FSLY
BEARISH
$29.46
Live
Fastly, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $16.0
(-45.7%)
$5.12
52W Range
$34.82
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$4.47B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-12.8%
Profit margin
-19.5%
Debt/Equity
0.46
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Fastly exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health. Despite a massive 407.9% one-year price surge, the stock is trading at a significant premium with a Forward P/E of 80.91 and a current price ($29.46) nearly 84% above the analyst target price of $16.00. Heavy insider selling and a bearish technical trend suggest that the recent price action is speculative rather than fundamentally driven. The company remains unprofitable with a -19.50% profit margin, making the current valuation unsustainable.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 22.80% YoY
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.61
Solid Gross Margin of 57.08%
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46
Recent trend of beating earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Key Risks
Extreme valuation divergence (Price $29.46 vs Target $16.00)
Weak financial health as evidenced by Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Persistent negative profitability (Profit Margin -19.50%)
Aggressive insider liquidation ($21.56M sold, 0 bought)
High Forward P/E (80.91) suggests priced-for-perfection growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.0
-45.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
28
Weak
15
65
40
20
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Bubble
Key drivers: Extreme price-to-target gap, Poor Piotroski health score, Bearish insider sentiment, Negative net margins
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref Forward P/E 80.91 and Price/Sales 7.17
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 80.91 is excessive
- Price/Sales of 7.17 is high for the sector
- Trading far above analyst mean target
Future
65/100
Ref Revenue Growth 22.80% and Q/Q EPS Growth 71.4%
Positives
- Consistent 22%+ revenue growth
- Improving EPS trajectory
Watchpoints
- High cost of revenue limiting margin expansion
Past
40/100
Ref 5Y Change -57.2% and 1Y Change +407.9%
Positives
- Massive 1Y recovery (+407.9%)
Watchpoints
- 5Y change remains deeply negative (-57.2%)
- History of earnings misses in earlier years
Health
20/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.46)
- Strong Quick Ratio (2.47)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical weakness
Dividend
0/100
Ref Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- Zero payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$29.46
Analyst Target
$16.0
Upside/Downside
-45.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FSLY and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-09
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FSLY
Fastly, Inc.
Primary
|
-57.2% | +88.6% | +407.9% | +244.6% | +29.6% | -12.1% |
|
BDC
Belden Inc.
Peer
|
+142.3% | +46.6% | -4.7% | -10.3% | -2.7% | -0.7% |
|
AVT
Avnet, Inc.
Peer
|
+47.0% | +23.1% | -3.7% | -3.7% | +3.3% | +0.0% |
|
ACIW
ACI Worldwide, Inc.
Peer
|
-1.8% | +69.4% | -22.1% | -20.7% | -1.4% | -6.5% |
|
EXLS
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+64.6% | -5.1% | -27.0% | -28.1% | -5.2% | +0.3% |
FSL
Fastly, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-57.2%
3Y
+88.6%
1Y
+407.9%
6M
+244.6%
1M
+29.6%
1W
-12.1%
BDC
Belden Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.3%
3Y
+46.6%
1Y
-4.7%
6M
-10.3%
1M
-2.7%
1W
-0.7%
AVT
Avnet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+47.0%
3Y
+23.1%
1Y
-3.7%
6M
-3.7%
1M
+3.3%
1W
+0.0%
ACI
ACI Worldwide, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-1.8%
3Y
+69.4%
1Y
-22.1%
6M
-20.7%
1M
-1.4%
1W
-6.5%
EXL
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+64.6%
3Y
-5.1%
1Y
-27.0%
6M
-28.1%
1M
-5.2%
1W
+0.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
80.91
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.8
P/S Ratio
7.17
EV/Revenue
7.28
EV/EBITDA
-71.69
Market Cap
$4.47B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-19.5%
Operating Margin
-8.74%
Gross Margin
57.08%
ROE
-12.84%
ROA
-5.02%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+22.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+22.79%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.46
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.61
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.47
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.38
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
61.4%
Op. Margin
-8.7%
Net Margin
-9.0%
Total Assets
$1.5B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
38%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-11
$0.12
+109.2% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.07
+41076.5% surprise
