BLDR
NEUTRAL
$122.36
Live
Builders FirstSource, Inc. · NYSE
Target $131.0
(+7.1%)
$94.35
52W Range
$175.12
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$13.53B
P/E
23.76
ROE
13.6%
Profit margin
3.8%
Debt/Equity
1.18
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
The company exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational and balance sheet fundamentals. However, despite this strength, the business is facing significant near-term headwinds, evidenced by sharp year-over-year declines in revenue (-6.9%) and earnings (-54.9%), which are weighing on performance. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading at a premium to both Graham’s defensive value ($67.26) and growth-based intrinsic value ($36.05), though below the sector’s elevated average P/E. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $131.00 target, implying upside potential if macro or operational conditions improve.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 reflects robust financial health and consistent profitability trends.
Solid liquidity position with a current ratio of 1.79 and quick ratio of 1.08, indicating good short-term solvency.
ROE of 13.56% exceeds sector average of 6.37%, signaling efficient use of equity capital.
Debt/Equity of 1.18 is manageable and below the sector average of 5.37, reducing leverage risk.
Historically strong quarterly earnings surprises, with 10 of the last 12 quarters beating estimates by double digits at peak.
Key Risks
Sharp earnings contraction: YoY EPS down 64.2% and Q/Q down 53.8%, indicating severe profitability pressure.
Revenue declining YoY by 6.9%, reversing prior growth trends and suggesting demand or pricing challenges.
Current price of $122.36 is nearly double the Graham Number ($67.26), implying limited margin of safety for value investors.
No Altman Z-Score available prevents definitive assessment of bankruptcy risk, creating analytical uncertainty.
Insider sentiment is neutral with zero buy/sell activity in the last six months, signaling lack of conviction from insiders.
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$85.0
-30.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
53
Moderate
50
40
75
80
20
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant near-term risks
Key drivers: High Piotroski score supports underlying health, Earnings and revenue declines pressure future outlook, Valuation premium to Graham and intrinsic models, Analyst target implies 7% upside
Confidence
75%
Value
50/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 23.76 below sector average of 75.01
- Price/Sales of 0.86 suggests revenue-based undervaluation
Watchpoints
- Stock trades at 82% premium to Graham Number ($67.26)
- Intrinsic value estimate ($36.05) far below current price
- Forward P/E still elevated relative to earnings decline
Future
40/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E of 19.38 suggests expected earnings recovery
- Analyst target price implies confidence in rebound
Watchpoints
- Revenue Growth (YoY): -6.90%
- Earnings Growth (YoY): -54.90%
- Q/Q Earnings Growth: -57.00%
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent history of beating earnings estimates
- Long streak of double-digit earnings surprises from 2020–2023
- Strong profitability margins relative to peers
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show reversal in earnings trajectory
- Last 4 quarters show declining earnings progression
Health
80/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health
- Current ratio of 1.79 and quick ratio of 1.08 show solid liquidity
Watchpoints
- No Altman Z-Score available limits distress risk analysis
- Debt/Equity of 1.18, while acceptable, adds leverage
Dividend
20/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 0% provides capital retention flexibility
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Dividend Strength score of 0/100 indicates no income appeal
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$122.36
Analyst Target
$131.0
Upside/Downside
+7.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BLDR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Primary
|
+191.8% | +69.7% | -27.2% | -10.3% | +17.6% | -3.5% |
|
GGG
Graco Inc.
Peer
|
+11.3% | +5.5% | +0.4% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -7.6% |
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
|
+128.2% | +153.3% | +37.6% | +27.2% | +14.1% | -1.1% |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Peer
|
+149.5% | +445.7% | +121.8% | -25.7% | -20.9% | +4.5% |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+125.3% | +66.6% | +46.8% | +13.2% | -3.6% | +5.2% |
BLD
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+191.8%
3Y
+69.7%
1Y
-27.2%
6M
-10.3%
1M
+17.6%
1W
-3.5%
GGG
Graco Inc.
