EYE
BEARISH
$25.72
Live
National Vision Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $35.27
(+37.1%)
$10.75
52W Range
$30.02
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 09, 2026
Market cap
$2.04B
P/E
65.95
ROE
3.5%
Profit margin
1.5%
Debt/Equity
0.8
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
75%
EYE shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 15.1%
Key Risks
High valuation with P/E of 65.9
Premium vs Graham Number ($9.8)
Low profit margin of 1.5%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.73
-89.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
35
65
30
50
0
AI Verdict
EYE shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key drivers: Strong revenue growth of 15.1%, High valuation with P/E of 65.9, Premium vs Graham Number ($9.8)
Confidence
35%
Value
35/100
Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Premium 65.9x trailing earnings multiple.
- Trades above Graham Number.
Future
65/100
Rule-based growth outlook.
Positives
- Revenue growth running at 15.1%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
30/100
Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved -45.7% over 5Y and +136.4% over 1Y.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- ROE only 3.5%.
- Thin profit margins.
Health
50/100
Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
0/100
Dividend policy fallback.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- No regular dividend payments.
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$25.72
Analyst Target
$35.27
Upside/Downside
+37.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for EYE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-08
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-45.7% | +29.0% | +136.4% | -6.6% | -4.0% | +7.5% |
|
ADNT
Adient plc
Peer
|
-36.0% | -47.7% | +27.9% | -4.9% | +11.6% | -1.9% |
|
AIN
Albany International Corp.
Peer
|
-20.0% | -45.0% | -27.5% | -19.5% | +12.4% | -0.5% |
|
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+65.6% | +8.2% | -2.4% | +15.5% | -7.9% | -3.9% |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc.
Peer
|
-72.8% | -8.0% | -61.5% | -41.7% | +2.9% | -2.8% |
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-45.7%
3Y
+29.0%
1Y
+136.4%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-4.0%
1W
+7.5%
ADN
Adient plc
Peer
5Y
-36.0%
3Y
-47.7%
1Y
+27.9%
6M
-4.9%
1M
+11.6%
1W
-1.9%
AIN
Albany International Corp.
Peer
5Y
-20.0%
3Y
-45.0%
1Y
-27.5%
6M
-19.5%
1M
+12.4%
1W
-0.5%
ARC
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+65.6%
3Y
+8.2%
1Y
-2.4%
6M
+15.5%
1M
-7.9%
1W
-3.9%
ACV
ACV Auctions Inc.
Peer
5Y
-72.8%
3Y
-8.0%
1Y
-61.5%
6M
-41.7%
1M
+2.9%
1W
-2.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
65.95
Forward P/E
20.52
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.35
P/S Ratio
1.03
EV/Revenue
1.36
EV/EBITDA
17.14
Market Cap
$2.04B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.49%
Operating Margin
1.75%
Gross Margin
58.77%
ROE
3.51%
ROA
2.08%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+15.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+15.12%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.8
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.55
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.23
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.49
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.5B
Gross Margin
58.1%
Op. Margin
1.6%
Net Margin
0.7%
Total Assets
$2.0B
Liabilities
$1.1B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
1.28x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-85%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-03-04
$0.15
+148.8% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.13
+0.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.18
+31.1% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing EYE against 120 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(9 bullish, 54 neutral, 57 bearish)
P/E Ratio
65.95
This Stock
vs
41.73
Sector Avg
+58.0%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.51%
This Stock
vs
4.42%
Sector Avg
-20.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.49%
This Stock
vs
-1.01%
Sector Avg
-247.4%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.8
This Stock
vs
1.56
Sector Avg
-48.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
15.1%
This Stock
vs
6.38%
Sector Avg
+136.6%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.55
This Stock
vs
2.07
Sector Avg
-73.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.04B | 65.95 | 3.5% | 1.5% | $25.72 | |
|
ADNT
Adient plc
|
BEARISH | $1.71B | - | -8.1% | -1.9% | $21.61 | Compare |
|
AIN
Albany International Corp.
|
BEARISH | $1.7B | - | -6.1% | -4.7% | $57.56 | Compare |
|
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
|
BULLISH | $1.62B | 6.58 | 39.0% | 5.4% | $7.7 | Compare |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.54B | - | -16.3% | -9.9% | $8.5 | Compare |
EYE
National Vision...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.0B
P/E
65.9
ROE
3.5%
Price
$25.72
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | LADEN CHRISTOPHER | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 26,082 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | WILKES ALEXANDER | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 35,000 | $928,900 |
| 2026-03-06 | BRANDMAN JARED | Officer | Stock Award | 10,279 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | CLARK BILL | Officer | Stock Award | 8,224 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | VANDETTE JOSEPH | Officer | Stock Award | 8,224 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | BANNER MARK | Officer | Stock Award | 13,706 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | WILKES ALEXANDER | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 27,412 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | PATEL PRITI V | Officer | Stock Award | 8,224 | - |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS LEONARD READE | Officer and Director | Sale | 11,672 | $345,217 |
| 2026-03-06 | FAHS LEONARD READE | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 54,824 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | BRANDMAN JARED | Officer | Stock Award | 31,744 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | CLARK BILL | Officer | Stock Award | 31,744 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | VANDETTE JOSEPH | Officer | Stock Award | 31,744 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | PATEL PRITI V | Officer | Stock Award | 14,940 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | FAHS LEONARD READE | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 224,071 | - |
LADEN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-31
26,082 shares
WILKES ALEXANDER
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-11
35,000 shares
·
$928,900
BRANDMAN JARED
Officer
2026-03-06
10,279 shares
CLARK BILL
Officer
2026-03-06
8,224 shares
VANDETTE JOSEPH
Officer
2026-03-06
8,224 shares
BANNER MARK
Officer
2026-03-06
13,706 shares
WILKES ALEXANDER
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-06
27,412 shares
PATEL PRITI V
Officer
2026-03-06
8,224 shares
FAHS LEONARD READE
Officer and Director
2026-03-06
11,672 shares
·
$345,217
FAHS LEONARD READE
Officer and Director
2026-03-06
54,824 shares
BRANDMAN JARED
Officer
2026-03-03
31,744 shares
CLARK BILL
Officer
2026-03-03
31,744 shares
VANDETTE JOSEPH
Officer
2026-03-03
31,744 shares
PATEL PRITI V
Officer
2026-03-03
14,940 shares
FAHS LEONARD READE
Officer and Director
2026-03-03
224,071 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
11 analysts
Citigroup
2026-03-05
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-03-05
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Barclays
2026-03-05
Overweight
Overweight
UBS
2026-03-05
Buy
Buy
Guggenheim
2026-03-05
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-03-02
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Guggenheim
2025-12-10
Buy
UBS
2025-11-18
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2025-11-18
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning EYE from our newsroom.
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