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HTZ

BEARISH
$6.32 Live
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $4.33 (-31.4%)
$3.6 52W Range $9.39

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$1.97B
P/E
N/A
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
-8.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
HTZ exhibits severe financial distress, anchored by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a negative Price-to-Book ratio of -4.29, indicating negative shareholder equity. While the stock has experienced a speculative short-term price surge, the fundamental health is critical with a Current Ratio of 0.57 and a Quick Ratio of 0.32, signaling significant liquidity risks. Furthermore, the current market price of $6.32 trades at a substantial premium to the analyst target price of $4.33. The combination of stagnant revenue growth and volatile, predominantly negative earnings suggests a high risk of further capital erosion.

Key Strengths

Very low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.23) suggesting high revenue relative to market cap
Recent short-term price momentum (1M change +53.4%)
Forward P/E of 19.95 suggests market anticipation of a return to profitability
Positive 1-year price return (+52.7%) despite poor fundamentals
Occasional significant earnings beats (e.g., Nov 2025)

Key Risks

Negative equity (P/B -4.29) indicating insolvency risk
Severe liquidity crisis with a Quick Ratio of 0.32
Stagnant to negative revenue growth (-0.60% YoY)
Extreme earnings volatility and consistent quarterly losses
Current price is significantly overvalued relative to analyst target ($6.32 vs $4.33)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.33
-31.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
12
Weak
Value
10
Future
20
Past
25
Health
5
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Negative Book Value, Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Liquidity Ratios < 1.0, Price > Analyst Target
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100

P/B of -4.29 indicates the company's liabilities exceed its assets.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
  • Negative P/B ratio
  • No Graham Number available due to negative earnings/equity
Future
20/100

Revenue growth is flat to declining (-0.60%), providing no fundamental catalyst for growth.

Positives
  • Forward P/E suggests potential recovery
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY revenue growth
  • Negative Q/Q revenue growth
Past
25/100

Long-term trend is overwhelmingly bearish despite recent volatility.

Positives
  • Recent 1-year recovery in price
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price collapse of -76.6%
  • History of massive earnings misses
Health
5/100

The company fails almost all deterministic health checks, indicating high bankruptcy risk.

Positives
  • Positive ROA (marginal 0.08%)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9 (Weak)
  • Current Ratio 0.57
  • Quick Ratio 0.32
Dividend
0/100

Company is in no position to return capital to shareholders.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$6.32
Analyst Target
$4.33
Upside/Downside
-31.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HTZ and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HTZ
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-76.6%
3Y
-61.1%
1Y
+52.7%
6M
+12.9%
1M
+53.4%
1W
+23.7%
FA
First Advantage Corporation
Peer
5Y
-36.4%
3Y
-5.0%
1Y
-13.3%
6M
-24.8%
1M
-2.9%
1W
+1.0%
HUR
Huron Consulting Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+121.3%
3Y
+49.8%
1Y
-15.6%
6M
-16.9%
1M
-10.7%
1W
-7.5%
ARC
ArcBest Corporation
Peer
5Y
+20.9%
3Y
-7.4%
1Y
+17.0%
6M
+21.0%
1M
-20.0%
1W
-9.0%
CMP
Cimpress plc
Peer
5Y
-30.3%
3Y
+71.5%
1Y
+78.1%
6M
+17.5%
1M
+3.2%
1W
+1.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
19.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-4.29
P/S Ratio
0.23
EV/Revenue
2.44
EV/EBITDA
142.03
Market Cap
$1.97B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -8.78%
Operating Margin -6.11%
Gross Margin 13.88%
ROE N/A
ROA 0.08%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -0.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.59%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.57
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.32
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.81

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$2.0B
Gross Margin
4.3%
Op. Margin
-8.1%
Net Margin
-9.6%
Total Assets
$22.3B
Liabilities
$22.8B
Equity
$-0.5B
Debt/Equity
-49.61x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-2.4B
Free Cash Flow
$-2.2B
FCF Yield
-1149%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$-0.63
-22.2% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.42
+1160.1% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.34
+17.4% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing HTZ against 199 companies in the Industrials sector (16 bullish, 81 neutral, 102 bearish)
Profit Margin
-8.78%
This Stock
vs
26.28%
Sector Avg
-133.4% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-0.6%
This Stock
vs
30.91%
Sector Avg
-101.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.57
This Stock
vs
3.11
Sector Avg
-81.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BLAKE FRANCIS S
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
2,712 shares · $12,502
VOUGESSIS EVANGELINE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
2,712 shares · $12,502
BUSSANI PIERO
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
173,211 shares
WEST WAYNE GILBERT
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
923,788 shares
HARALSON SCOTT M
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
288,684 shares
CHOPRA JYOTI
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
115,474 shares
KOSMAN MARK E
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
57,737 shares
DUBE SANDEEP
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
288,684 shares
BERG CHRISTOPHER G.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
173,211 shares
MOORE MICHAEL S
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
173,211 shares
BUSSANI PIERO
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
361,231 shares
CHOPRA JYOTI
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
301,004 shares
BLAKE FRANCIS S
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,432 shares · $12,500
VOUGESSIS EVANGELINE
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,432 shares · $12,500
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
6 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-06
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HTZ from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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