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AZN AstraZeneca PLC - Fundamental Analysis

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AZN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - General
Current Price Live
$92.95
Analyst Target
$99.05
+6.6% Upside
52W High
$96.51
52W Low
$61.24

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$288.2B
P/E
30.48
ROE
21.7%
Profit margin
16.2%
Debt/Equity
0.71
Dividend yield
1.71%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
AstraZeneca's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. While profitability metrics like ROE (21.67%) and gross margin (83.26%) are strong, the current price of $92.95 trades significantly above the Graham Number of $45.06, reflecting high growth expectations. Revenue and earnings growth are robust (12% and 78% YoY, respectively), but recent earnings surprises have been volatile, including a -25.9% miss in Q3 2025. Analysts maintain a strong_buy recommendation, though insider selling and weak technical trends (10/100) suggest caution near-term.

Key Strengths

Exceptional gross margin of 83.26% indicates strong pricing power and cost control
High ROE of 21.67% reflects efficient use of shareholder equity
Strong earnings growth of 78% YoY and solid revenue growth of 12% demonstrate momentum
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 suggests conservative capital structure
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with a target price of $99.05, implying 6.5% upside

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly in liquidity and earnings consistency
Current Ratio of 0.88 and Quick Ratio of 0.69 signal potential short-term liquidity pressure
Earnings volatility with multiple recent misses, including a -25.9% surprise in Q3 2025
Insider selling activity: $1.33M in sales with no buys in last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates near-term bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$89.97
-3.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
57
Moderate
Value
45
Future
78
Past
58
Health
42
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with significant caution flags
Key drivers: Strong profitability and growth metrics, High analyst confidence, Earnings volatility and weak Piotroski score, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
75%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 18.17 is reasonable for sector
  • Intrinsic Value (Formula) of $89.97 close to current price
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 30.48 is high
  • Price/Sales of 4.96 and Price/Book of 3.14 indicate premium valuation
  • Current price 106% above Graham Number ($45.06)
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue Growth (YoY) of 12.00%
  • Earnings Growth (YoY) of 78.00%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth of 77.30%
Watchpoints
  • PEG Ratio not available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Past
58/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5Y price return of +92.9% shows strong long-term performance
  • History of strong ROE and margins
Watchpoints
  • Earnings beat rate of only 2/4 in last four quarters
  • Average earnings surprise of -3.14% recently
  • Multiple large negative surprises in 2021-2022
Health
42/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.71 is below sector average of 2.84
  • ROA of 9.06% is solid
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Current Ratio of 0.88 < 1.0 signals liquidity risk
  • Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates limited liquid assets
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 1.71% is modest but stable
  • Payout ratio of 51.99% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength score of 40/100 indicates limited reliability
  • 5-Year Avg Yield not available, limiting trend analysis

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$92.95
Analyst Target
$99.05
Upside/Downside
+6.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AZN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AZN
AstraZeneca PLC
Primary
+92.9% +49.4% +38.4% +28.8% +0.5% -1.5%
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
Peer
+2.0% -27.9% -33.6% +18.6% -0.2% -3.8%
MRK
Merck & Co., Inc.
Peer
+60.7% +8.0% +12.1% +38.6% +9.7% -1.5%
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Peer
+23.6% +6.2% +10.5% +49.4% +10.0% -0.0%
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
Peer
+81.6% +74.5% +20.8% +34.4% +0.6% -0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
30.48
Forward P/E
18.17
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.14
P/S Ratio
4.96
EV/Revenue
2.9
EV/EBITDA
8.26
Market Cap
$288.2B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 16.17%
Operating Margin 24.11%
Gross Margin 83.26%
ROE 21.67%
ROA 9.06%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.0%
Earnings Growth +78.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +77.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.71
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.88
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.69
Poor
Cash/Share
$5.28

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-11-06
$1.19
+4.9% surprise
2025-07-29
$1.09
-25.9% surprise
2025-04-29
$1.25
+11.6% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AZN against 147 companies in the Healthcare sector (10 bullish, 55 neutral, 82 bearish)
P/E Ratio
30.48
This Stock
vs
164.56
Sector Avg
-81.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
21.67%
This Stock
vs
-52.77%
Sector Avg
-141.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
16.17%
This Stock
vs
-20.78%
Sector Avg
-177.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.71
This Stock
vs
6.16
Sector Avg
-88.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.0%
This Stock
vs
137.39%
Sector Avg
-91.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.88
This Stock
vs
3.36
Sector Avg
-73.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AZN
AstraZeneca PLC
NEUTRAL $288.2B 30.48 21.7% 16.2% $92.95
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
NEUTRAL $299.85B 17.25 17.5% 4.0% $331.02
MRK
Merck & Co., Inc.
NEUTRAL $271.83B 14.4 39.5% 29.6% $108.83
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
NEUTRAL $232.46B 35.76 13.1% 15.0% $618.72
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
NEUTRAL $197.41B 25.7 106.1% 21.0% $366.21

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-12 Sarin (Aradhana M.D.) Sale 15,000 $1,329,450
2025-09-09 Knudsen (Karen) Purchase 9 $729
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AZN from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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