ARCB
BEARISH
$84.87
Live
ArcBest Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $100.25
(+18.1%)
$55.19
52W Range
$112.92
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$1.91B
P/E
32.39
ROE
4.6%
Profit margin
1.5%
Debt/Equity
0.36
Dividend yield
0.57%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
ArcBest Corporation's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling deterioration in operational efficiency and profitability. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about potential distress risk, especially given a current ratio of 0.95 and quick ratio of 0.79, both below safe thresholds. Despite a seemingly attractive forward P/E of 11.68, the company exhibits negative revenue growth (-2.90% YoY) and severe earnings declines (YoY EPS down 72.9%), undermining long-term sustainability. The Graham Number of $58.46 suggests a defensive fair value, yet the stock trades at $84.87—over 44% above this benchmark—indicating significant overvaluation. Analysts' 'buy' recommendation appears misaligned with deteriorating fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Forward P/E of 11.68 suggests potential undervaluation relative to future earnings expectations
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 indicates a conservative capital structure
Historical earnings surprises include several strong beats (e.g., +54.1%, +75.1%) indicating occasional upside potential
Conservative dividend payout ratio of 18.32% provides room for future increases
Insider sentiment is neutral, with no recent trading activity suggesting no immediate insider confidence or concern
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, with multiple red flags in profitability and cash flow
Negative revenue growth (-2.90% YoY) and steep earnings decline (-72.9% YoY) indicate deteriorating business momentum
Current ratio (0.95) and quick ratio (0.79) below 1.0 suggest liquidity pressures
Stock trades at 44% above the Graham Number ($58.46), indicating significant overvaluation based on defensive metrics
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), with recent 1-month and 1-week declines of -20.0% and -9.0%, respectively
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$58.46
-31.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
38
Weak
35
28
55
30
40
AI Verdict
bearish
Key drivers: Weak Piotroski F-Score (4/9), Negative revenue and earnings growth, Overvaluation relative to Graham Number, Liquidity ratios below safe thresholds, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
85%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 11.68 is attractive relative to historical and sector averages
- Graham Number of $58.46 provides a defensive floor
Watchpoints
- Current price ($84.87) is 44% above Graham Number
- No PEG ratio available limits growth-adjusted valuation analysis
- Price/Sales of 0.48 is low but not indicative of value given declining revenue
Future
28/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E suggests earnings recovery is priced in
- Analyst target price of $100.25 implies upside potential
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is negative (-2.90% YoY)
- Earnings growth is severely negative (-72.9% YoY)
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth is -75.3%, indicating worsening performance
- No clear path to sustainable growth in near term
Past
55/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical earnings have shown strong upside surprises (e.g., +54.1%, +75.1%)
- Consistent dividend payments with low payout ratio
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings track record shows only 1 out of 4 quarters beating estimates
- Average earnings surprise over last 4 quarters is -4.77%
- Declining trend in EPS over the past two years
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 is low and stable
- No Altman Z-Score available, but conservative leverage is a positive
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for financial health
- Current ratio (0.95) and quick ratio (0.79) below 1.0 indicate liquidity risk
- Operating margin of 0.42% and ROE of 4.61% are weak for the sector
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 0.57% is stable
- Payout ratio of 18.32% is sustainable and conservative
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates low overall quality
- No 5-year average yield available, limiting trend analysis
- Low yield may deter income investors
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$84.87
Analyst Target
$100.25
Upside/Downside
+18.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ARCB and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
Primary
|
+20.9% | -7.4% | +17.0% | +21.0% | -20.0% | -9.0% |
|
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
Peer
|
+32.2% | +45.4% | -12.2% | -17.1% | -6.1% | -1.4% |
|
FA
First Advantage Corporation
Peer
|
-36.4% | -5.0% | -13.3% | -24.8% | -2.9% | +1.0% |
|
HTZ
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-76.6% | -61.1% | +52.7% | +12.9% | +53.4% | +23.7% |
|
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
Peer
|
-10.2% | +39.6% | +105.2% | +32.2% | +32.6% | +14.8% |
ARC
ArcBest Corporation
Primary
5Y
+20.9%
3Y
-7.4%
1Y
+17.0%
6M
+21.0%
1M
-20.0%
1W
-9.0%
EPA
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
Peer
5Y
+32.2%
3Y
+45.4%
1Y
-12.2%
6M
-17.1%
1M
-6.1%
1W
-1.4%
FA
First Advantage Corporation
Peer
5Y
-36.4%
3Y
-5.0%
1Y
-13.3%
6M
-24.8%
1M
-2.9%
1W
+1.0%
HTZ
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-76.6%
3Y
-61.1%
1Y
+52.7%
6M
+12.9%
1M
+53.4%
1W
+23.7%
CTO
Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-10.2%
3Y
+39.6%
1Y
+105.2%
6M
+32.2%
1M
+32.6%
1W
+14.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
32.39
Forward P/E
11.68
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.46
P/S Ratio
0.48
EV/Revenue
0.56
EV/EBITDA
8.78
Market Cap
$1.91B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.5%
Operating Margin
0.42%
Gross Margin
7.79%
ROE
4.61%
ROA
2.15%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.36
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.95
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.79
Poor
Cash/Share
$5.57
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-01-30
$0.36
-13.8% surprise
2025-11-05
$1.46
+6.6% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.36
-7.1% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ARCB against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
32.39
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-67.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.61%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-123.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.5%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-77.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.36
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-86.4%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-104.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.95
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-69.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
|
BEARISH | $1.91B | 32.39 | 4.6% | 1.5% | $84.87 | |
|
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
|
BEARISH | $1.86B | 22.14 | 21.0% | 13.7% | $35.21 | Compare |
|
FA
First Advantage Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $1.97B | - | -2.7% | -2.2% | $11.29 | Compare |
|
HTZ
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.97B | - | -% | -8.8% | $6.32 | Compare |
|
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.98B | - | -3.7% | -1.6% | $8.74 | Compare |
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.9B
P/E
32.4
ROE
4.6%
Price
$84.87
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | PINKERTON MAC | Officer | Stock Award | 2,150 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | MCREYNOLDS JUDY RENEE | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 7,500 | - |
| 2025-11-12 | SULTEMEIER CHRIS T | Director | Stock Award | 2,450 | - |
PINKERTON MAC
Officer
2026-02-06
2,150 shares
MCREYNOLDS JUDY RENEE
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-05
7,500 shares
SULTEMEIER CHRIS T
Director
2025-11-12
2,450 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
12 analysts
Citigroup
2026-03-09
Buy
Buy
Stifel
2026-02-02
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-02
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-02-02
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2026-02-02
Neutral
Neutral
Jefferies
2026-02-02
Buy
Buy
Stifel
2026-01-21
Buy
Buy
Truist Securities
2026-01-15
Buy
Buy
TD Cowen
2026-01-09
Hold
Hold
Citigroup
2026-01-08
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ARCB from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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