BLD
NEUTRAL
$488.33
Live
TopBuild Corp. · NYSE
Target $488.6
(+0.1%)
$266.26
52W Range
$509.36
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$13.74B
P/E
25.07
ROE
26.2%
Profit margin
10.8%
Debt/Equity
1.39
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
68%
TopBuild Corp. (BLD) shows strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational performance and balance sheet strength. However, the lack of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment, while elevated valuation multiples and declining earnings growth raise concerns. Despite strong historical price performance, recent insider selling and weakening fundamentals suggest caution. The stock trades significantly above both the Graham Number ($186.72) and intrinsic value estimate ($136.36), implying high investor expectations that may not be fully supported by current fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 reflects robust accounting health and operational efficiency
High profitability metrics: ROE of 26.18%, ROA of 9.72%, and operating margin of 16.39%
Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 2.90 and quick ratio of 2.39
Significant long-term price appreciation: +153.3% over 3 years and +37.6% over 1 year
Low peer-relative debt levels compared to sector average Debt/Equity of 5.41 (BLD at 1.39)
Key Risks
Earnings under pressure with YoY EPS decline of 11.3% and Q/Q drop of 5.3%
Revenue growth is minimal at just 1.40% YoY, below sector average of 17.50%
Valuation appears stretched: P/E of 25.07 vs sector average of 75.62 but with lower growth than peers
Recent insider selling activity totaling $10.93M over last 6 months signals management skepticism
Stock trades at a large premium to defensive fair value (Graham Number $186.72 vs current price $488.33)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$220.0
-54.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
51
Moderate
38
42
75
78
20
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with significant valuation and growth concerns
Key drivers: High profitability and strong Piotroski score support quality, Premium valuation and declining earnings pressure downside risk, Insider selling contrasts with bullish analyst recommendation
Confidence
70%
Value
38/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 25.07 below sector average of 75.62
Watchpoints
- Price significantly above Graham Number ($186.72)
- Price above intrinsic value estimate ($136.36)
- High Price/Book ratio of 6.14 suggests overvaluation
Future
42/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E of 23.31 suggests modest earnings improvement expected
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of 1.40% YoY is weak
- Earnings growth declining at -10.80% YoY
- Q/Q earnings down -15.80%, indicating accelerating weakness
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong historical earnings surprises, especially in 2020–2023
- Consistent revenue and earnings growth prior to recent slowdown
- 5-year price return of +128.2% outperforms most peers
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show deteriorating performance: only 1 beat in last 4 quarters
- Average earnings surprise turned negative (-1.1%) in last 4 quarters
Health
78/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health
- Current ratio of 2.90 and quick ratio of 2.39 show excellent liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 1.39 below sector average of 5.41
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score not available, limiting distress risk analysis
- No data on total cash or debt levels to confirm leverage sustainability
Dividend
20/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid (payout ratio 0.00%)
- Dividend strength score of 0/100
- No yield or ex-dividend date information
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$488.33
Analyst Target
$488.6
Upside/Downside
+0.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BLD and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Primary
|
+128.2% | +153.3% | +37.6% | +27.2% | +14.1% | -1.1% |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
|
+191.8% | +69.7% | -27.2% | -10.3% | +17.6% | -3.5% |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+125.3% | +66.6% | +46.8% | +13.2% | -3.6% | +5.2% |
|
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+90.3% | +89.6% | +59.9% | +19.7% | -6.1% | -8.6% |
|
GGG
Graco Inc.
Peer
|
+11.3% | +5.5% | +0.4% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -7.6% |
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Primary
5Y
+128.2%
3Y
+153.3%
1Y
+37.6%
6M
+27.2%
1M
+14.1%
1W
-1.1%
BLD
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+191.8%
3Y
+69.7%
1Y
-27.2%
6M
-10.3%
1M
+17.6%
1W
-3.5%
LEC
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+125.3%
3Y
+66.6%
1Y
+46.8%
6M
+13.2%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+5.2%
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+90.3%
3Y
+89.6%
1Y
+59.9%
6M
+19.7%
1M
-6.1%
1W
-8.6%
GGG
Graco Inc.
