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AVPT AvePoint, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AVPT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Infrastructure
Current Price Live
$12.59
Analyst Target
$19.02
+51.1% Upside
52W High
$20.25
52W Low
$11.49

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite solid revenue growth (23.6% YoY) and strong gross margins (74.51%), profitability remains thin with only a 0.50% net margin and weak ROE (0.67%). Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $19.02 target, implying 51% upside, but insider selling of $89.11M over the last six months contradicts this optimism. The stock trades at a high forward P/E of 32.18, above sector averages, while recent price performance is bearish (-31.3% over 1Y), reflecting market skepticism despite improving earnings trends.

Key Strengths

Strong YoY revenue growth of 23.6%, outpacing many peers in the software infrastructure space
High gross margin of 74.51%, indicating pricing power and low cost of sales
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.04, suggesting minimal leverage risk
Current and quick ratios above 2.3, reflecting strong short-term liquidity
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a 51% upside to target price

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only moderate financial health, with risks in profitability and stability
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents proper assessment of bankruptcy risk
Significant insider selling: $89.11M in sales over 6 months with zero buys, signaling bearish sentiment from insiders
Earnings volatility: only 1 of the last 4 quarters beat estimates, with multiple large negative surprises
High forward P/E of 32.18 relative to modest net profitability and inconsistent earnings
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$19.02
+51.1% above current price

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