STRL
NEUTRAL
$463.65
Live
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $494.25
(+6.6%)
$129.21
52W Range
$477.03
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$14.23B
P/E
49.48
ROE
32.0%
Profit margin
11.7%
Debt/Equity
0.32
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
STRL exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and a very healthy Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32. However, there is a massive divergence between the current market price ($463.65) and deterministic value markers, with a Graham Number of $87.27 and an Intrinsic Value of $65.59. While revenue growth is explosive at 51.5% and the company has a stellar track record of earnings beats, the valuation is stretched (P/B of 12.83) and insider sentiment is heavily bearish. The stock is currently a high-growth momentum play trading at a significant premium to its fundamental value.
Key Strengths
Exceptional revenue growth (51.5% YoY)
Strong profitability with ROE of 32.05% and Operating Margin of 15.29%
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates over 25 quarters
Massive long-term price appreciation (2160% over 5 years)
Key Risks
Extreme valuation premium relative to Graham and Intrinsic values
Heavy insider selling, specifically by the CEO ($69.23M total sell value)
Tight liquidity indicated by a Current Ratio of 1.01 and Quick Ratio of 0.98
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential peak
High Price-to-Book ratio (12.83) indicating high sensitivity to growth misses
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$145.5
-68.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
55
Moderate
20
85
95
75
0
AI Verdict
Growth-Driven Premium
Key drivers: Hyper-growth revenue, Extreme valuation gap, Insider divestment, Strong operational efficiency
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E 49.48, Graham Number $87.27
Positives
- Forward P/E (29.26) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is >5x the Graham Number
- P/B ratio of 12.83 is excessive
- PEG ratio of 2.32 suggests overvaluation relative to growth
Future
85/100
Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets
Positives
- 51.5% YoY Revenue growth
- Strong analyst target price of $494.25
- Consistent earnings surprise trend
Watchpoints
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline (-11.5%)
Past
95/100
Ref Historical price and earnings trends
Positives
- 2160% 5-year return
- Consistent earnings beats for years
- Strong upward trajectory in EPS
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
75/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 (Stable)
- Low Debt/Equity (0.32)
Watchpoints
- Current ratio barely above 1.0
- Lack of Altman Z-Score data
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield and Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- 0% payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$463.65
Analyst Target
$494.25
Upside/Downside
+6.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for STRL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Primary
|
+2160.6% | +1158.9% | +230.5% | +30.4% | +10.1% | +3.9% |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
Peer
|
+58.8% | +52.9% | +26.2% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +1.1% |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+125.3% | +66.6% | +46.8% | +13.2% | -3.6% | +5.2% |
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
|
+128.2% | +153.3% | +37.6% | +27.2% | +14.1% | -1.1% |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
|
+191.8% | +69.7% | -27.2% | -10.3% | +17.6% | -3.5% |
STR
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+2160.6%
3Y
+1158.9%
1Y
+230.5%
6M
+30.4%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+3.9%
ALL
Allegion plc
Peer
5Y
+58.8%
3Y
+52.9%
1Y
+26.2%
6M
+0.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
+1.1%
LEC
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+125.3%
3Y
+66.6%
1Y
+46.8%
6M
+13.2%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+5.2%
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
5Y
+128.2%
3Y
+153.3%
1Y
+37.6%
6M
+27.2%
1M
+14.1%
1W
-1.1%
BLD
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+191.8%
3Y
+69.7%
1Y
-27.2%
6M
-10.3%
1M
+17.6%
1W
-3.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
49.48
Forward P/E
29.26
PEG Ratio
2.32
P/B Ratio
12.83
P/S Ratio
5.71
EV/Revenue
5.69
EV/EBITDA
28.87
Market Cap
$14.23B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
11.65%
Operating Margin
15.29%
Gross Margin
22.98%
ROE
32.05%
ROA
11.11%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+51.5%
Earnings Growth
-22.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+51.48%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-22.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.32
