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CTOS

BEARISH
$8.74 Live
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. · NYSE
Target $8.14 (-6.8%)
$3.77 52W Range $8.96

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$1.98B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-3.7%
Profit margin
-1.6%
Debt/Equity
2.99
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
CTOS exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health. While the stock has seen a massive 1-year price surge (+105.2%), this momentum is disconnected from the underlying financials, which show negative profit margins (-1.60%) and declining earnings growth (-26.50%). High leverage (Debt/Equity of 2.99) combined with a dangerously low Quick Ratio (0.24) suggests significant liquidity risk. The valuation is stretched with a Forward P/E of 41.62 despite stagnant revenue growth.

Key Strengths

Strong 1-year price appreciation (+105.2%)
Positive operating margin (10.68%) despite net losses
Reasonable Price-to-Sales ratio (1.02)
Positive analyst recommendation (Buy) from 7 analysts
Market capitalization provides some scale in the rental/leasing industry

Key Risks

Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Severe liquidity risk indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.24
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.99
Negative net profit margins and declining YoY earnings (-26.50%)
Stagnant revenue growth (1.40%) failing to justify high Forward P/E
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.85
-10.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
35
Future
30
Past
50
Health
15
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative/High Risk
Key drivers: Poor Piotroski Score, Liquidity crunch, Earnings deterioration, Price/Fundamental disconnect
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100

Forward P/E 41.62, P/B 2.45

Positives
  • P/S ratio is relatively low at 1.02
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 41.62 is excessive for current growth
  • Negative profit margins
Future
30/100

Revenue Growth 1.40%, Earnings Growth -26.50%

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth spike
Watchpoints
  • YoY Revenue growth is nearly flat (1.40%)
  • YoY Earnings growth is sharply negative (-26.50%)
Past
50/100

1Y Change +105.2%, Avg Surprise -33.77%

Positives
  • Exceptional 1-year price return
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings surprise track record (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
  • Average surprise of -33.77%
Health
15/100

Piotroski F-Score 2/9, Quick Ratio 0.24

Positives
  • Current ratio is above 1.0 (1.33)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9 (Weak)
  • Quick Ratio 0.24 (Critical)
  • Debt/Equity 2.99 (High)
Dividend
0/100

Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$8.74
Analyst Target
$8.14
Upside/Downside
-6.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CTOS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
CTO
Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-10.2%
3Y
+39.6%
1Y
+105.2%
6M
+32.2%
1M
+32.6%
1W
+14.8%
HTZ
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-76.6%
3Y
-61.1%
1Y
+52.7%
6M
+12.9%
1M
+53.4%
1W
+23.7%
CMR
Costamare Inc.
Peer
5Y
+97.0%
3Y
+99.1%
1Y
+83.3%
6M
+45.4%
1M
-2.6%
1W
-4.9%
FA
First Advantage Corporation
Peer
5Y
-36.4%
3Y
-5.0%
1Y
-13.3%
6M
-24.8%
1M
-2.9%
1W
+1.0%
HUR
Huron Consulting Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+121.3%
3Y
+49.8%
1Y
-15.6%
6M
-16.9%
1M
-10.7%
1W
-7.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
41.62
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.45
P/S Ratio
1.02
EV/Revenue
2.26
EV/EBITDA
23.14
Market Cap
$1.98B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -1.6%
Operating Margin 10.68%
Gross Margin 21.19%
ROE -3.72%
ROA 2.55%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.4%
Earnings Growth -26.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.43%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -24.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.99
High debt
Current Ratio
1.33
Good
Quick Ratio
0.24
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.03

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.5B
Gross Margin
23.3%
Op. Margin
10.7%
Net Margin
4.0%
Total Assets
$3.4B
Liabilities
$2.6B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
3.25x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-128%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-27
$N/A
2026-03-10
$0.13
+108.5% surprise
2025-10-27
$-0.03
-24.5% surprise
2025-07-30
$-0.09
-185.3% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing CTOS against 418 companies in the Industrials sector (33 bullish, 147 neutral, 238 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-3.72%
This Stock
vs
-22.62%
Sector Avg
-83.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.6%
This Stock
vs
6.48%
Sector Avg
-124.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.99
This Stock
vs
2.75
Sector Avg
+8.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.4%
This Stock
vs
78.58%
Sector Avg
-98.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.33
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
-58.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-25

CTOS filed a current report, likely announcing its quarterly financial results or a material corporate update.

10-K
FORM 10-K
2026-03-10

CTOS filed its annual Form 10-K on March 10, 2026, which includes standard disclosures regarding its business operations, financial condition, and market risks. While specific financial metrics and risk details were not provided in the excerpts, the filing contains comprehensive sections on Management's Discussion and Analysis and Risk Factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-10

CTOS filed an 8-K on March 10, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results or the filing of its annual report.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-23
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-27

CTOS filed its 10-Q on October 27, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a detailed section on risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-27

CTOS filed an 8-K on October 27, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-30

CTOS filed its quarterly 10-Q report on July 30, 2025. The filing includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-30

CTOS filed an 8-K on July 30, 2025, likely to report its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-06-12
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-30
8-K
8-K
2025-04-30

CTOS reported its first-quarter financial results for the period ending March 31, 2025.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-28
10-K
10-K
2025-03-04
8-K
8-K
2025-03-04
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2025-02-03
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-04-21
init
Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-03-11
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
DA Davidson
2026-03-11
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2026-01-14
Maintains
Underweight Underweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CTOS from our newsroom.

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