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MRTN

BEARISH
$14.11 Live
Marten Transport, Ltd. · NASDAQ
Target $15.67 (+11.0%)
$9.35 52W Range $15.42

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$1.15B
P/E
67.19
ROE
2.3%
Profit margin
2.0%
Debt/Equity
0.0
Dividend yield
1.72%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Despite a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicating excellent short-term financial health and a pristine balance sheet with zero debt, MRTN is fundamentally overvalued. The current price of $14.11 trades at a massive premium to both its Graham Number ($6.67) and Intrinsic Value ($1.47), while the company suffers from negative revenue (-8.80%) and earnings growth (-42.20%). Furthermore, the dividend is unsustainable with a payout ratio of 114.29%, suggesting the company is returning more capital than it generates.

Key Strengths

Exceptional financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9
Zero Debt/Equity ratio, indicating no leverage risk
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.86 and Quick Ratio of 1.56
Positive recent price momentum (6M Change: +35%)
Analyst consensus remains a 'Buy' with a target price of $15.67

Key Risks

Severe valuation disconnect (Price $14.11 vs Intrinsic Value $1.47)
Negative YoY revenue and earnings growth indicating operational decline
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (114.29%)
Extremely thin operating margins (0.60%) leaving no room for error
High P/E ratio (67.19) that is not supported by current growth rates
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.67
-52.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
20
Future
30
Past
50
Health
95
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
Value Trap
Key drivers: Pristine balance sheet, Negative growth trajectory, Extreme overvaluation relative to fundamentals
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book is relatively modest at 1.50
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 67.19 is excessive for the industry
  • Trades significantly above Graham Number ($6.67)
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth showed a recovery (+66.7%)
Watchpoints
  • YoY Revenue growth is negative (-8.80%)
  • YoY Earnings growth is sharply negative (-42.20%)
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong recent 6-month price recovery
Watchpoints
  • Poor 3-year and 5-year total returns
Health
95/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 8/9
  • Zero debt
  • Strong current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Low ROE (2.27%) and ROA (0.71%)
Dividend
15/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Consistent dividend payment
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio > 100% is a major red flag for sustainability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.11
Analyst Target
$15.67
Upside/Downside
+11.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MRTN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
MRT
Marten Transport, Ltd.
Primary
5Y
-12.0%
3Y
-27.7%
1Y
+7.5%
6M
+35.0%
1M
+20.6%
1W
+3.5%
GLD
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation
Peer
5Y
+12.5%
3Y
+212.5%
1Y
+90.8%
6M
+42.7%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+0.1%
EVL
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-39.4%
3Y
+95.8%
1Y
+103.7%
6M
-23.9%
1M
+17.5%
1W
+1.5%
ENV
Enovix Corporation
Peer
5Y
-66.9%
3Y
-56.4%
1Y
+5.0%
6M
-54.7%
1M
+12.6%
1W
+15.3%
ICF
ICF International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-24.2%
3Y
-37.5%
1Y
-17.1%
6M
-21.6%
1M
-5.7%
1W
+0.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
67.19
Forward P/E
32.63
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.5
P/S Ratio
1.3
EV/Revenue
1.25
EV/EBITDA
9.03
Market Cap
$1.15B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.97%
Operating Margin 0.6%
Gross Margin 24.05%
ROE 2.27%
ROA 0.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -8.8%
Earnings Growth -42.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -8.82%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -34.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.0
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.86
Good
Quick Ratio
1.56
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.53

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
13.3%
Op. Margin
0.6%
Net Margin
1.8%
Total Assets
$0.9B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
0.24x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-249%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-01-27
$0.05
+99.3% surprise
2025-10-23
$0.03
-27.2% surprise
2025-07-16
$0.09
+10.9% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MRTN against 277 companies in the Industrials sector (19 bullish, 97 neutral, 161 bearish)
P/E Ratio
67.19
This Stock
vs
81.56
Sector Avg
-17.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.27%
This Stock
vs
-20.04%
Sector Avg
-111.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.97%
This Stock
vs
12.29%
Sector Avg
-83.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.0
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-8.8%
This Stock
vs
111.87%
Sector Avg
-107.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.86
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
-40.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DEMOREST ROBERT L
Director
Gift
2025-12-24
6,580 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MRTN from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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