Peer
5Y
+11.3%
3Y
+5.5%
1Y
+0.4%
6M
-1.1%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-7.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
25.07
Forward P/E
23.31
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.14
P/S Ratio
2.62
EV/Revenue
2.98
EV/EBITDA
15.43
Market Cap
$13.74B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
10.84%
Operating Margin
16.39%
Gross Margin
29.97%
ROE
26.18%
ROA
9.72%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+1.4%
Earnings Growth
-10.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-15.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.39
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.9
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.39
Excellent
Cash/Share
$40.93
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-11-04
$5.04
-2.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$5.32
+4.1% surprise
2025-05-06
$4.23
-4.8% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing BLD against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.07
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-74.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
26.18%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-235.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
10.84%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+63.0%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.39
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-47.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.4%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-98.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.9
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-6.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.74B | 25.07 | 26.2% | 10.8% | $488.33 | |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.53B | 23.76 | 13.6% | 3.8% | $122.36 | Compare |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $14.05B | 27.47 | 37.2% | 12.3% | $256.26 | Compare |
|
HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $14.11B | 23.3 | 12.4% | 4.8% | $358.4 | Compare |
|
GGG
Graco Inc.
|
BEARISH | $13.37B | 26.32 | 19.8% | 23.0% | $80.54 | Compare |
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$13.7B
P/E
25.1
ROE
26.2%
Price
$488.33
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | BUCK ROBERT M | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 5,000 | $2,266,950 |
| 2025-12-04 | TAYLOR NANCY MADDI | Director | Gift | 71 | - |
| 2025-11-26 | MACHADO LUIS FRANCISCO | General Counsel | Sale | 1,000 | $450,400 |
| 2025-11-24 | BAUTISTA ERNESTOIII | Director | Sale | 130 | $56,199 |
| 2025-11-07 | BUCK ROBERT M | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 5,000 | $2,090,050 |
| 2025-09-02 | DONIKOWSKI TINA M | Director | Gift | 465 | - |
| 2025-08-27 | DONIKOWSKI TINA M | Director | Sale | 370 | $158,319 |
| 2025-08-22 | KUHNS ROBERT M | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 1,350 | $590,584 |
| 2025-08-22 | SHOFFNER JENNIFER | Officer | Option Exercise | 1,473 | $648,562 |
| 2025-08-12 | VISELLI JOSEPH M | Officer | Sale | 467 | $194,010 |
| 2025-08-08 | KUHNS ROBERT M | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 3,600 | $1,501,592 |
| 2025-08-07 | BUCK ROBERT M | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 7,350 | $3,051,646 |
| 2025-08-07 | MACHADO LUIS FRANCISCO | General Counsel | Sale | 990 | $410,870 |
| 2025-08-07 | KRESTANCIC JEFFREY M. | Officer | Sale | 373 | $154,795 |
| 2025-08-07 | KUHNS ROBERT M | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 313 | $131,710 |
BUCK ROBERT M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-11
5,000 shares
·
$2,266,950
TAYLOR NANCY MADDI
Director
2025-12-04
71 shares
MACHADO LUIS FRANCISCO
General Counsel
2025-11-26
1,000 shares
·
$450,400
BAUTISTA ERNESTOIII
Director
2025-11-24
130 shares
·
$56,199
BUCK ROBERT M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-07
5,000 shares
·
$2,090,050
DONIKOWSKI TINA M
Director
2025-09-02
465 shares
DONIKOWSKI TINA M
Director
2025-08-27
370 shares
·
$158,319
KUHNS ROBERT M
Chief Financial Officer
2025-08-22
1,350 shares
·
$590,584
SHOFFNER JENNIFER
Officer
2025-08-22
1,473 shares
·
$648,562
VISELLI JOSEPH M
Officer
2025-08-12
467 shares
·
$194,010
KUHNS ROBERT M
Chief Financial Officer
2025-08-08
3,600 shares
·
$1,501,592
BUCK ROBERT M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-08-07
7,350 shares
·
$3,051,646
MACHADO LUIS FRANCISCO
General Counsel
2025-08-07
990 shares
·
$410,870
KRESTANCIC JEFFREY M.
Officer
2025-08-07
373 shares
·
$154,795
KUHNS ROBERT M
Chief Financial Officer
2025-08-07
313 shares
·
$131,710
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-01-14
Overweight
Overweight
Jefferies
2025-12-15
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-12-10
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2025-11-20
Sector Perform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-17
Overweight
DA Davidson
2025-11-05
Buy
Buy
Benchmark
2025-11-05
Buy
Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-05
In-Line
In-Line
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-09
Buy
Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2025-10-09
In-Line
In-Line
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BLD from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.