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HCM

NEUTRAL
$15.24 Live
HUTCHMED (China) Limited · NASDAQ
Target $22.85 (+50.0%)
$12.98 52W Range $19.5

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$2.62B
P/E
5.75
ROE
45.2%
Profit margin
83.3%
Debt/Equity
0.08
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
HCM presents a contradictory profile: it is fundamentally undervalued based on deterministic metrics, with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 (Stable) and a current price ($15.24) well below both its Graham Number ($20.72) and Intrinsic Value ($18.55). However, the company's operational health is concerning, characterized by negative revenue growth (-16.5%) and a severe collapse in earnings (-98.1% YoY). While the balance sheet is exceptionally strong with very low debt and high liquidity, the core business is currently unprofitable at the operating level. The investment case relies on a turnaround or a catalyst to realize the analyst target price of $22.85.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.96
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity of 0.08)
Trading at a significant discount to Graham Number ($20.72)
Low trailing P/E ratio of 5.75
Positive 1-year price performance (+21.6%)

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-98.1% YoY)
Negative operating margin (-13.16%) indicating core business losses
Declining revenue growth (-16.5% YoY)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
High discrepancy between net profit margin and operating margin suggesting non-core gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.2
+19.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
85
Future
20
Past
30
Health
75
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Value Play
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Deep valuation discount, Poor operational growth, Negative operating cash flow profile
Confidence
85%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 5.75, Graham Number $20.72

Positives
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Price below Intrinsic Value
  • Low trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E (29.34) is significantly higher than trailing P/E, suggesting expected earnings drop
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price suggests 50% upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -16.5%
  • Earnings growth -98.1%
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent 1Y recovery
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change of -48%
  • Consistent history of earnings misses/volatility
Health
75/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
  • Debt/Equity 0.08
  • Current Ratio 4.96
Watchpoints
  • Negative ROA (-1.62%)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0/100 strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.24
Analyst Target
$22.85
Upside/Downside
+50.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HCM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HCM
HUTCHMED (China) Limited
Primary
5Y
-48.0%
3Y
-1.7%
1Y
+21.6%
6M
+1.1%
1M
+4.6%
1W
-1.2%
APL
Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-59.8%
3Y
-70.9%
1Y
-22.3%
6M
-23.8%
1M
-15.1%
1W
-5.6%
ARQ
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.1%
3Y
+98.3%
1Y
+53.6%
6M
+31.6%
1M
-14.4%
1W
-5.2%
ATE
Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+4.7%
3Y
+20.4%
1Y
+33.9%
6M
+44.4%
1M
-24.8%
1W
-11.9%
HTF
Heartflow, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-10.1%
3Y
-10.1%
1Y
-10.1%
6M
-19.5%
1M
+21.3%
1W
+8.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
5.75
Forward P/E
29.34
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.12
P/S Ratio
4.78
EV/Revenue
21.59
EV/EBITDA
-458.18
Market Cap
$2.62B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 83.3%
Operating Margin -13.16%
Gross Margin 11.64%
ROE 45.25%
ROA -1.62%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -16.5%
Earnings Growth -98.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -83.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.08
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.96
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.81
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.59

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Total Assets
$1.8B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$1.2B
Debt/Equity
0.41x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-30
$N/A
2022-03-02
$-0.03
+77.5% surprise
2021-07-28
$-0.4
-477.9% surprise
2021-06-21
$-0.3
+18.9% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing HCM against 226 companies in the Healthcare sector (19 bullish, 76 neutral, 131 bearish)
P/E Ratio
5.75
This Stock
vs
45.29
Sector Avg
-87.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
45.25%
This Stock
vs
-40.43%
Sector Avg
-211.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
83.3%
This Stock
vs
-18.65%
Sector Avg
-546.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.08
This Stock
vs
4.61
Sector Avg
-98.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-16.5%
This Stock
vs
97.21%
Sector Avg
-117.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.96
This Stock
vs
3.51
Sector Avg
+41.4% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
15 analysts
B of A Securities
2026-03-10
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HCM from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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