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HRZN

BEARISH
$4.52 Live
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $5.5 (+21.7%)
$3.98 52W Range $9.07

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$216.08M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-0.8%
Profit margin
-2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.49
Dividend yield
25.66%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
HRZN exhibits severe financial deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a bearish technical trend of 0/100. While the stock trades at a discount to book value (P/B 0.65), this is offset by negative revenue growth (-12.20%) and a catastrophic dividend payout ratio of 224.56%. The company is effectively paying out more than it earns, signaling an imminent dividend cut. Despite a modest analyst target of $5.50, the fundamental trajectory is sharply negative.

Key Strengths

Trading significantly below book value (P/B 0.65)
Low forward P/E ratio of 5.95
Positive Return on Assets (ROA) of 5.99%
Current price is near the 52-week low, limiting immediate downside volatility
Analyst target price ($5.50) suggests a potential 21% upside if stability returns

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (224.56%) indicating a high risk of dividend cuts
Weak financial health as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Negative revenue growth (-12.20% YoY) and declining EPS
Long-term price erosion with a 5-year change of -48.2%
Negative profit margin (-2.77%) and negative ROE (-0.81%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.25
-6.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
27
Weak
Value
55
Future
20
Past
30
Health
20
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Unsustainable dividend, Deteriorating financial health (Piotroski), Negative growth metrics
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E 5.95, P/B 0.65

Positives
  • P/B of 0.65 is very low
  • Forward P/E is attractive
Watchpoints
  • Low valuation is justified by declining earnings
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -12.20%
  • YoY EPS growth -33.3%
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical ability to beat earnings estimates in some quarters
Watchpoints
  • 5Y price change -48.2%
  • Consistent downward trend
Health
20/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio 1.56 provides some short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9 indicates weak health
  • Negative ROE
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Extremely high nominal yield (25.66%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio 224.56% is fundamentally unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.52
Analyst Target
$5.5
Upside/Downside
+21.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HRZN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HRZ
Horizon Technology Finance Corporation
Primary
5Y
-48.2%
3Y
-39.6%
1Y
-32.4%
6M
-15.3%
1M
+8.2%
1W
+5.6%
ATL
Ames National Corporation
Peer
5Y
+26.8%
3Y
+16.5%
1Y
+43.4%
6M
+34.4%
1M
+5.2%
1W
+3.1%
CMT
Community Bancorp
Peer
5Y
+130.5%
3Y
+116.2%
1Y
+119.1%
6M
+63.4%
1M
+15.3%
1W
+16.1%
AIF
AIFU Inc.
Peer
5Y
-99.3%
3Y
-98.8%
1Y
-75.2%
6M
-67.8%
1M
+11.1%
1W
+4.6%
CZW
Citizens Community Bancorp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+70.0%
3Y
+105.0%
1Y
+55.1%
6M
+29.3%
1M
+14.6%
1W
+3.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
5.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.65
P/S Ratio
2.25
EV/Revenue
6.08
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$216.08M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -2.77%
Operating Margin 78.47%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE -0.81%
ROA 5.99%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -12.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.49
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.56
Good
Quick Ratio
1.53
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.21

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Net Margin
79.2%
Total Assets
$0.8B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.3B
Debt/Equity
1.55x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-03-03
$0.18
-38.8% surprise
2025-10-28
$0.68
+144.7% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.28
+0.8% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing HRZN against 341 companies in the Financial Services sector (60 bullish, 147 neutral, 134 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-0.81%
This Stock
vs
-0.66%
Sector Avg
+22.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-2.77%
This Stock
vs
63.27%
Sector Avg
-104.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.49
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
+9.3% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-12.2%
This Stock
vs
44.9%
Sector Avg
-127.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.56
This Stock
vs
3.26
Sector Avg
-52.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
5 analysts
Oppenheimer
2026-03-24
Maintains
Perform Perform
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2025-11-19
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2025-10-14
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HRZN from our newsroom.

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