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BLKB Blackbaud, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BLKB Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$56.34
Analyst Target
$76.4
+35.6% Upside
52W High
$81.39
52W Low
$53.66

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores paint a concerning picture, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial stability and no Altman Z-Score available to confirm safety from distress. Despite strong operating margins and recent earnings beats, the company is unprofitable overall (negative net margin and ROE), carries an extremely high debt/equity ratio of 9.93, and shows weak liquidity. Valuation multiples like a Price/Book of 24.60 appear stretched against poor profitability, while insider selling and declining revenue further undermine confidence. The stock trades below analyst targets but faces significant structural and financial headwinds.

Key Strengths

Strong operating margin of 19.62% indicates pricing power or cost control at the operational level
High gross margin of 58.24% reflects scalable software business model
Recent quarterly earnings have consistently beaten estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters above expectations
Forward P/E of 11.57 is low relative to sector average P/E of 90.77, suggesting potential value perception
Analyst target price of $76.40 implies ~35.6% upside from current levels

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly in profitability and leverage
Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio of 9.93 raises serious concerns about solvency and financial flexibility
Negative profit margin (-22.16%) and ROE (-77.16%) show the company is not converting equity into profits
Current ratio of 0.69 and quick ratio of 0.13 indicate potential short-term liquidity issues
Revenue declining YoY by 1.90% and insider selling totaling $2M signal lack of confidence from executives
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$48.5
-13.9% below current price

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