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ALLE

NEUTRAL
$166.8 Live
Allegion plc · NYSE
Target $181.54 (+8.8%)
$116.57 52W Range $180.68

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$14.35B
P/E
22.57
ROE
36.4%
Profit margin
16.1%
Debt/Equity
1.16
Dividend yield
1.22%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
ALLE's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive distress risk assessment. The company trades above its Graham Number of $61.34 at a current price of $166.80, reflecting a significant premium, though justified in part by solid profitability metrics including a 36.41% ROE and consistent earnings growth. Despite strong historical earnings surprises and solid margins, elevated valuation multiples and bearish insider activity temper upside potential. Analysts concur with a 'hold' recommendation, aligning with the neutral stance.

Key Strengths

Exceptional return on equity (36.41%) well above sector average (8.29%) indicating efficient capital use
Consistent revenue and earnings growth with 10.70% YoY revenue growth and strong quarterly EPS beats
High gross margin (45.12%) reflecting pricing power and cost control in the security solutions market
Low payout ratio (27.20%) provides dividend sustainability and reinvestment flexibility
Strong operating margin (21.86%) demonstrating operational efficiency

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health with potential weaknesses in profitability or leverage trends
Valuation appears stretched with P/E of 22.57 and Price/Book of 7.37 exceeding sector averages
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.78M in net selling and no insider buys in the last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates weak price momentum and potential near-term downside pressure
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, ROIC) limits comprehensive leverage and cash flow analysis
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$157.04
-5.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
62
Strong
Value
55
Future
70
Past
75
Health
60
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if growth sustains and valuation contracts
Key drivers: High profitability metrics (ROE, margins), Consistent earnings beat history, Elevated valuation multiples, Weak insider sentiment, Stable but not strong Piotroski score
Confidence
75%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 18.82 is lower than current P/E, suggesting earnings growth expectations
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $157.04 provides support
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($166.80) exceeds both Graham Number ($61.34) and intrinsic value
  • P/B of 7.37 is very high, indicating possible overvaluation
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 10.70% YoY revenue growth outpaces sector average of 16.35% only due to outlier peers
  • Strong Q/Q EPS growth of 12.7%
  • Analyst target price of $181.55 implies 8.8% upside
Watchpoints
  • PEG Ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation analysis
  • Forward P/E still above market norms
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 24 out of 25 quarters beat EPS estimates, with frequent double-digit surprises
  • 5Y price return of +58.8% shows strong long-term performance
  • Consistent improvement in EPS over time
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6M return of +0.8% shows stagnation
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.77 and quick ratio of 1.01 indicate adequate short-term liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 1.16 is manageable and below sector average of 1.54
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates below-average financial strength
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable limits distress risk evaluation
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 27.20% ensures sustainability
  • Dividend Strength score of 25/100 suggests room for future increases
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 1.22% is below average income stock
  • Lack of 5-year yield data limits trend analysis

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$166.8
Analyst Target
$181.54
Upside/Downside
+8.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALLE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ALL
Allegion plc
Primary
5Y
+58.8%
3Y
+52.9%
1Y
+26.2%
6M
+0.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
+1.1%
GFL
GFL Environmental Inc.
Peer
5Y
+21.1%
3Y
+9.7%
1Y
-18.3%
6M
-12.5%
1M
+1.9%
1W
+0.6%
STR
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+2160.6%
3Y
+1158.9%
1Y
+230.5%
6M
+30.4%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+3.9%
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+90.3%
3Y
+89.6%
1Y
+59.9%
6M
+19.7%
1M
-6.1%
1W
-8.6%
LEC
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+125.3%
3Y
+66.6%
1Y
+46.8%
6M
+13.2%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+5.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
22.57
Forward P/E
18.82
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
7.37
P/S Ratio
3.61
EV/Revenue
4.1
EV/EBITDA
16.96
Market Cap
$14.35B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 16.09%
Operating Margin 21.86%
Gross Margin 45.12%
ROE 36.41%
ROA 10.39%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +10.7%
Earnings Growth +9.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +8.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.16
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.77
Good
Quick Ratio
1.01
Good
Cash/Share
$3.52

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-17
$N/A
2025-10-23
$2.3
+2.5% surprise
2025-07-24
$2.04
+2.7% surprise
2025-04-24
$1.86
+11.2% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ALLE against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.57
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-77.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
36.41%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-287.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
16.09%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+141.9% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.16
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-55.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
10.7%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-85.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.77
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-42.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PETERS LAUREN B
Director
Buy
2025-11-25
1,600 shares · $264,705
ECKERSLEY TIMOTHY P
Officer
Sell
2025-08-07
10,810 shares · $1,781,070
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
11 analysts
Barclays
2026-01-07
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2025-12-16
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-10-24
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Baird
2025-10-21
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-10-06
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-10-01
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Goldman Sachs
2025-09-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-08-14
up
Underweight Equal-Weight
B of A Securities
2025-07-29
up
Underperform Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALLE from our newsroom.

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