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.01
Good
Quick Ratio
0.98
Poor
Cash/Share
$12.75
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
21.7%
Op. Margin
15.3%
Net Margin
11.6%
Total Assets
$2.6B
Liabilities
$1.5B
Equity
$1.1B
Debt/Equity
1.38x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
86%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-25
$3.08
+17.0% surprise
2025-11-03
$3.48
+22.6% surprise
2025-08-04
$2.51
+11.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing STRL against 334 companies in the Industrials sector
(22 bullish, 111 neutral, 201 bearish)
P/E Ratio
49.48
This Stock
vs
77.28
Sector Avg
-36.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
32.05%
This Stock
vs
-26.82%
Sector Avg
-219.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.65%
This Stock
vs
7.97%
Sector Avg
+46.3%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.32
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-90.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
51.5%
This Stock
vs
95.45%
Sector Avg
-46.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.01
This Stock
vs
3.34
Sector Avg
-69.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $14.23B | 49.48 | 32.0% | 11.7% | $463.65 | |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
|
NEUTRAL | $14.35B | 22.57 | 36.4% | 16.1% | $166.8 | Compare |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $14.05B | 27.47 | 37.2% | 12.3% | $256.26 | Compare |
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.74B | 25.07 | 26.2% | 10.8% | $488.33 | Compare |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.53B | 23.76 | 13.6% | 3.8% | $122.36 | Compare |
STRL
Sterling...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$14.2B
P/E
49.5
ROE
32.0%
Price
$463.65
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | CUTILLO JOSEPH A | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 50,000 | $22,674,175 |
| 2026-03-12 | WILSON DWAYNE ANDREE | Director | Sale | 1,260 | $511,496 |
| 2026-03-10 | CUTILLO JOSEPH A | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 100,000 | $41,212,646 |
| 2026-03-09 | DILL JULIE ANN | Director | Sale | 4,500 | $1,729,246 |
| 2026-03-05 | WILSON DWAYNE ANDREE | Director | Sale | 1,200 | $494,832 |
| 2026-02-25 | CUTILLO JOSEPH A | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 30,488 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | WOLF MARK D | General Counsel | Stock Award | 2,996 | - |
| 2026-02-09 | O'BRIEN DANA C | Director | Sale | 4,000 | $1,610,000 |
| 2026-01-16 | WILSON DWAYNE ANDREE | Director | Sale | 2,860 | $1,001,000 |
| 2025-12-31 | CUTILLO JOSEPH A | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 8,046 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | WOLF MARK D | General Counsel | Stock Award | 463 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | GOVIN DAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 1,807 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | GRINDSTAFF NICHOLAS M | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,029 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | WOLF MARK D | General Counsel | Gift | 50 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | O'BRIEN DANA C | Director | Gift | 1,000 | - |
CUTILLO JOSEPH A
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-25
50,000 shares
·
$22,674,175
WILSON DWAYNE ANDREE
Director
2026-03-12
1,260 shares
·
$511,496
CUTILLO JOSEPH A
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-10
100,000 shares
·
$41,212,646
DILL JULIE ANN
Director
2026-03-09
4,500 shares
·
$1,729,246
WILSON DWAYNE ANDREE
Director
2026-03-05
1,200 shares
·
$494,832
CUTILLO JOSEPH A
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-25
30,488 shares
WOLF MARK D
General Counsel
2026-02-25
2,996 shares
O'BRIEN DANA C
Director
2026-02-09
4,000 shares
·
$1,610,000
WILSON DWAYNE ANDREE
Director
2026-01-16
2,860 shares
·
$1,001,000
CUTILLO JOSEPH A
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-31
8,046 shares
WOLF MARK D
General Counsel
2025-12-31
463 shares
GOVIN DAN
Chief Operating Officer
2025-12-31
1,807 shares
GRINDSTAFF NICHOLAS M
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-31
1,029 shares
WOLF MARK D
General Counsel
2025-12-15
50 shares
O'BRIEN DANA C
Director
2025-11-12
1,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
Argus Research
2026-04-16
Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-03-02
Overweight
Overweight
DA Davidson
2026-02-27
Buy
Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-01-23
Overweight
DA Davidson
2025-11-05
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning STRL from our newsroom.
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