MEOH
BEARISH
$59.75
Live
Methanex Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $64.0
(+7.1%)
$26.47
52W Range
$66.75
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$4.62B
P/E
64.25
ROE
5.7%
Profit margin
2.2%
Debt/Equity
1.29
Dividend yield
1.24%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
MEOH exhibits a severe disconnect between its current market price ($59.75) and its fundamental value, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a Graham Number of $25.71 suggesting significant overvaluation. While the stock has seen a massive 123% 1-year price surge, this is not supported by fundamentals, as YoY EPS growth has plummeted by 111.3% and profit margins have shrunk to a razor-thin 2.22%. The high payout ratio (79.57%) combined with declining earnings creates a risk to dividend sustainability. Despite analyst 'buy' ratings, the deterministic metrics signal a speculative bubble or an over-optimistic anticipation of a cyclical recovery.
Key Strengths
Strong short-term price momentum (+123.6% 1Y change)
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.06
Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $64.00
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) preventing a 'weak' health classification
Reasonable Price-to-Book ratio of 1.89
Key Risks
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($25.71) and Intrinsic Value ($6.51)
Severe earnings collapse with Q/Q EPS growth at -333.3%
Dangerously low profit margins (2.22%) leaving no room for error
High Debt/Equity (1.29) compared to the sector average (0.54)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (79.57%) given current earnings volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$26.5
-55.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
38
Weak
20
30
60
50
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued / Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Massive gap between price and Graham/Intrinsic value, Negative EPS growth trends, Thinning margins
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, Graham Number $25.71
Positives
- Forward P/E (15.45) is significantly lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- Current price is 2.3x the Graham Number
- Trailing P/E of 64.25 is excessive for the chemicals industry
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates and EPS progression
Positives
- Analyst target price suggests upside to $64
Watchpoints
- Stagnant revenue growth (2.10%)
- Catastrophic YoY EPS decline (-111.3%)
Past
60/100
Ref Historical price trends
Positives
- Strong 1Y, 6M, and 1M price performance
Watchpoints
- Inconsistent earnings beats (1/4 in last 4 quarters)
Health
50/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity
Positives
- Current Ratio (2.06) and Quick Ratio (1.23) are strong
Watchpoints
- Debt/Equity (1.29) is more than double the sector average
- Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Consistent dividend payment
Watchpoints
- High payout ratio (79.57%)
- Low yield (1.24%) relative to the risk of earnings decline
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$59.75
Analyst Target
$64.0
Upside/Downside
+7.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MEOH and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
Primary
|
+66.5% | +38.8% | +123.6% | +61.9% | +15.9% | -3.0% |
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
Peer
|
+749.7% | +1577.8% | +399.8% | +264.3% | +31.4% | -20.2% |
|
EMAT
Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
Peer
|
-60.1% | -60.1% | -60.1% | -60.1% | -7.2% | -7.9% |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
|
+352.3% | +352.3% | +217.4% | +81.2% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
|
BCPC
Balchem Corporation
Peer
|
+45.9% | +30.9% | +3.9% | +13.3% | +6.7% | -0.7% |
MEO
Methanex Corporation
Primary
5Y
+66.5%
3Y
+38.8%
1Y
+123.6%
6M
+61.9%
1M
+15.9%
1W
-3.0%
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
Peer
5Y
+749.7%
3Y
+1577.8%
1Y
+399.8%
6M
+264.3%
1M
+31.4%
1W
-20.2%
EMA
Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
Peer
5Y
-60.1%
3Y
-60.1%
1Y
-60.1%
6M
-60.1%
1M
-7.2%
1W
-7.9%
AAU
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
5Y
+352.3%
3Y
+352.3%
1Y
+217.4%
6M
+81.2%
1M
-0.4%
1W
-0.7%
BCP
Balchem Corporation
Peer
5Y
+45.9%
3Y
+30.9%
1Y
+3.9%
6M
+13.3%
1M
+6.7%
1W
-0.7%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
64.25
Forward P/E
15.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.89
P/S Ratio
1.29
EV/Revenue
2.23
EV/EBITDA
9.85
Market Cap
$4.62B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.23%
Operating Margin
4.9%
Gross Margin
27.76%
ROE
5.67%
ROA
4.52%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+2.09%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.29
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.06
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.23
Good
Cash/Share
$5.5
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.0B
Gross Margin
20.5%
Op. Margin
7.4%
Net Margin
-9.2%
Total Assets
$7.3B
Liabilities
$4.6B
Equity
$2.4B
Debt/Equity
1.86x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
94%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-03-05
$-0.14
-121.7% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.06
-85.5% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.97
+246.7% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing MEOH against 73 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 29 neutral, 43 bearish)
P/E Ratio
64.25
This Stock
vs
45.92
Sector Avg
+39.9%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.67%
This Stock
vs
-11.57%
Sector Avg
-149.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.23%
This Stock
vs
-11.1%
Sector Avg
-120.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.29
This Stock
vs
0.93
Sector Avg
+38.8%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
2.1%
This Stock
vs
49.59%
Sector Avg
-95.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.06
This Stock
vs
7.7
Sector Avg
-73.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
|
BEARISH | $4.62B | 64.25 | 5.7% | 2.2% | $59.75 | |
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.56B | - | -57.3% | -216.3% | $17.78 | Compare |
|
EMAT
Evolution Metals &...
