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ALLE vs GFL

ALLE
Allegion plc
NEUTRAL
Price
$166.80
Market Cap
$14.35B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
72%
GFL
GFL Environmental Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$39.67
Market Cap
$14.32B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
ALLE
22.57
GFL
96.76
Forward P/E
ALLE
18.82
GFL
39.83
P/B Ratio
ALLE
7.37
GFL
2.66
P/S Ratio
ALLE
3.61
GFL
2.16
EV/EBITDA
ALLE
16.96
GFL
13.68

Profitability

Gross Margin
ALLE
45.12%
GFL
20.67%
Operating Margin
ALLE
21.86%
GFL
6.37%
Profit Margin
ALLE
16.09%
GFL
57.95%
ROE
ALLE
36.41%
GFL
3.28%
ROA
ALLE
10.39%
GFL
1.23%

Growth

Revenue Growth
ALLE
10.7%
GFL
7.3%
Earnings Growth
ALLE
9.5%
GFL
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
ALLE
1.16
GFL
1.06
Current Ratio
ALLE
1.77
GFL
0.58
Quick Ratio
ALLE
1.01
GFL
0.49

Dividends

Dividend Yield
ALLE
1.22%
GFL
0.16%
Payout Ratio
ALLE
27.2%
GFL
15.07%

AI Verdict

ALLE NEUTRAL

ALLE's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive distress risk assessment. The company trades above its Graham Number of $61.34 at a current price of $166.80, reflecting a significant premium, though justified in part by solid profitability metrics including a 36.41% ROE and consistent earnings growth. Despite strong historical earnings surprises and solid margins, elevated valuation multiples and bearish insider activity temper upside potential. Analysts concur with a 'hold' recommendation, aligning with the neutral stance.

Strengths
Exceptional return on equity (36.41%) well above sector average (8.29%) indicating efficient capital use
Consistent revenue and earnings growth with 10.70% YoY revenue growth and strong quarterly EPS beats
High gross margin (45.12%) reflecting pricing power and cost control in the security solutions market
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health with potential weaknesses in profitability or leverage trends
Valuation appears stretched with P/E of 22.57 and Price/Book of 7.37 exceeding sector averages
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.78M in net selling and no insider buys in the last 6 months
GFL BEARISH

GFL presents a concerning valuation profile, trading at $39.67 despite a Graham Number of $11.72 and an Intrinsic Value of $2.87. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health, the company suffers from poor short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 0.58. A massive discrepancy exists between the reported profit margin (57.95%) and the operating margin (6.37%), suggesting non-operational gains. Despite bullish analyst targets, the technical trend is completely bearish (0/100) and the stock has declined 18.3% over the last year.

Strengths
Strong Year-over-Year EPS growth of 63.6%
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9)
Strong analyst consensus with a target price of $52.17
Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to deterministic fair value models
Liquidity risk indicated by a current ratio of 0.58 and quick ratio of 0.49
Negative Q/Q revenue growth (-15.08%)

Compare Another Pair

ALLE vs GFL: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Allegion plc (ALLE) and GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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