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GGAL

BEARISH
$47.93 Live
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. · NASDAQ
Target $68.06 (+42.0%)
$25.89 52W Range $66.24

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$8.04B
P/E
53.85
ROE
2.5%
Profit margin
3.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
3.33%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
The deterministic health profile is critically weak, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a massive valuation gap where the current price ($47.93) trades at a significant premium to the Graham Number ($8.34) and Intrinsic Value ($6.23). While long-term price performance has been exceptional, current fundamentals show severe deterioration, including a negative YoY revenue growth of 10% and a catastrophic earnings surprise trend (-149.13% over the last 4 quarters). The dividend is unsustainable with a payout ratio of 123.58%, suggesting capital erosion. Despite bullish analyst targets, the hard data indicates a high-risk, overvalued asset.

Key Strengths

Strong long-term price appreciation (5Y Change: +740.1%)
Positive short-term momentum (6M Change: +41.4%)
Low Forward P/E (6.32) suggesting expected earnings recovery
Strong analyst buy recommendation (9 analysts)
Positive Q/Q revenue growth (39.09%)

Key Risks

Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Extreme overvaluation relative to book value (P/B 13.81)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (123.58%)
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Severe discrepancy between market price and defensive fair value (Graham Number)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$8.34
-82.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
31
Weak
Value
10
Future
35
Past
85
Health
15
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Overvalued
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Price-to-Book Ratio, Dividend Payout Ratio, Earnings Surprise Trend
Confidence
95%
Value
10/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 13.81 is extreme for a regional bank
  • Price is ~5.7x the Graham Number
  • Trailing P/E of 53.85 is high
Future
35/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong Q/Q revenue growth
  • Bullish analyst target price ($68.06)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY revenue growth (-10%)
  • Year-over-Year EPS growth of -109%
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Massive 5-year and 3-year returns
  • Strong recovery in the last 6 months
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-year return is slightly negative (-5%)
Health
15/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Operating margin is negative (-3.54%)
  • ROE is very low (2.49%)
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Current yield of 3.33%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 123.58% is fundamentally unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$47.93
Analyst Target
$68.06
Upside/Downside
+42.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GGAL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
GGA
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.
Primary
5Y
+740.1%
3Y
+417.2%
1Y
-5.0%
6M
+41.4%
1M
+8.9%
1W
+3.7%
AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
Peer
5Y
+139.7%
3Y
+87.3%
1Y
+17.7%
6M
+5.2%
1M
-6.3%
1W
+2.1%
BPO
Popular, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+138.1%
3Y
+95.5%
1Y
+24.0%
6M
+7.1%
1M
-3.2%
1W
-4.8%
BOK
BOK Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+89.8%
3Y
+43.0%
1Y
+22.1%
6M
+26.9%
1M
+8.8%
1W
+3.0%
AMG
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+181.7%
3Y
+94.2%
1Y
+71.8%
6M
+48.2%
1M
+9.8%
1W
-1.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
53.85
Forward P/E
6.32
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
13.81
P/S Ratio
0.0
EV/Revenue
0.27
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$8.04B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.09%
Operating Margin -3.54%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 2.49%
ROA 0.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -10.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +39.09%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$3115.14

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$2685.4B
Net Margin
-1.9%
Total Assets
$45779.1B
Liabilities
$38012.3B
Equity
$7766.5B
Debt/Equity
4.89x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-26
$N/A
2026-03-05
$-0.37
-178.1% surprise
2025-11-25
$-0.38
-239.7% surprise
2025-08-26
$0.79
-29.6% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing GGAL against 306 companies in the Financial Services sector (53 bullish, 132 neutral, 121 bearish)
P/E Ratio
53.85
This Stock
vs
55.13
Sector Avg
-2.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.49%
This Stock
vs
-0.93%
Sector Avg
-368.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.09%
This Stock
vs
69.73%
Sector Avg
-95.6% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-10.0%
This Stock
vs
32.66%
Sector Avg
-130.6% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-02-19
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-11-19
init
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-03
up
Neutral Buy
JP Morgan
2025-10-28
up
Neutral Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-10-22
down
Overweight Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GGAL from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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