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ALLE Allegion plc - Fundamental Analysis

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ALLE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Security & Protection Services
Current Price Live
$166.8
Analyst Target
$181.54
+8.8% Upside
52W High
$180.68
52W Low
$116.57

At a glance

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
ALLE's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive distress risk assessment. The company trades above its Graham Number of $61.34 at a current price of $166.80, reflecting a significant premium, though justified in part by solid profitability metrics including a 36.41% ROE and consistent earnings growth. Despite strong historical earnings surprises and solid margins, elevated valuation multiples and bearish insider activity temper upside potential. Analysts concur with a 'hold' recommendation, aligning with the neutral stance.

Key Strengths

Exceptional return on equity (36.41%) well above sector average (8.29%) indicating efficient capital use
Consistent revenue and earnings growth with 10.70% YoY revenue growth and strong quarterly EPS beats
High gross margin (45.12%) reflecting pricing power and cost control in the security solutions market
Low payout ratio (27.20%) provides dividend sustainability and reinvestment flexibility
Strong operating margin (21.86%) demonstrating operational efficiency

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health with potential weaknesses in profitability or leverage trends
Valuation appears stretched with P/E of 22.57 and Price/Book of 7.37 exceeding sector averages
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.78M in net selling and no insider buys in the last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates weak price momentum and potential near-term downside pressure
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, ROIC) limits comprehensive leverage and cash flow analysis
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$157.04
-5.9% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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