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BPOP

NEUTRAL
$121.97 Live
Popular, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $145.7 (+19.5%)
$78.23 52W Range $131.1

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$8.24B
P/E
11.22
ROE
13.1%
Profit margin
27.0%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
2.37%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
BPOP's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. Despite strong profitability metrics and robust earnings growth, the lack of Altman Z-Score and missing key financial data (Debt/Equity, cash/debt levels) limits confidence in structural safety. The stock trades below analyst target and intrinsic value estimates but faces headwinds from bearish insider activity and weakening technical momentum. Solid dividend coverage and sector-leading earnings surprises provide offsetting positives.

Key Strengths

High profitability with operating margin of 36.11% and ROE of 13.05%, well above sector average
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 45.5% and consistent quarterly beats (3 out of last 4)
Attractive valuation relative to peers with P/E of 11.22 vs sector average of 21.55
Healthy dividend payout ratio of 25.27% supports sustainable 2.37% yield
Significant upside potential with current price 16.3% below $145.70 analyst target

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score of 4 suggests weak financial health and potential balance sheet inefficiencies
Missing Altman Z-Score and debt/equity data raises concerns about leverage and distress risk
Bearish insider sentiment with $5.19M in net officer/director sales over last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong near-term bearish momentum
Gross margin reported as 0.00%, atypical for a regional bank and potentially indicative of data anomaly or structural issue
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$320.66
+162.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
71
Strong
Value
85
Future
80
Past
70
Health
45
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Moderately positive fundamentals offset by health and technical concerns
Key drivers: Strong earnings growth and valuation discount to intrinsic value, Low Piotroski score and missing Altman Z-Score constrain upside, Bearish insider activity and technical trend pressure sentiment
Confidence
75%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 11.22 is significantly below sector average of 21.55
  • Trading below both Graham Number ($149.19) and Intrinsic Value ($320.66)
  • Forward P/E of 9.05 suggests further earnings de-rating priced in
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Future
80/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 45.5% YoY earnings growth indicates strong forward momentum
  • Consistent Q/Q earnings growth and high surprise rates support outlook
Watchpoints
  • Missing PEG ratio limits growth-adjusted valuation insight
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long history of earnings beats with 15.66% average surprise over last 4 quarters
  • 5-year price return of +138.1% outperforms most peers
Watchpoints
  • Recent deceleration in 1M and 1W performance (-3.2%, -4.8%)
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • ROA of 1.06% and ROE of 13.05% indicate capital efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health
  • Missing Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, and cash/debt figures limits risk assessment
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • 2.37% dividend yield with low 25.27% payout ratio ensures sustainability
  • Dividend strength score of 35/100 is low but supported by earnings coverage
Watchpoints
  • Lack of 5-year average yield data limits trend analysis

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$121.97
Analyst Target
$145.7
Upside/Downside
+19.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BPOP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BPO
Popular, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+138.1%
3Y
+95.5%
1Y
+24.0%
6M
+7.1%
1M
-3.2%
1W
-4.8%
FDS
FactSet Research Systems Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.1%
3Y
-43.8%
1Y
-46.9%
6M
-20.7%
1M
+15.6%
1W
-3.7%
SNE
StoneX Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+445.4%
3Y
+244.0%
1Y
+98.1%
6M
+58.6%
1M
+52.2%
1W
+14.1%
BOK
BOK Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+89.8%
3Y
+43.0%
1Y
+22.1%
6M
+26.9%
1M
+8.8%
1W
+3.0%
GGA
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.
Peer
5Y
+740.1%
3Y
+417.2%
1Y
-5.0%
6M
+41.4%
1M
+8.9%
1W
+3.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
11.22
Forward P/E
9.05
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.34
P/S Ratio
2.87
EV/Revenue
1.52
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$8.24B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 27.01%
Operating Margin 36.11%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 13.05%
ROA 1.06%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.6%
Earnings Growth +45.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +36.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$77.78

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-01-27
$N/A
2025-10-23
$3.14
+8.1% surprise
2025-07-23
$3.09
+21.8% surprise
2025-04-23
$2.56
+17.2% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing BPOP against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.22
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-68.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.05%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-1881.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
27.01%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-70.5% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
11.6%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-67.1% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CARRION RICHARD LOUIS
Director
Sell
2025-11-24
25,000 shares · $2,837,500
RODRIGUEZ ADORNO DENISSA
Officer
Sell
2025-11-21
1,000 shares · $114,845
MONZON GILBERTO
Officer
Sell
2025-09-02
18,000 shares · $2,240,605
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
Citigroup
2025-12-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-10-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-10-24
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-10-09
init
Buy
Wells Fargo
2025-09-22
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BPOP from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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