JAKK
BEARISH
$21.82
Live
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $28.5
(+30.6%)
$14.87
52W Range
$23.6
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 12, 2026
Market cap
$249.72M
P/E
25.37
ROE
4.0%
Profit margin
1.7%
Debt/Equity
0.21
Dividend yield
4.58%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
JAKK exhibits significant fundamental weakness, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and negative operating margins. While the current price ($21.82) sits near the Graham Number ($20.61), it is priced substantially higher than its growth-based intrinsic value of $6.02. A critical red flag is the dividend payout ratio of 116.28%, indicating the dividend is currently unsustainable. Despite a clean balance sheet and low debt, shrinking revenues and a bearish technical trend suggest a lack of organic growth momentum.
Key Strengths
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.82
Attractive Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.44
Price-to-Book ratio near parity (0.99)
Strong 5-year historical price appreciation (+236.8%)
Key Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (116.28%)
Negative operating margins (-6.77%)
Weak financial health as indicated by Piotroski F-Score (3/9)
Negative YoY and Q/Q revenue growth
Extreme volatility in quarterly earnings and EPS
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$13.32
-39.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
37
Weak
55
30
50
30
20
AI Verdict
Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Unsustainable dividend, Negative operating margins, Weak Piotroski score, Revenue contraction
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100
Ref P/E 25.37, Graham Number $20.61
Positives
- P/S is very low
- Price is near Graham Number
Watchpoints
- Price is 3.6x higher than growth-based intrinsic value
Future
30/100
Ref Revenue Growth -2.80%
Positives
- Low forward P/E suggests expected earnings recovery
Watchpoints
- Negative revenue growth
- Bearish technical trend (10/100)
Past
50/100
Ref 5Y Change +236.8%
Positives
- Strong 5-year price performance
Watchpoints
- Inconsistent quarterly earnings track record
Health
30/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity
- Healthy Current Ratio
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
- Negative operating margins
Dividend
20/100
Ref Payout Ratio 116.28%
Positives
- Yield is relatively high at 4.58%
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio exceeds 100%, indicating capital erosion
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$21.82
Analyst Target
$28.5
Upside/Downside
+30.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for JAKK and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Primary
|
+236.8% | +14.9% | +23.2% | +26.7% | +6.9% | +8.2% |
|
ESCA
Escalade, Incorporated
Peer
|
+3.5% | +34.6% | +29.1% | +52.9% | +15.1% | -1.2% |
|
FLXS
Flexsteel Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+36.1% | +177.0% | +37.7% | +15.1% | +4.3% | +4.2% |
|
FLWS
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.
Peer
|
-86.9% | -70.5% | -39.8% | -23.1% | +2.7% | +6.2% |
|
JACK
Jack in the Box Inc.
Peer
|
-88.8% | -86.2% | -53.9% | -34.0% | -14.4% | +14.6% |
JAK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+236.8%
3Y
+14.9%
1Y
+23.2%
6M
+26.7%
1M
+6.9%
1W
+8.2%
ESC
Escalade, Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+3.5%
3Y
+34.6%
1Y
+29.1%
6M
+52.9%
1M
+15.1%
1W
-1.2%
FLX
Flexsteel Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+36.1%
3Y
+177.0%
1Y
+37.7%
6M
+15.1%
1M
+4.3%
1W
+4.2%
FLW
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-86.9%
3Y
-70.5%
1Y
-39.8%
6M
-23.1%
1M
+2.7%
1W
+6.2%
JAC
Jack in the Box Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.8%
3Y
-86.2%
1Y
-53.9%
6M
-34.0%
1M
-14.4%
1W
+14.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
25.37
Forward P/E
6.56
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.99
P/S Ratio
0.44
EV/Revenue
0.44
EV/EBITDA
10.3
Market Cap
$249.72M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.73%
Operating Margin
-6.77%
Gross Margin
34.13%
ROE
4.03%
ROA
2.0%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-2.77%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.21
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.82
Good
Quick Ratio
1.34
Good
Cash/Share
$4.56
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
31.0%
Op. Margin
-6.8%
Net Margin
-4.2%
Total Assets
$0.4B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
0.78x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
95%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-02-19
$-0.18
+82.3% surprise
2025-10-30
$1.8
-15.1% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.03
+117.1% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing JAKK against 168 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(12 bullish, 64 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.37
This Stock
vs
37.71
Sector Avg
-32.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.03%
This Stock
vs
-6.4%
Sector Avg
-162.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.73%
This Stock
vs
-3.21%
Sector Avg
-154.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.21
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-85.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.8%
This Stock
vs
7.15%
Sector Avg
-139.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.82
This Stock
vs
2.21
Sector Avg
-17.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $249.72M | 25.37 | 4.0% | 1.7% | $21.82 | |
|
ESCA
Escalade, Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $245.43M | 17.6 | 8.0% | 5.7% | $17.78 | Compare |
|
FLXS
Flexsteel Industries, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $259.42M | 13.26 | 12.3% | 4.6% | $48.53 | Compare |
|
FLWS
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $219.11M | - | -54.2% | -13.4% | $3.42 | Compare |
|
JACK
Jack in the Box Inc.
|
BEARISH | $218.73M | - | -% | -8.1% | $11.45 | Compare |
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$250M
P/E
25.4
ROE
4.0%
Price
$21.82
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | KIMBLE JOHN LOUIS | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 35,111 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | BERMAN STEPHEN G | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 140,971 | $2,379,590 |
| 2025-10-24 | KIMBLE JOHN LOUIS | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 20,994 | $406,024 |
| 2025-10-24 | BERMAN STEPHEN G | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 91,874 | $1,776,843 |
KIMBLE JOHN LOUIS
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-31
35,111 shares
BERMAN STEPHEN G
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-31
140,971 shares
·
$2,379,590
KIMBLE JOHN LOUIS
Chief Financial Officer
2025-10-24
20,994 shares
·
$406,024
BERMAN STEPHEN G
Chief Executive Officer
2025-10-24
91,874 shares
·
$1,776,843
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Small Cap Consumer Research
2026-03-16
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2026-02-20
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2026-01-06
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-12-16
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-10-31
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-10-23
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning JAKK from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.