2025-08-06
$-0.03
+42.8% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing FSLY against 220 companies in the Technology sector
(20 bullish, 85 neutral, 115 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-12.84%
This Stock
vs
-28.84%
Sector Avg
-55.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-19.5%
This Stock
vs
-10.0%
Sector Avg
+95.0%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.46
This Stock
vs
0.8
Sector Avg
-42.3%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
22.8%
This Stock
vs
11159.19%
Sector Avg
-99.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.61
This Stock
vs
3.76
Sector Avg
-30.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FSLY
Fastly, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.47B | - | -12.8% | -19.5% | $29.46 | |
|
BDC
Belden Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.57B | 21.07 | 18.4% | 8.6% | $115.26 | Compare |
|
AVT
Avnet, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.13B | 18.97 | 4.7% | 1.0% | $50.83 | Compare |
|
ACIW
ACI Worldwide, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.1B | 18.41 | 15.4% | 12.9% | $39.77 | Compare |
|
EXLS
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $4.85B | 19.84 | 27.2% | 12.0% | $30.55 | Compare |
FSLY
Fastly, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.5B
P/E
-
ROE
-12.8%
Price
$29.46
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | LOVETT SCOTT R | Officer | Sale | 76,635 | $1,881,238 |
| 2026-03-11 | COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 49,350 | $1,233,750 |
| 2026-03-10 | BERGMAN ARTUR PER | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 305,000 | $6,882,297 |
| 2026-03-06 | DANIELS RICHARD DEVON | Director | Sale | 14,976 | $312,849 |
| 2026-03-06 | WONG RICHARD | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 5,494 | $115,814 |
| 2026-03-05 | BERGMAN ARTUR PER | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 31,079 | $642,915 |
| 2026-03-05 | COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 36,694 | $759,020 |
| 2026-03-04 | BERGMAN ARTUR PER | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 157,438 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | BERGMAN ARTUR PER | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 24,532 | $516,644 |
| 2026-03-04 | LOVETT SCOTT R | Officer | Stock Award | 135,869 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | LOVETT SCOTT R | Officer | Sale | 73,715 | $1,552,438 |
| 2026-03-04 | COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 373,641 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 73,206 | $1,532,616 |
| 2026-03-04 | WONG RICHARD | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 118,885 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | BERGMAN ARTUR PER | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 280,891 | $5,773,483 |
LOVETT SCOTT R
Officer
2026-03-18
76,635 shares
·
$1,881,238
COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-11
49,350 shares
·
$1,233,750
BERGMAN ARTUR PER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-10
305,000 shares
·
$6,882,297
DANIELS RICHARD DEVON
Director
2026-03-06
14,976 shares
·
$312,849
WONG RICHARD
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-06
5,494 shares
·
$115,814
BERGMAN ARTUR PER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-05
31,079 shares
·
$642,915
COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-05
36,694 shares
·
$759,020
BERGMAN ARTUR PER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-04
157,438 shares
BERGMAN ARTUR PER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-04
24,532 shares
·
$516,644
LOVETT SCOTT R
Officer
2026-03-04
135,869 shares
LOVETT SCOTT R
Officer
2026-03-04
73,715 shares
·
$1,552,438
COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-04
373,641 shares
COMPTON CHARLES LACEY III
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-04
73,206 shares
·
$1,532,616
WONG RICHARD
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-04
118,885 shares
BERGMAN ARTUR PER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-03
280,891 shares
·
$5,773,483
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Piper Sandler
2026-04-07
Neutral
Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-03-02
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Citigroup
2026-02-13
Neutral
Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-02-12
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Piper Sandler
2026-02-12
Neutral
Neutral
DA Davidson
2026-02-09
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2026-01-16
Neutral
Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-01-05
Neutral
Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-01-05
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Keybanc
2025-12-15
Sector Weight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FSLY from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.