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FSV

NEUTRAL
$145.74 Live
FirstService Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $207.0 (+42.0%)
$133.42 52W Range $209.66

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$6.7B
P/E
45.97
ROE
10.9%
Profit margin
2.6%
Debt/Equity
0.74
Dividend yield
0.84%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
FSV demonstrates exceptional fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, signaling strong operational efficiency and financial stability. However, the stock is trading at a significant premium, with a current price of $145.74 far exceeding both its Graham Number ($46.33) and Intrinsic Value ($93.52). While earnings growth is robust at 19.5% and analysts maintain a bullish target of $207, the technical trend is severely bearish (0/100) with a 20.5% decline over the last six months. The investment case currently rests on a conflict between high-quality internal health and an overextended valuation in a downward price trend.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (8/9) indicating high financial health
Robust earnings growth (19.5% YoY) and consistent EPS beats
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74
Healthy liquidity position (Current Ratio 1.71, Quick Ratio 1.25)
Significant upside potential relative to analyst target price ($207)

Key Risks

Severe valuation premium over Graham and Intrinsic value baselines
Stagnant top-line revenue growth (1.30% YoY)
Strongly bearish technical momentum (0/100 trend score)
High trailing P/E ratio (45.97) compared to historical norms
Low dividend yield (0.84%) providing little downside protection
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$118.5
-18.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
62
Strong
Value
30
Future
65
Past
75
Health
95
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
Fundamentally sound but valuationally stretched
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Valuation Gap, Technical Downtrend, Earnings Growth
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 45.97, Graham Number $46.33

Positives
  • Forward P/E (21.45) is significantly lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~3x the Graham Number
  • Price is ~55% above Intrinsic Value
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets

Positives
  • Strong earnings growth (19.5%)
  • Positive analyst target price
Watchpoints
  • Very low revenue growth (1.3%) suggests lack of scale expansion
Past
75/100

Ref Quarterly Earnings Track Record

Positives
  • Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates
  • Strong historical EPS progression
Watchpoints
  • Negative 1-year and 6-month price performance
Health
95/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.74)
  • Strong Current/Quick ratios
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
45/100

Ref Yield and Payout Ratio

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (34.7%)
Watchpoints
  • Very low yield (0.84%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$145.74
Analyst Target
$207.0
Upside/Downside
+42.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FSV and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
FSV
FirstService Corporation
Primary
5Y
-4.5%
3Y
+5.8%
1Y
-12.7%
6M
-20.5%
1M
-2.3%
1W
+4.3%
CIG
Colliers International Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+6.7%
3Y
+10.1%
1Y
-2.1%
6M
-28.9%
1M
-8.4%
1W
+1.1%
BRX
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+90.8%
3Y
+33.3%
1Y
+5.2%
6M
+5.4%
1M
+1.4%
1W
-1.0%
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
Peer
5Y
+38.9%
3Y
+12.4%
1Y
+5.9%
6M
+0.8%
1M
+0.6%
1W
-0.9%
AHR
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+278.7%
3Y
+278.7%
1Y
+65.4%
6M
+25.2%
1M
-4.0%
1W
-3.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
45.97
Forward P/E
21.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.84
P/S Ratio
1.22
EV/Revenue
1.53
EV/EBITDA
15.72
Market Cap
$6.7B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.64%
Operating Margin 5.95%
Gross Margin 33.58%
ROE 10.9%
ROA 5.16%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.3%
Earnings Growth +19.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.32%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +20.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.74
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.71
Good
Quick Ratio
1.25
Good
Cash/Share
$3.36

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.4B
Gross Margin
33.9%
Op. Margin
5.9%
Net Margin
2.8%
Total Assets
$4.3B
Liabilities
$2.4B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
1.76x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
73%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-02-04
$1.37
+3.6% surprise
2025-10-23
$1.76
+1.5% surprise
2025-07-24
$1.71
+16.9% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing FSV against 68 companies in the Real Estate sector (2 bullish, 12 neutral, 54 bearish)
P/E Ratio
45.97
This Stock
vs
47.79
Sector Avg
-3.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.9%
This Stock
vs
-65.15%
Sector Avg
-116.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.64%
This Stock
vs
21.55%
Sector Avg
-87.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.74
This Stock
vs
2.88
Sector Avg
-74.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.3%
This Stock
vs
1501.89%
Sector Avg
-99.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.71
This Stock
vs
7.37
Sector Avg
-76.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Bai (Ying Qian Angela)
Senior Officer of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
Hennick (Jay Stewart)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
216,157 shares
Hennick (Jay Stewart)
Director of Issuer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
216,157 shares
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
10,000 shares · $1,562,610
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
8,000 shares · $1,248,632
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
8,000 shares · $1,253,016
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
2,000 shares · $312,160
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
2,000 shares · $311,792
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
2,000 shares · $312,230
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
2,000 shares · $312,376
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
2,000 shares · $312,930
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
2,000 shares · $313,400
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
4,000 shares · $627,236
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
4,000 shares · $627,968
Patterson (D. Scott)
Director of Issuer
Disposi...
2026-02-18
700 shares · $110,131
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
TD Securities
2025-11-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
TD Securities
2025-10-24
up
Hold Buy
Scotiabank
2025-10-24
up
Sector Perform Sector Outperform
CIBC
2025-10-24
Maintains
Outperformer Outperformer

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FSV from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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