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BFST Business First Bancshares, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BFST Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Banks - Regional
Current Price Live
$27.26
Analyst Target
$32.5
+19.2% Upside
52W High
$28.84
52W Low
$20.07

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating stable but not robust financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics including a 27% profit margin and strong earnings surprises historically, weak technical trends and negative insider sentiment weigh on momentum. The stock trades below the analyst target of $32.50 and intrinsic value estimate of $64.75, suggesting potential undervaluation, but limited balance sheet transparency and insider selling raise caution. Revenue and earnings growth remain positive, yet the lack of key financial data hinders a stronger bullish stance.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat record with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding estimates and an average surprise of 7.42%
Strong profitability: 27.00% profit margin and 38.63% operating margin well above sector average
Attractive valuation relative to peers with P/E of 10.53 vs sector average of 22.39
Low Price/Book ratio of 1.00 indicating potential value opportunity in the regional banking space
Healthy dividend policy with 2.02% yield and low 21.62% payout ratio suggesting sustainability

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable financial health, not strong, limiting confidence in balance sheet strength
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents proper assessment of bankruptcy risk despite sector volatility
Negative insider sentiment with 3 sell transactions totaling $0.22M and no buys in last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum near-term
Critical financial data gaps: Debt/Equity, cash, and ROIC missing, reducing transparency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$52.3
+91.9% above current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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