Peer
5Y
+11.3%
3Y
+5.5%
1Y
+0.4%
6M
-1.1%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-7.6%
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
5Y
+128.2%
3Y
+153.3%
1Y
+37.6%
6M
+27.2%
1M
+14.1%
1W
-1.1%
KTO
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+149.5%
3Y
+445.7%
1Y
+121.8%
6M
-25.7%
1M
-20.9%
1W
+4.5%
LEC
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+125.3%
3Y
+66.6%
1Y
+46.8%
6M
+13.2%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+5.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
23.76
Forward P/E
19.38
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.13
P/S Ratio
0.86
EV/Revenue
1.17
EV/EBITDA
11.44
Market Cap
$13.53B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.79%
Operating Margin
5.8%
Gross Margin
30.97%
ROE
13.56%
ROA
5.76%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-6.9%
Earnings Growth
-54.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-57.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.18
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.79
Good
Quick Ratio
1.08
Good
Cash/Share
$2.68
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-17
$N/A
2025-10-30
$1.1
-3.2% surprise
2025-07-31
$2.38
+1.6% surprise
2025-05-01
$1.51
+6.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing BLDR against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.76
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-75.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.56%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-169.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.79%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-43.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.18
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-55.3%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-6.9%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-109.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.79
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-42.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.53B | 23.76 | 13.6% | 3.8% | $122.36 | |
|
GGG
Graco Inc.
|
BEARISH | $13.37B | 26.32 | 19.8% | 23.0% | $80.54 | Compare |
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.74B | 25.07 | 26.2% | 10.8% | $488.33 | Compare |
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security...
|
BEARISH | $13.18B | 541.08 | 1.3% | 1.6% | $70.34 | Compare |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $14.05B | 27.47 | 37.2% | 12.3% | $256.26 | Compare |
BLDR
Builders...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$13.5B
P/E
23.8
ROE
13.6%
Price
$122.36
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | BECKMANN PETE | Chief Financial Officer | Gift | 2,000 | - |
| 2025-12-04 | RUSH DAVID E. | Director | Gift | 1,000 | - |
| 2025-12-01 | BOYDSTON CORY JACOBS | Director | Stock Award | 278 | $31,200 |
| 2025-12-01 | O'LEARY JAMES S | Director | Stock Award | 334 | $37,485 |
| 2025-12-01 | LEVY PAUL S | Director | Stock Award | 712 | $79,908 |
| 2025-12-01 | RENZ MARIA | Director | Stock Award | 278 | $31,200 |
| 2025-12-01 | CHARLES DIRKSON R | Director | Stock Award | 278 | $31,200 |
| 2025-12-01 | ALEXANDER MARK ADAM | Director | Stock Award | 278 | $31,200 |
| 2025-12-01 | HAYES WILLIAM B | Director | Stock Award | 345 | $38,719 |
| 2025-12-01 | STEINKE CRAIG ARTHUR | Director | Stock Award | 334 | $37,485 |
| 2025-11-05 | JACKSON PETER M | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 1,755 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | RUSH DAVID E. | Director | Stock Award | 24,307 | $2,947,224 |
| 2025-08-29 | BOYDSTON CORY JACOBS | Director | Stock Award | 225 | $31,203 |
| 2025-08-29 | O'LEARY JAMES S | Director | Stock Award | 270 | $37,444 |
| 2025-08-29 | LEVY PAUL S | Director | Stock Award | 576 | $79,880 |
BECKMANN PETE
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-11
2,000 shares
RUSH DAVID E.
Director
2025-12-04
1,000 shares
BOYDSTON CORY JACOBS
Director
2025-12-01
278 shares
·
$31,200
O'LEARY JAMES S
Director
2025-12-01
334 shares
·
$37,485
LEVY PAUL S
Director
2025-12-01
712 shares
·
$79,908
RENZ MARIA
Director
2025-12-01
278 shares
·
$31,200
CHARLES DIRKSON R
Director
2025-12-01
278 shares
·
$31,200
ALEXANDER MARK ADAM
Director
2025-12-01
278 shares
·
$31,200
HAYES WILLIAM B
Director
2025-12-01
345 shares
·
$38,719
STEINKE CRAIG ARTHUR
Director
2025-12-01
334 shares
·
$37,485
JACKSON PETER M
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-05
1,755 shares
RUSH DAVID E.
Director
2025-10-01
24,307 shares
·
$2,947,224
BOYDSTON CORY JACOBS
Director
2025-08-29
225 shares
·
$31,203
O'LEARY JAMES S
Director
2025-08-29
270 shares
·
$37,444
LEVY PAUL S
Director
2025-08-29
576 shares
·
$79,880
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
21 analysts
Stephens & Co.
2026-01-20
Overweight
Equal-Weight
Barclays
2026-01-15
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2026-01-06
Buy
Buy
Stifel
2025-12-16
Hold
Hold
Jefferies
2025-12-15
Buy
Hold
Barclays
2025-12-08
Overweight
Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-17
Equal-Weight
DA Davidson
2025-11-03
Neutral
Neutral
Zelman & Assoc
2025-10-31
Underperform
Neutral
UBS
2025-10-31
Buy
Buy
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Recent headlines mentioning BLDR from our newsroom.
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