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MITK

NEUTRAL
$14.07 Live
Mitek Systems, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $14.75 (+4.8%)
$7.54 52W Range $15.61

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$637.6M
P/E
40.2
ROE
7.4%
Profit margin
8.7%
Debt/Equity
0.69
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MITK presents a dichotomy between strong operational performance and significant valuation premiums. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health, the current price of $14.07 trades at a massive premium to both the Graham Number ($6.37) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($2.45). This valuation gap is partially offset by an impressive 84.33% gross margin and a highly positive earnings surprise track record. However, bearish insider sentiment and a weak technical trend score suggest caution despite the strong 1-year price appreciation.

Key Strengths

Exceptional gross margins (84.33%) indicating strong pricing power
Consistent earnings beat history with an average surprise of 31% over the last 4 quarters
Strong revenue growth (18.80% YoY) and Q/Q momentum
Attractive Forward P/E (11.56) suggesting significant expected earnings growth
Stable financial health as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to defensive fair value (Graham Number $6.37)
Bearish insider activity with recent selling by the General Counsel
Weak technical trend score (10/100) indicating potential momentum reversal
Low intrinsic value estimate ($2.45) relative to market price
Lack of dividend yield providing no downside floor for investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.85
-44.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
46
Moderate
Value
25
Future
80
Past
75
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: High Gross Margins, Earnings Surprises, Valuation Gap, Insider Selling
Confidence
90%
Value
25/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number
  • Price far exceeds Intrinsic Value
  • High trailing P/E (40.20)
Future
80/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 18.8% Revenue Growth
  • Strong EPS growth trajectory
  • Consistent earnings beats
Watchpoints
  • High expectations already baked into price
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 79.5% 1-year price return
  • Consistent quarterly surprise beats
Watchpoints
  • 5-year change is slightly negative (-4.1%)
Health
50/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
  • Manageable Debt/Equity (0.69)
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio is lean (1.18)
  • No Altman Z-Score provided for bankruptcy risk assessment
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.07
Analyst Target
$14.75
Upside/Downside
+4.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MITK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-13
MIT
Mitek Systems, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-4.1%
3Y
+52.1%
1Y
+79.5%
6M
+55.0%
1M
+1.4%
1W
+2.9%
AOS
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
Peer
5Y
-40.7%
3Y
-17.1%
1Y
-16.2%
6M
-24.3%
1M
+2.6%
1W
+8.3%
MFI
mF International Limited
Peer
5Y
-87.4%
3Y
-87.4%
1Y
+182.5%
6M
-64.3%
1M
+3.6%
1W
+0.2%
III
i3 Verticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-36.1%
3Y
-15.9%
1Y
-12.0%
6M
-32.0%
1M
-10.6%
1W
-8.3%
AIP
Arteris, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-19.6%
3Y
+224.4%
1Y
+96.1%
6M
+67.2%
1M
-3.1%
1W
+0.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
40.2
Forward P/E
11.56
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.73
P/S Ratio
3.42
EV/Revenue
3.27
EV/EBITDA
15.22
Market Cap
$637.6M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.67%
Operating Margin 13.46%
Gross Margin 84.33%
ROE 7.45%
ROA 3.84%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +18.8%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +18.76%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.69
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.18
Good
Quick Ratio
1.15
Good
Cash/Share
$4.19

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
81.0%
Op. Margin
13.5%
Net Margin
6.3%
Total Assets
$0.4B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
0.91x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
82%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-05
$0.26
+42.9% surprise
2025-12-11
$0.24
+33.3% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.22
+16.8% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing MITK against 305 companies in the Technology sector (25 bullish, 105 neutral, 175 bearish)
P/E Ratio
40.2
This Stock
vs
98.13
Sector Avg
-59.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.45%
This Stock
vs
-22.69%
Sector Avg
-132.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
8.67%
This Stock
vs
-10.13%
Sector Avg
-185.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.69
This Stock
vs
0.72
Sector Avg
-4.1% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
18.8%
This Stock
vs
8051.37%
Sector Avg
-99.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.18
This Stock
vs
3.72
Sector Avg
-68.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ROSSI MARK ALAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
WELLS DONNA C
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
REPO SUSAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
FAY JAMES DANIEL
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
GUPTA RAHUL
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
STEVENSON KIMBERLY S.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
GRAY JASON L
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-03
73,174 shares · $1,078,585
GRAY JASON L
General Counsel
Option Exercise
2026-03-03
63,174 shares · $570,578
CARTER SCOTT R.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
11,448 shares
BELL ERIC CHRISTOPHER
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
10,184 shares
LYLE DAVID B
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
12,958 shares
GRAY JASON L
General Counsel
Option Exercise
2025-12-10
20,016 shares · $184,748
LYLE DAVID B
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2025-12-08
20,479 shares · $187,178
GRAY JASON L
General Counsel
Option Exercise
2025-12-08
14,506 shares · $132,585
WEST EDWARD H
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
114,679 shares · $1,000,001
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
Jefferies
2026-02-13
up
Hold Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MITK from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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