ALM
BEARISH
$17.78
Live
Almonty Industries Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $19.76
(+11.2%)
$2.95
52W Range
$22.55
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 19, 2026
Market cap
$4.56B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-57.3%
Profit margin
-216.3%
Debt/Equity
1.15
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
ALM's deterministic health scores signal severe financial distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extreme weakness in operational and financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth (28% YoY) and a bullish analyst consensus (strong_buy), the company reports a negative profit margin (-216.27%), negative ROE (-57.31%), and negative earnings, rendering valuation metrics like Forward P/E (87.79) and Price/Book (31.95) meaningless. The stock trades at a massive premium to its fundamentals, with no intrinsic value or Graham Number available, suggesting speculative pricing. Insider activity is neutral, and the recent 20.2% one-week decline underscores high volatility and potential overvaluation.
Key Strengths
28.00% YoY revenue growth indicates strong top-line expansion
High market cap ($4.56B) suggests significant market presence in the sector
Positive current and quick ratios (2.38 and 2.16) reflect short-term liquidity strength
Analyst consensus is strong_buy, indicating optimistic forward expectations
Recent 6-month return of +264.3% shows strong momentum in price performance
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and operational failure
Negative profit margin (-216.27%) and ROE (-57.31%) indicate deep unprofitability
No Altman Z-Score available with Debt/Equity at 1.15, raising potential solvency concerns
Forward P/E of 87.79 and Price/Book of 31.95 suggest extreme overvaluation relative to earnings and book value
Negative earnings and lack of free cash flow indicate unsustainable business model
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
24
Weak
20
60
25
15
0
AI Verdict
High risk, speculative
Key drivers: Extremely low Piotroski F-Score (1/9), Negative profitability and ROE, Lack of Altman Z-Score, Overvalued valuation metrics, High volatility and recent price drop
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- High revenue growth (28% YoY)
- Strong market cap and sector presence
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
- Forward P/E of 87.79 is extremely high
- Price/Book of 31.95 indicates massive premium to book value
- Negative earnings make valuation metrics unreliable
Future
60/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong revenue growth (28% YoY)
- Analyst target price of $19.76 implies upside potential
- Positive 6-month return (+264.3%)
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings and no earnings growth data
- No free cash flow or operating cash flow data
- Unreliable forward estimates due to historical earnings surprises
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 52-week high of $22.55 and low of $2.95 show high volatility
- 5-year return of +749.7% indicates strong historical performance
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings in all reported quarters
- Average earnings surprise of -1449.17% indicates severe underperformance
- One quarter showed a -2976.9% surprise, signaling extreme inconsistency
Health
15/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 2.38 and quick ratio of 2.16 suggest liquidity strength
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress
- No Altman Z-Score available, but Debt/Equity of 1.15 is elevated
- Negative ROE (-57.31%) and ROA (-3.83%) reflect poor capital efficiency
- Negative profit margin (-216.27%) indicates fundamental unprofitability
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield and payout ratio are N/A
- Dividend strength is 0/100
- No history of dividend payments
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$17.78
Analyst Target
$19.76
Upside/Downside
+11.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-18
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
Primary
|
+749.7% | +1577.8% | +399.8% | +264.3% | +31.4% | -20.2% |
|
HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Peer
|
+441.3% | +159.7% | +79.9% | +36.0% | -11.8% | -0.4% |
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
Peer
|
+66.5% | +38.8% | +123.6% | +61.9% | +15.9% | -3.0% |
|
EMAT
Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
Peer
|
-60.1% | -60.1% | -60.1% | -60.1% | -7.2% | -7.9% |
|
CSTM
Constellium SE
Peer
|
+91.8% | +130.7% | +234.2% | +85.7% | +23.0% | +6.1% |
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
Primary
5Y
+749.7%
3Y
+1577.8%
1Y
+399.8%
6M
+264.3%
1M
+31.4%
1W
-20.2%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+441.3%
3Y
+159.7%
1Y
+79.9%
6M
+36.0%
1M
-11.8%
1W
-0.4%
MEO
Methanex Corporation
Peer
5Y
+66.5%
3Y
+38.8%
1Y
+123.6%
6M
+61.9%
1M
+15.9%
1W
-3.0%
EMA
Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
Peer
5Y
-60.1%
3Y
-60.1%
1Y
-60.1%
6M
-60.1%
1M
-7.2%
1W
-7.9%
CST
Constellium SE
Peer
5Y
+91.8%
3Y
+130.7%
1Y
+234.2%
6M
+85.7%
1M
+23.0%
1W
+6.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
87.79
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
31.95
P/S Ratio
151.63
EV/Revenue
139.68
EV/EBITDA
-204.56
Market Cap
$4.56B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-216.27%
Operating Margin
-36.2%
Gross Margin
