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OXLC

BEARISH
$10.26 Live
Oxford Lane Capital Corp. · NASDAQ
Target $16.0 (+55.9%)
$8.01 52W Range $24.9

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$1.0B
P/E
23.32
ROE
0.2%
Profit margin
0.8%
Debt/Equity
0.38
Dividend yield
23.39%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
OXLC presents a classic 'yield trap' profile, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severe fundamental deterioration. While the stock trades at a significant discount to book value (P/B 0.53) and below its Graham Number ($13.78), these value metrics are overshadowed by a catastrophic payout ratio of 1215.91% and a 77.9% YoY collapse in earnings. The technical trend is completely bearish (0/100), and the massive dividend yield is unsustainable given the current earnings trajectory.

Key Strengths

Significant discount to book value (P/B 0.53)
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 29.50%
Current price is below the Graham Number defensive fair value
High ROA (9.09%) relative to sector averages
Strong operating margin of 72.75%

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (1215.91%)
Severe earnings contraction (-77.9% YoY)
Poor liquidity indicated by a current ratio of 0.61
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100)
Significant negative price momentum over 1Y (-37.4%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.5
-36.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
31
Weak
Value
55
Future
25
Past
20
Health
45
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Yield Trap
Key drivers: Unsustainable dividend payout, Earnings collapse, Bearish technicals, Low book value
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E 23.32, Graham Number $13.78

Positives
  • P/B of 0.53
  • Price below Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • High P/E relative to earnings growth
  • Intrinsic value formula suggests $3.08
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth is positive
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth -77.9%
  • Q/Q earnings growth -68.2%
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical ability to beat estimates in 2023-2024
Watchpoints
  • 1Y return -37.4%
  • 3Y return -20.0%
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio 0.61
  • Lack of Altman Z-Score data
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Extremely high yield (23.39%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio 1215.91% is mathematically unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$10.26
Analyst Target
$16.0
Upside/Downside
+55.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OXLC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-15
OXL
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
Primary
5Y
-16.7%
3Y
-20.0%
1Y
-37.4%
6M
-22.1%
1M
+26.0%
1W
+4.0%
BBN
BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust
Peer
5Y
-13.7%
3Y
+11.9%
1Y
+7.6%
6M
+6.2%
1M
-2.6%
1W
-0.8%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+419.6%
3Y
+227.2%
1Y
+53.9%
6M
+11.0%
1M
+16.5%
1W
+5.9%
BTZ
BlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust
Peer
5Y
+10.0%
3Y
+27.0%
1Y
+9.4%
6M
+0.8%
1M
-1.4%
1W
-0.1%
HBT
HBT Financial, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+97.2%
3Y
+65.3%
1Y
+37.0%
6M
+22.5%
1M
+8.9%
1W
+3.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
23.32
Forward P/E
2.31
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.53
P/S Ratio
2.05
EV/Revenue
3.44
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$1.0B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.77%
Operating Margin 72.75%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 0.22%
ROA 9.09%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +29.5%
Earnings Growth -77.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -68.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.38
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.61
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.61
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.2

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Total Assets
$2.6B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$1.9B
Debt/Equity
0.42x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2025-07-23
$1.2
-7.7% surprise
2025-05-20
$1.13
-22.1% surprise
2025-01-27
$1.4
2024-07-26
$2.05
+46.4% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing OXLC against 500 companies in the Financial Services sector (90 bullish, 207 neutral, 203 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.32
This Stock
vs
45.14
Sector Avg
-48.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.22%
This Stock
vs
-0.0%
Sector Avg
-5138.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.77%
This Stock
vs
48.63%
Sector Avg
-98.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.38
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-73.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
29.5%
This Stock
vs
36.71%
Sector Avg
-19.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.61
This Stock
vs
3.31
Sector Avg
-81.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning OXLC from our newsroom.

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