MCW
NEUTRAL
$6.99
Live
Mister Car Wash, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $7.06
(+0.9%)
$4.61
52W Range
$7.98
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$2.3B
P/E
22.55
ROE
9.7%
Profit margin
9.8%
Debt/Equity
1.56
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
80%
MCW presents a mixed profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating reasonable operational health, though it lacks an Altman Z-Score for bankruptcy risk assessment. While the stock trades below its growth-based intrinsic value of $9.14, it sits above the defensive Graham Number of $4.91. Explosive earnings growth (198.5% YoY) is the primary bullish driver, but this is contrasted by stagnant revenue growth and alarming liquidity ratios. The overall outlook is tempered by bearish insider activity and a historically poor 5-year price trajectory.
Key Strengths
Exceptional YoY earnings growth of 198.50%
Strong operating margin of 20.11%
Forward P/E (12.87) suggests significant valuation compression as earnings rise
Current price is below the growth-based intrinsic value of $9.14
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates over the last 20 quarters
Key Risks
Severe liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.32 and Quick Ratio of 0.24
Bearish insider sentiment with sales from the CEO, CFO, and CTO
Sluggish top-line revenue growth (4.00% YoY)
High Debt/Equity ratio (1.56) compared to sector average (1.37)
Long-term price erosion with a 65.6% decline over 5 years
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.05
+0.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
44
Moderate
65
70
40
45
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously Neutral
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Liquidity crisis risk, Insider divestment, Valuation gap
Confidence
85%
Value
65/100
P/E 22.55, Forward P/E 12.87, Graham $4.91
Positives
- Trades below intrinsic value
- Forward P/E is attractive
Watchpoints
- Trades above Graham Number
- P/B of 2.03 is moderate
Future
70/100
Earnings Growth 198.5%, Revenue Growth 4%
Positives
- Massive EPS growth
- Positive earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Low revenue growth suggests saturation or pricing pressure
Past
40/100
5Y Change -65.6%
Positives
- Strong 6-month recovery (+49.4%)
Watchpoints
- Devastating 5-year return (-65.6%)
Health
45/100
Piotroski 6/9, Current Ratio 0.32
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Critical liquidity ratios (Current Ratio 0.32)
- Debt/Equity 1.56
Dividend
0/100
Yield N/A, Payout 0%
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$6.99
Analyst Target
$7.06
Upside/Downside
+0.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MCW and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc.
Primary
|
-65.6% | -19.0% | -3.6% | +49.4% | +0.4% | +0.1% |
|
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
Peer
|
-71.0% | -55.9% | +15.0% | -25.0% | +1.2% | -0.2% |
|
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-45.7% | +29.0% | +136.4% | -6.6% | -4.0% | +7.5% |
|
GT
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
Peer
|
-60.2% | -35.0% | -21.6% | +4.0% | -2.5% | +6.8% |
|
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc.
Peer
|
-1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -9.4% | -1.2% |
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-65.6%
3Y
-19.0%
1Y
-3.6%
6M
+49.4%
1M
+0.4%
1W
+0.1%
MLC
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
Peer
5Y
-71.0%
3Y
-55.9%
1Y
+15.0%
6M
-25.0%
1M
+1.2%
1W
-0.2%
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-45.7%
3Y
+29.0%
1Y
+136.4%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-4.0%
1W
+7.5%
GT
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
Peer
5Y
-60.2%
3Y
-35.0%
1Y
-21.6%
6M
+4.0%
1M
-2.5%
1W
+6.8%
AND
Andersen Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-1.8%
3Y
-1.8%
1Y
-1.8%
6M
-1.8%
1M
-9.4%
1W
-1.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.55
Forward P/E
12.87
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.03
P/S Ratio
2.18
EV/Revenue
3.84
EV/EBITDA
13.31
Market Cap
$2.3B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
9.8%
Operating Margin
20.11%
Gross Margin
32.49%
ROE
9.67%
ROA
4.28%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+4.0%
Earnings Growth
+198.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+4.01%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+118.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.56
High debt
Current Ratio
0.32
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.24
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.09
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
71.3%
Op. Margin
20.0%
Net Margin
7.7%
Total Assets
$3.2B
Liabilities
$2.0B
Equity
$1.1B
Debt/Equity
1.80x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-28%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.11
+10.0% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.11
+7.4% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.11
-12.3% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing MCW against 205 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(12 bullish, 78 neutral, 115 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.55
This Stock
vs
36.28
Sector Avg
-37.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.67%
This Stock
vs
-8.76%
Sector Avg
-210.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
9.8%
This Stock
vs
-4.71%
Sector Avg
-308.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.56
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
+14.3%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
4.0%
This Stock
vs
4.71%
Sector Avg
-15.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.32
This Stock
vs
2.41
Sector Avg
-86.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.3B | 22.55 | 9.7% | 9.8% | $6.99 | |
|
MLCO
Melco Resorts &...
|
NEUTRAL | $2.3B | 12.3 | -% | 3.6% | $5.66 | Compare |
|
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.04B | 65.95 | 3.5% | 1.5% | $25.72 | Compare |
|
GT
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
|
BEARISH | $2.03B | - | -41.3% | -9.4% | $7.1 | Compare |
|
ANDG
Andersen Group Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.56B | - | -% | 6.9% | $23.07 | Compare |
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$2.3B
P/E
22.5
ROE
9.7%
Price
$6.99
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | MATHENY JOSEPH DUANE | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 2,318 | $16,411 |
| 2026-03-02 | LAI JOHN LO-MINN | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 22,037 | $156,022 |
| 2026-03-02 | GOLD JEDIDIAH MARC | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 4,761 | $33,708 |
| 2026-02-27 | MATHENY JOSEPH DUANE | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 5,068 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | LAI JOHN LO-MINN | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 81,081 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | GOLD JEDIDIAH MARC | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 15,203 | - |
MATHENY JOSEPH DUANE
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-02
2,318 shares
·
$16,411
LAI JOHN LO-MINN
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-02
22,037 shares
·
$156,022
GOLD JEDIDIAH MARC
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-02
4,761 shares
·
$33,708
MATHENY JOSEPH DUANE
Chief Technology Officer
2026-02-27
5,068 shares
LAI JOHN LO-MINN
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
81,081 shares
GOLD JEDIDIAH MARC
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
15,203 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
9 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-02-23
Overweight
Neutral
UBS
2026-02-19
Neutral
Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-02-19
Neutral
Neutral
Guggenheim
2026-02-19
Buy
Neutral
Mizuho
2026-02-19
Outperform
Neutral
William Blair
2026-02-18
Outperform
Market Perform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-18
Overweight
Equal-Weight
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-11
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2025-11-07
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MCW from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.