5.39%
ROE
-57.31%
ROA
-3.83%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+28.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.15
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.38
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.16
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.48
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025
Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
14.4%
Op. Margin
-36.2%
Net Margin
381.7%
Total Assets
$0.4B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
1.53x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-229%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-19
$N/A
2025-11-03
$N/A
+78.6% surprise
2025-08-14
$-0.3
-2976.9% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing ALM against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-57.31%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
+763.2%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-216.27%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
+3659.2%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.15
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
+29.4%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
28.0%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
-23.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.38
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-53.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.56B | - | -57.3% | -216.3% | $17.78 | |
|
HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.62B | 80.99 | 2.7% | 4.3% | $87.47 | Compare |
|
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
|
BEARISH | $4.62B | 64.25 | 5.7% | 2.2% | $59.75 | Compare |
|
EMAT
Evolution Metals &...
|
BEARISH | $4.5B | - | -% | -% | $7.58 | Compare |
|
CSTM
Constellium SE
|
NEUTRAL | $4.27B | 16.34 | 32.4% | 3.2% | $31.38 | Compare |
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.6B
P/E
-
ROE
-57.3%
Price
$17.78
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Black (Michael Lewis) | Director of Issuer | Option Exercise | 740,740 | $487,406 |
| 2026-01-21 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 10.12 pe | 10,000 | $101,210 |
| 2026-01-21 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 10.12 pe | 10,000 | $101,210 |
| 2026-01-21 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 10.12 pe | 10,000 | $101,210 |
| 2026-01-21 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 10.12 pe | 10,000 | $101,210 |
| 2026-01-21 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 10.18 pe | 10,000 | $101,840 |
| 2026-01-21 | Trachuk (Mark) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 10.06 pe | 11,000 | $110,660 |
| 2026-01-21 | Trachuk (Mark) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.99 per | 25,000 | $249,750 |
| 2026-01-21 | Trachuk (Mark) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.92 per | 25,000 | $248,000 |
| 2026-01-21 | Trachuk (Mark) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.85 per | 25,000 | $246,250 |
| 2026-01-21 | Trachuk (Mark) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.77 per | 25,000 | $244,250 |
| 2026-01-20 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.40 per | 10,000 | $93,960 |
| 2026-01-20 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.14 per | 4,950 | $45,267 |
| 2026-01-20 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.38 per | 5,000 | $46,895 |
| 2026-01-20 | Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 9.38 per | 4,680 | $43,893 |
Black (Michael Lewis)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-03
740,740 shares
·
$487,406
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
10,000 shares
·
$101,210
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
10,000 shares
·
$101,210
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
10,000 shares
·
$101,210
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
10,000 shares
·
$101,210
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
10,000 shares
·
$101,840
Trachuk (Mark)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
11,000 shares
·
$110,660
Trachuk (Mark)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
25,000 shares
·
$249,750
Trachuk (Mark)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
25,000 shares
·
$248,000
Trachuk (Mark)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
25,000 shares
·
$246,250
Trachuk (Mark)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-21
25,000 shares
·
$244,250
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-20
10,000 shares
·
$93,960
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-20
4,950 shares
·
$45,267
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-20
5,000 shares
·
$46,895
Gutschlag (Thomas Joerg)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-20
4,680 shares
·
$43,893
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
7 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2026-02-13
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-04
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-12-19
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-11-13
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-10-28
Buy
Buy
Oppenheimer
2025-10-15
Outperform
Outperform
DA Davidson
2025-10-07
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ALM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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