KTOS
BEARISH
$70.34
Live
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $117.35
(+66.8%)
$31.48
52W Range
$134.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 13, 2026
Market cap
$13.18B
P/E
541.08
ROE
1.3%
Profit margin
1.6%
Debt/Equity
0.07
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
90%
KTOS exhibits severe fundamental divergence, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a massive valuation gap where the current price ($70.34) dwarfs the Graham Number ($5.88) and Intrinsic Value ($3.83). While the company shows strong top-line revenue growth (21.9%) and a consistent track record of earnings beats, its current P/E of 541.08 is unsustainable. The combination of bearish insider selling, a 0/100 technical trend, and razor-thin profit margins (1.63%) suggests the stock is priced for perfection in a high-risk environment.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 21.9% YoY
Exceptional liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.06
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity of 0.07)
Consistent history of beating quarterly earnings estimates
Strong analyst support with a target price of $117.35
Key Risks
Extreme overvaluation (P/E 541.08)
Critically low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) indicating poor financial health/efficiency
Very thin net profit margins (1.63%)
Bearish insider sentiment with 12 sell transactions and 0 buys
Significant recent price correction (-25.7% over 6 months)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.45
-82.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
5
82
65
30
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth Bubble
Key drivers: Extreme P/E ratio, Weak Piotroski score, Strong revenue growth, Low debt levels
Confidence
85%
Value
5/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- P/E of 541.08
- Price/Sales of 9.78
- Current price is >10x the Graham Number
Future
82/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 21.9% Revenue Growth
- 51.3% Q/Q Earnings Growth
- Consistent earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Dependence on high-growth expectations to justify valuation
Past
65/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 149.5% 5-year change
- Strong long-term trajectory
Watchpoints
- Sharp 1-month decline of 20.9%
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.07)
- High Current Ratio (4.06)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
- Low ROE (1.31%) and ROA (0.78%)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$70.34
Analyst Target
$117.35
Upside/Downside
+66.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KTOS and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Primary
|
+149.5% | +445.7% | +121.8% | -25.7% | -20.9% | +4.5% |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
|
+191.8% | +69.7% | -27.2% | -10.3% | +17.6% | -3.5% |
|
ACM
AECOM
Peer
|
+88.1% | +14.2% | -9.5% | -15.4% | -0.1% | -1.1% |
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
|
+128.2% | +153.3% | +37.6% | +27.2% | +14.1% | -1.1% |
|
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Peer
|
+14.6% | +12.0% | -23.3% | -8.5% | +20.1% | +5.0% |
KTO
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+149.5%
3Y
+445.7%
1Y
+121.8%
6M
-25.7%
1M
-20.9%
1W
+4.5%
BLD
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+191.8%
3Y
+69.7%
1Y
-27.2%
6M
-10.3%
1M
+17.6%
1W
-3.5%
ACM
AECOM
Peer
5Y
+88.1%
3Y
+14.2%
1Y
-9.5%
6M
-15.4%
1M
-0.1%
1W
-1.1%
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
Peer
5Y
+128.2%
3Y
+153.3%
1Y
+37.6%
6M
+27.2%
1M
+14.1%
1W
-1.1%
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
Peer
5Y
+14.6%
3Y
+12.0%
1Y
-23.3%
6M
-8.5%
1M
+20.1%
1W
+5.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
541.08
Forward P/E
65.42
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.95
P/S Ratio
9.78
EV/Revenue
8.59
EV/EBITDA
154.63
Market Cap
$13.18B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.63%
Operating Margin
2.93%
Gross Margin
22.86%
ROE
1.31%
ROA
0.78%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+21.9%
Earnings Growth
+18.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+21.9%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+51.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.07
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.06
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.27
Excellent
Cash/Share
$3.29
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
24.2%
Op. Margin
2.9%
Net Margin
1.7%
Total Assets
$2.5B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$2.0B
Debt/Equity
0.24x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-100%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-23
$0.18
+22.1% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.14
+12.3% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.11
+17.8% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing KTOS against 230 companies in the Industrials sector
(18 bullish, 86 neutral, 126 bearish)
P/E Ratio
541.08
This Stock
vs
84.82
Sector Avg
+537.9%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.31%
This Stock
vs
-9.62%
Sector Avg
-113.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.63%
This Stock
vs
17.16%
Sector Avg
-90.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.07
This Stock
vs
3.52
Sector Avg
-97.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
21.9%
This Stock
vs
29.32%
Sector Avg
-25.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
4.06
This Stock
vs
3.23
Sector Avg
+25.8%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security...
