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BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BLDR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Building Products & Equipment
Current Price Live
$122.36
Analyst Target
$131.0
+7.1% Upside
52W High
$175.12
52W Low
$94.35

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational and balance sheet fundamentals. However, despite this strength, the business is facing significant near-term headwinds, evidenced by sharp year-over-year declines in revenue (-6.9%) and earnings (-54.9%), which are weighing on performance. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is trading at a premium to both Graham’s defensive value ($67.26) and growth-based intrinsic value ($36.05), though below the sector’s elevated average P/E. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $131.00 target, implying upside potential if macro or operational conditions improve.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 reflects robust financial health and consistent profitability trends.
Solid liquidity position with a current ratio of 1.79 and quick ratio of 1.08, indicating good short-term solvency.
ROE of 13.56% exceeds sector average of 6.37%, signaling efficient use of equity capital.
Debt/Equity of 1.18 is manageable and below the sector average of 5.37, reducing leverage risk.
Historically strong quarterly earnings surprises, with 10 of the last 12 quarters beating estimates by double digits at peak.

Key Risks

Sharp earnings contraction: YoY EPS down 64.2% and Q/Q down 53.8%, indicating severe profitability pressure.
Revenue declining YoY by 6.9%, reversing prior growth trends and suggesting demand or pricing challenges.
Current price of $122.36 is nearly double the Graham Number ($67.26), implying limited margin of safety for value investors.
No Altman Z-Score available prevents definitive assessment of bankruptcy risk, creating analytical uncertainty.
Insider sentiment is neutral with zero buy/sell activity in the last six months, signaling lack of conviction from insiders.
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$85.0
-30.5% below current price

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