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GDEV

NEUTRAL
$13.99 Live
GDEV Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $70.0 (+400.4%)
$8.81 52W Range $42.2

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$253.93M
P/E
3.71
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
17.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
GDEV presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and an extremely low P/E of 3.71, yet offset by severe balance sheet distress. While the intrinsic value of $26.39 suggests significant upside from the current price of $13.99, the company suffers from negative equity (P/B -2.42) and poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.67). Despite strong gross margins and a high ROA, declining year-over-year revenue and a 0/100 technical trend indicate strong bearish momentum that outweighs the valuation appeal.

Key Strengths

Extremely low P/E ratio (3.71) relative to sector average
Strong gross profit margins (65.03%)
High Return on Assets (17.60%)
Attractive PEG ratio (0.74) suggesting undervaluation relative to growth
Stable financial health baseline with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9

Key Risks

Negative Price-to-Book ratio indicating liabilities exceed assets
Liquidity risk with a Current Ratio of 0.67 (below 1.0 threshold)
Negative year-over-year revenue growth (-7.90%)
Severe technical breakdown with a 0/100 trend score and -57.9% 6-month return
Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.5
+53.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
90
Future
40
Past
30
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-Risk Value Play
Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Balance sheet insolvency (Negative Equity), Bearish price action
Confidence
85%
Value
90/100

Trades significantly below intrinsic value ($26.39) and sector P/E (26.29).

Positives
  • P/E of 3.71 is deeply undervalued
  • P/S of 0.63 is low
Watchpoints
  • Negative P/B makes traditional book value analysis impossible
Future
40/100

Growth is inconsistent; earnings recovery is not yet matched by revenue expansion.

Positives
  • Strong YoY EPS growth (+461.9%)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative (-7.90%)
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by 42.4%
Past
30/100

Long-term trend is overwhelmingly bearish.

Positives
  • Recent 1Y return is positive (+36.4%)
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change is catastrophic (-82.9%)
  • 6M change shows a sharp crash (-57.9%)
Health
50/100

Piotroski score is the only saving grace in an otherwise distressed balance sheet.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stability
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio (0.67) suggests potential short-term solvency issues
  • Negative equity
Dividend
0/100

Non-dividend paying growth/recovery stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$13.99
Analyst Target
$70.0
Upside/Downside
+400.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GDEV and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
GDE
GDEV Inc.
Primary
5Y
-82.9%
3Y
-56.5%
1Y
+36.4%
6M
-57.9%
1M
-0.5%
1W
-6.1%
ADV
Advantage Solutions Inc.
Peer
5Y
-92.7%
3Y
-60.9%
1Y
-54.9%
6M
-61.0%
1M
+24.4%
1W
+15.6%
CXD
Crexendo, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+2.8%
3Y
+299.4%
1Y
+44.9%
6M
+1.9%
1M
-7.9%
1W
+3.6%
DIB
1stdibs.Com, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-81.0%
3Y
+39.0%
1Y
+110.1%
6M
+109.3%
1M
-1.3%
1W
-1.4%
AMC
AMC Networks Inc.
Peer
5Y
-90.5%
3Y
-56.5%
1Y
+6.3%
6M
-12.4%
1M
-3.9%
1W
-13.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
3.71
Forward P/E
10.36
PEG Ratio
0.74
P/B Ratio
-2.42
P/S Ratio
0.63
EV/Revenue
0.35
EV/EBITDA
1.86
Market Cap
$253.93M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 17.15%
Operating Margin 15.25%
Gross Margin 65.03%
ROE N/A
ROA 17.6%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -7.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.67
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.66
Poor
Cash/Share
$6.22

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q2 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
67.1%
Op. Margin
15.9%
Net Margin
13.9%
Total Assets
$0.2B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$-0.1B
Debt/Equity
-2.62x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-13
$N/A
2026-03-31
$0.76
-3.8% surprise
2025-11-23
$1.32
+218.1% surprise
2025-09-02
$0.9
+252.9% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing GDEV against 68 companies in the Communication Services sector (8 bullish, 24 neutral, 36 bearish)
P/E Ratio
3.71
This Stock
vs
25.81
Sector Avg
-85.6% (Discount)
Profit Margin
17.15%
This Stock
vs
16.96%
Sector Avg
+1.1% (Better)
Revenue Growth
-7.9%
This Stock
vs
77.06%
Sector Avg
-110.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.67
This Stock
vs
2.67
Sector Avg
-74.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GDEV from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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