|
BEARISH | $4.5B | - | -% | -% | $7.58 | Compare |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.92B | - | 2.6% | -3.6% | $31.14 | Compare |
|
BCPC
Balchem Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $5.44B | 36.74 | 12.1% | 14.7% | $167.54 | Compare |
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.6B
P/E
64.2
ROE
5.7%
Price
$59.75
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 63.42 pe | 5,000 | $317,090 |
| 2026-03-27 | Allard, Mark | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 61.91 pe | 2,000 | $123,812 |
| 2026-03-27 | Shindy, (Mohamed) | Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6) | Disposition in the public market at price 63.27 pe | 1,000 | $63,267 |
| 2026-03-26 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.03 pe | 6,400 | $377,772 |
| 2026-03-26 | Maloney, Kevin | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 58.94 pe | 6,629 | $390,719 |
| 2026-03-26 | Maloney, Kevin | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 58.93 pe | 3,568 | $210,247 |
| 2026-03-26 | Maloney, Kevin | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 58.82 pe | 1,426 | $83,884 |
| 2026-03-25 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.05 pe | 4,605 | $271,929 |
| 2026-03-25 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.05 pe | 2,133 | $125,955 |
| 2026-03-25 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.08 pe | 3,400 | $200,872 |
| 2026-03-25 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.09 pe | 1,301 | $76,876 |
| 2026-03-25 | Abrary, Nojan | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.02 pe | 6,200 | $365,893 |
| 2026-03-25 | Fuchslocher (Priscilla) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 59.59 pe | 2,000 | $119,188 |
| 2026-03-13 | OCI N.V. | 10% Security Holder of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 51.80 pe | 3,331,346 | $172,563,722 |
| 2026-03-12 | Bain (Colin) | Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6) | Option Exercise | 2,470 | $142,272 |
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-27
5,000 shares
·
$317,090
Allard, Mark
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-27
2,000 shares
·
$123,812
Shindy, (Mohamed)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
2026-03-27
1,000 shares
·
$63,267
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
6,400 shares
·
$377,772
Maloney, Kevin
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
6,629 shares
·
$390,719
Maloney, Kevin
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
3,568 shares
·
$210,247
Maloney, Kevin
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-26
1,426 shares
·
$83,884
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
4,605 shares
·
$271,929
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
2,133 shares
·
$125,955
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
3,400 shares
·
$200,872
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
1,301 shares
·
$76,876
Abrary, Nojan
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
6,200 shares
·
$365,893
Fuchslocher (Priscilla)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
2,000 shares
·
$119,188
OCI N.V.
10% Security Holder of Issuer
2026-03-13
3,331,346 shares
·
$172,563,722
Bain (Colin)
Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary of Issuer (other than in 4,5,6)
2026-03-12
2,470 shares
·
$142,272
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
UBS
2026-04-09
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2026-04-02
Outperform
Sector Perform
BMO Capital
2026-03-18
Outperform
Outperform
CIBC
2026-03-17
Neutral
Neutral
Jefferies
2026-03-11
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-03-04
Buy
Buy
CIBC
2026-02-06
Outperformer
Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-02-02
Outperform
Outperform
UBS
2026-01-12
Buy
Buy
CIBC
2025-11-17
Outperformer
Outperformer
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MEOH from our newsroom.
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