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ALM Almonty Industries Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ALM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Basic Materials Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Current Price Live
$19.68
Analyst Target
$19.75
+0.4% Upside
52W High
$22.55
52W Low
$2.37

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ALM's deterministic health scores signal severe financial distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme weakness in operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth (28% YoY) and a 5-year price surge of +830%, the company operates at a massive loss, with a -216% profit margin and negative ROE (-57.31%), rendering valuation metrics like P/E and PEG meaningless. The stock trades at an extreme premium (Price/Book: 35.20, Price/Sales: 167.79), unsupported by profitability or cash flow. Analysts' 'strong_buy' consensus appears disconnected from fundamental reality, driven more by momentum than fundamentals.

Key Strengths

Significant revenue growth (28% YoY) indicates market expansion or pricing power
High market cap ($5.05B) suggests institutional interest and liquidity
Strong technical trend (10/100) reflects recent price momentum and investor enthusiasm
Positive insider sentiment (40/100) suggests some internal confidence
Recent 1-month price increase (+38.8%) shows strong short-term momentum

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress and poor operational efficiency
Negative profit margin (-216.27%) and ROE (-57.31%) signal unsustainable losses
No free cash flow or operating cash flow data available, raising liquidity concerns
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15 is elevated, especially for a loss-making firm
Absence of Graham Number and Intrinsic Value suggests no defensive or growth-based fair value anchor

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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