|
BEARISH | $13.18B | 541.08 | 1.3% | 1.6% | $70.34 | |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.53B | 23.76 | 13.6% | 3.8% | $122.36 | Compare |
|
ACM
AECOM
|
NEUTRAL | $12.8B | 20.48 | 28.1% | 3.5% | $97.08 | Compare |
|
BLD
TopBuild Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.74B | 25.07 | 26.2% | 10.8% | $488.33 | Compare |
|
BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton...
|
NEUTRAL | $12.6B | 14.6 | 75.2% | 7.1% | $102.23 | Compare |
KTOS
Kratos Defense &...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$13.2B
P/E
541.1
ROE
1.3%
Price
$70.34
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | LUND DEANNA HOM | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 5,000 | $348,130 |
| 2026-04-01 | HOGLUND WILLIAM A | Director | Sale | 30,500 | $2,171,297 |
| 2026-03-30 | FENDLEY STEVEN S | Officer | Sale | 7,000 | $487,120 |
| 2026-03-26 | JARVIS SCOT B | Director | Sale | 5,000 | $390,700 |
| 2026-03-26 | ROCK STACEY G | Officer | Sale | 4,000 | $307,103 |
| 2026-03-16 | CARRAI PHILLIP D | Officer | Sale | 6,500 | $578,947 |
| 2026-03-16 | ANDERSON SCOTT I | Director | Sale | 15,000 | $1,336,715 |
| 2026-03-16 | MENDOZA MARIE C | General Counsel | Sale | 1,516 | $134,883 |
| 2026-03-16 | CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA | Officer | Sale | 6,270 | $559,845 |
| 2026-03-12 | JARVIS SCOT B | Director | Sale | 5,000 | $443,000 |
| 2026-03-06 | ROCK STACEY G | Officer | Sale | 6,066 | $533,739 |
| 2026-03-05 | CARTER DAVID M | Officer | Sale | 4,000 | $341,422 |
| 2026-03-04 | ADELMAN JONAH | Officer | Stock Award | 15,000 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | CARRAI PHILLIP D | Officer | Stock Award | 50,000 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | LUND DEANNA HOM | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 75,000 | - |
LUND DEANNA HOM
Chief Financial Officer
2026-04-01
5,000 shares
·
$348,130
HOGLUND WILLIAM A
Director
2026-04-01
30,500 shares
·
$2,171,297
FENDLEY STEVEN S
Officer
2026-03-30
7,000 shares
·
$487,120
JARVIS SCOT B
Director
2026-03-26
5,000 shares
·
$390,700
ROCK STACEY G
Officer
2026-03-26
4,000 shares
·
$307,103
CARRAI PHILLIP D
Officer
2026-03-16
6,500 shares
·
$578,947
ANDERSON SCOTT I
Director
2026-03-16
15,000 shares
·
$1,336,715
MENDOZA MARIE C
General Counsel
2026-03-16
1,516 shares
·
$134,883
CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA
Officer
2026-03-16
6,270 shares
·
$559,845
JARVIS SCOT B
Director
2026-03-12
5,000 shares
·
$443,000
ROCK STACEY G
Officer
2026-03-06
6,066 shares
·
$533,739
CARTER DAVID M
Officer
2026-03-05
4,000 shares
·
$341,422
ADELMAN JONAH
Officer
2026-03-04
15,000 shares
CARRAI PHILLIP D
Officer
2026-03-04
50,000 shares
LUND DEANNA HOM
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-04
75,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
20 analysts
Jefferies
2026-04-06
Hold
Buy
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-24
Buy
Buy
BTIG
2026-02-24
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-02-18
Neutral
Keybanc
2026-01-28
Overweight
Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-01-22
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-20
Buy
Buy
Stifel
2026-01-13
Buy
Buy
Citizens
2026-01-12
Market Outperform
Market Outperform
B. Riley Securities
2026-01-09
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning KTOS from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.