NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. - Fundamental Analysis
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Key Strengths
Key Risks
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
NXPI is dramatically cheaper on forward earnings than the technology sector average, which is skewed by hyper-growth software names, but even versus hardware peers like SNPS (P/E 52.61) and MCHP (no P/E), NXPI’s valuation appears disciplined and attractive
- Forward P/E of 15.08 is significantly below sector average of 138.37
- Price/Sales of 4.20 is reasonable for a high-margin semiconductor player
- Current P/E of 24.39 is above forward P/E, suggesting earnings compression expectations
- Lack of EV/EBITDA and EV/Revenue data limits full valuation triangulation
While the 1-year price return of -10.3% and 6-month decline of -6.4% reflect weak momentum, the +14.3% Q/Q EPS growth and forward P/E compression suggest the market is pricing in a recovery that could be catalyzed by automotive and industrial demand rebound
- Forward P/E of 15.08 implies strong earnings recovery expectations
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +14.3% signals potential inflection in earnings momentum
- Revenue growth is negative YoY (-2.4%), indicating ongoing demand softness
- Mixed recent earnings surprises (2/4 beats in last four quarters) raise near-term execution concerns
NXPI has demonstrated exceptional earnings quality over the past five years, with only two misses in 25 quarters and a 5Y total return of +43.1%, outperforming peers like FI (-69.9%) and TEAM (-39.3%), though recent deceleration in growth has weighed on 1Y performance (-10.3%)
- Consistent earnings outperformance: 22 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with average surprise of +4.0% over five years
- Profitability stability: Gross, operating, and net margins have remained robust even during downturns
- Recent earnings surprises have moderated to ~1–2%, down from double-digit beats in 2020–2021
- Year-over-year EPS growth is negative (-9.9%), breaking a long streak of expansion
While NXPI maintains adequate liquidity, its leverage ratio exceeds sector norms and peers like SNPS (0.55) and MCHP (0.81), suggesting higher fixed costs and refinancing exposure, particularly if interest rates remain elevated
- Healthy liquidity: Current ratio of 2.38 and quick ratio of 1.41 indicate solid short-term financial flexibility
- Debt appears manageable given stable cash flow profile and investment-grade credit assumptions
- Debt/Equity of 1.17 is high relative to sector average of 0.74, increasing financial risk
- Missing total debt, cash, and FCF figures limit full solvency and runway assessment
NXPI offers one of the few sustainable dividends in the semiconductor space, with a balanced 50% payout ratio and yield above the sector average, enhancing total return potential even during periods of price stagnation
- Attractive 2.06% dividend yield in a low-yield environment and rare among semiconductor peers
- Payout ratio of 50.14% indicates strong earnings coverage and room for future increases
- Lack of 5-year average yield data limits visibility into dividend growth trajectory
- No disclosed ex-dividend date may reduce appeal to income-focused investors
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NXPI and closest competitors.
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
Primary
|
+43.1% | +19.3% | -10.3% | -6.4% | -9.3% | -3.6% |
|
WDAY
Workday, Inc.
Peer
|
-15.5% | +12.1% | -25.5% | -19.8% | -13.5% | -9.8% |
|
ROP
Roper Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+13.4% | +4.9% | -19.9% | -22.6% | -10.1% | +0.6% |
|
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
Peer
|
-8.0% | +26.1% | +1.7% | -21.3% | +8.0% | -3.8% |
|
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
Peer
|
+154.3% | +50.5% | -19.9% | -28.5% | -5.0% | -4.8% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
Technology Sector Comparison
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
|
BULLISH | $50.64B | 24.39 | 20.9% | 17.1% | $197.1 | |
|
WDAY
Workday, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $49.89B | 78.84 | 7.3% | 7.0% | $186.86 | |
|
ROP
Roper Technologies, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $48.38B | 30.96 | 8.2% | 20.3% | $449.5 | |
|
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $53.25B | 48.12 | 39.7% | 15.6% | $251.17 | |
|
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $57.76B | 31.02 | 228.0% | 28.6% | $75.38 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | MICALLEF ANDREW JOSEPH | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 5,071 | - |
| 2025-11-10 | WUAMETT JENNIFER B. | General Counsel | Stock Award | 5,532 | - |
| 2025-11-10 | JENSEN CHRISTOPHER L | Officer | Stock Award | 5,532 | - |
| 2025-11-10 | BETZ WILLIAM | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 6,339 | - |
| 2025-11-10 | HARDY ANDREW | Officer | Stock Award | 1,071 | - |
| 2025-11-10 | SOTOMAYOR RAFAEL | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 5,532 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | BETZ WILLIAM | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,614 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | HARDY ANDREW | Officer | Stock Award | 807 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | SOTOMAYOR RAFAEL | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 1,614 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | MICALLEF ANDREW JOSEPH | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 1,453 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | WUAMETT JENNIFER B. | General Counsel | Stock Award | 1,480 | - |
| 2025-11-07 | JENSEN CHRISTOPHER L | Officer | Stock Award | 1,480 | - |
| 2025-11-05 | BETZ WILLIAM | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,558 | - |
| 2025-11-05 | HARDY ANDREW | Officer | Stock Award | 742 | - |
| 2025-11-05 | SOTOMAYOR RAFAEL | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 1,558 | - |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning NXPI from our newsroom.