.7% YoY revenue growth is exceptional
- Analyst target price implies 26% upside
- Q/Q EPS growth of +37.5% shows recent improvement
Watchpoints
- YoY EPS growth is negative (-6.4%)
- Earnings growth inconsistent and unreliable
- No EV/EBITDA or forward guidance to validate sustainability
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +129.3% outperforms many peers
- History of large earnings surprises (both positive and negative)
Watchpoints
- Earnings misses in 3 of last 4 quarters
- Negative earnings reported in 2022-09-07
- High volatility in EPS with no clear upward trend
Health
10/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 5.08 indicates strong short-term liquidity
- Quick Ratio of 4.15 shows ample liquid assets
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicates critical financial weakness
- Negative ROE (-2.64%) and ROA (-1.24%)
- Profit and operating margins deeply negative
- No Altman Z-Score available, but financial instability evident
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Yield is N/A
- Dividend Strength score of 0/100
- No dividend payouts in history (Payout Ratio 0.00%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$307.75
Analyst Target
$388.62
Upside/Downside
+26.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AVAV and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
Primary
|
+129.3% | +259.0% | +69.5% | +12.8% | +18.1% | -21.7% |
|
IEX
IDEX Corporation
Peer
|
-1.9% | +4.7% | +21.0% | +24.2% | +11.2% | +0.5% |
|
NDSN
Nordson Corporation
Peer
|
+44.4% | +33.0% | +53.4% | +20.3% | +4.2% | +5.1% |
|
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
Peer
|
+98.8% | +74.3% | -4.5% | +6.9% | +5.9% | -0.5% |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
Peer
|
+58.8% | +52.9% | +26.2% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +1.1% |
AVA
AeroVironment, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+129.3%
3Y
+259.0%
1Y
+69.5%
6M
+12.8%
1M
+18.1%
1W
-21.7%
IEX
IDEX Corporation
Peer
5Y
-1.9%
3Y
+4.7%
1Y
+21.0%
6M
+24.2%
1M
+11.2%
1W
+0.5%
NDS
Nordson Corporation
Peer
5Y
+44.4%
3Y
+33.0%
1Y
+53.4%
6M
+20.3%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+5.1%
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+98.8%
3Y
+74.3%
1Y
-4.5%
6M
+6.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-0.5%
ALL
Allegion plc
Peer
5Y
+58.8%
3Y
+52.9%
1Y
+26.2%
6M
+0.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
+1.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
66.71
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.46
P/S Ratio
11.22
EV/Revenue
11.34
EV/EBITDA
147.53
Market Cap
$15.37B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-5.08%
Operating Margin
-6.4%
Gross Margin
26.8%
ROE
-2.64%
ROA
-1.24%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+150.7%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.19
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.08
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.15
Excellent
Cash/Share
$11.84
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-03
$N/A
2025-12-09
$0.44
-44.2% surprise
2025-09-09
$0.32
-6.7% surprise
2025-06-24
$1.61
+15.7% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AVAV against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-2.64%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-86.4%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-5.08%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-176.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.19
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-92.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
150.7%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
+111.4%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
5.08
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
+64.4%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $15.37B | - | -2.6% | -5.1% | $307.75 | |
|
IEX
IDEX Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $15.42B | 32.35 | 12.3% | 14.0% | $207.39 | Compare |
|
NDSN
Nordson Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $15.56B | 30.13 | 17.5% | 18.4% | $279.01 | Compare |
|
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
|
BEARISH | $14.72B | 20.96 | 34.9% | 14.8% | $360.07 | Compare |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
|
NEUTRAL | $14.35B | 22.57 | 36.4% | 16.1% | $166.8 | Compare |
AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$15.4B
P/E
-
ROE
-2.6%
Price
$307.75
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | PAGE STEPHEN F | Director | Sale | 1,000 | $377,620 |
| 2026-01-12 | MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 999 | $367,232 |
| 2025-12-30 | SHACKLEY BRIAN CHARLES | Officer | Sale | 200 | $50,184 |
| 2025-12-10 | MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 511 | $127,428 |
| 2025-11-10 | MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 513 | $170,039 |
| 2025-10-10 | MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 998 | $398,941 |
| 2025-10-06 | STEVENSON TRACE E | Officer | Sale | 1,717 | $654,177 |
PAGE STEPHEN F
Director
2026-01-15
1,000 shares
·
$377,620
MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-12
999 shares
·
$367,232
SHACKLEY BRIAN CHARLES
Officer
2025-12-30
200 shares
·
$50,184
MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-10
511 shares
·
$127,428
MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
2025-11-10
513 shares
·
$170,039
MCDONNELL KEVIN PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
2025-10-10
998 shares
·
$398,941
STEVENSON TRACE E
Officer
2025-10-06
1,717 shares
·
$654,177
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
16 analysts
Keybanc
2025-12-19
Overweight
Goldman Sachs
2025-12-12
Buy
Buy
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-10
Buy
Buy
Citizens
2025-12-10
Market Outperform
Market Outperform
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-12-10
Overweight
Overweight
Needham
2025-12-10
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2025-12-08
Outperform
Outperform
BTIG
2025-11-24
Buy
Buy
Piper Sandler
2025-11-20
Overweight
Canaccord Genuity
2025-10-07
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AVAV from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.