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SCVL

NEUTRAL
$18.89 Live
Shoe Carnival, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $22.0 (+16.5%)
$15.04 52W Range $26.57

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 19, 2026
Market cap
$518.9M
P/E
9.94
ROE
7.8%
Profit margin
4.6%
Debt/Equity
0.54
Dividend yield
3.28%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
SCVL presents a classic value trap profile, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($18.89) that sits significantly below its Graham Number ($32.82) but above its growth-based intrinsic value ($13.30). While the company maintains a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 3.76 and a sustainable dividend payout, it is battling severe fundamental decay. Revenue and earnings are both in negative territory, with YoY earnings growth plummeting by 37.9%, offsetting the appeal of its low P/E and P/B ratios.

Key Strengths

Deep value valuation with P/B of 0.75 and P/E of 9.94
Strong short-term liquidity (Current Ratio: 3.76)
Manageable leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.54
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 31.58%
Trading well below the defensive Graham Number of $32.82

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-37.9% YoY)
Negative revenue growth indicating declining market demand
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Low operating margins (4.31%) leaving little room for error
Long-term price erosion with a 5-year change of -32.1%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.5
-7.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
85
Future
20
Past
30
Health
55
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
Value Trap Warning
Key drivers: Negative growth metrics, Extreme valuation discount, Strong balance sheet liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 9.94, PEG 0.95, Graham Number $32.82

Positives
  • P/E significantly below sector average
  • P/B < 1.0
  • Price < Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price > Intrinsic Value based on growth
Future
20/100

Ref Revenue Growth -3.40%, Earnings Growth -37.90%

Positives
  • Recent 1-month price bounce
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth
  • Sharp decline in quarterly EPS
Past
30/100

Ref 5Y Change -32.1%

Positives
  • Consistent dividend payments
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price decline of 32.1%
  • Downward trend in EPS over last 25 quarters
Health
55/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Current Ratio 3.76

Positives
  • High Current Ratio
  • Low Debt/Equity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield 3.28%, Payout 31.58%

Positives
  • Low payout ratio
  • Consistent yield
Watchpoints
  • Low absolute yield compared to risk profile

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$18.89
Analyst Target
$22.0
Upside/Downside
+16.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SCVL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
SCV
Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-32.1%
3Y
-18.2%
1Y
+13.1%
6M
-2.7%
1M
+13.1%
1W
+7.2%
SFI
Stitch Fix, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.6%
3Y
-13.5%
1Y
+25.8%
6M
-6.8%
1M
+22.2%
1W
+25.4%
MNR
Monro, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-71.0%
3Y
-59.1%
1Y
+25.2%
6M
+2.5%
1M
+9.9%
1W
+6.9%
LEG
Legacy Housing Corporation
Peer
5Y
+11.8%
3Y
-5.0%
1Y
-10.6%
6M
-4.9%
1M
+7.1%
1W
+2.6%
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+477.2%
3Y
+89.8%
1Y
+17.7%
6M
-44.3%
1M
-18.5%
1W
-3.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
9.94
Forward P/E
10.25
PEG Ratio
0.95
P/B Ratio
0.75
P/S Ratio
0.46
EV/Revenue
0.67
EV/EBITDA
7.73
Market Cap
$518.9M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.6%
Operating Margin 4.31%
Gross Margin 36.57%
ROE 7.81%
ROA 3.59%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -3.4%
Earnings Growth -37.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -3.37%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -38.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.54
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.76
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.86
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.76

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
34.9%
Op. Margin
4.3%
Net Margin
3.6%
Total Assets
$1.2B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
81%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-29
$N/A
2026-03-26
$0.33
2025-11-20
$0.53
2025-09-04
$0.7
+15.4% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing SCVL against 268 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (14 bullish, 92 neutral, 162 bearish)
P/E Ratio
9.94
This Stock
vs
34.48
Sector Avg
-71.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.81%
This Stock
vs
-37.91%
Sector Avg
-120.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.6%
This Stock
vs
-5.22%
Sector Avg
-188.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.54
This Stock
vs
1.38
Sector Avg
-61.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-3.4%
This Stock
vs
15.01%
Sector Avg
-122.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.76
This Stock
vs
2.39
Sector Avg
+57.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WEAVER DELORES B
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2026-04-10
166,666 shares
WEAVER J WAYNE
Chairman of the Board
Gift
2026-04-10
166,666 shares
JACKSON WILLIAM KERRY
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2026-04-02
31,000 shares · $500,030
CHILTON MARC A.
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
31,215 shares
GORDON TANYA E.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
22,363 shares
JACKSON WILLIAM KERRY
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
14,040 shares
SIFFORD CLIFTON E
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
112,220 shares
WEAVER DELORES B
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2025-12-12
166,666 shares
WEAVER J WAYNE
Chairman of the Board
Gift
2025-12-12
166,666 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-26

SCVL filed an 8-K on March 26, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-26

SCVL filed its 10-K annual report on March 26, 2026, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-09

SCVL filed a current report on March 9, 2026, likely to announce annual financial results or a material corporate update.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

SCVL filed an 8-K on February 25, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-12
8-K
8-K
2025-12-09
10-Q
10-Q
2025-12-05

SCVL submitted its 10-Q filing on December 5, 2025. While the document includes a section for Risk Factors under Item 1A, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures were provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-20

SCVL filed an 8-K on November 20, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-13
8-K
8-K
2025-09-25
10-Q
10-Q
2025-09-05
8-K
8-K
2025-09-04
8-K
8-K
2025-06-27
8-K
8-K
2025-06-13
10-Q
10-Q
2025-06-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SCVL from our newsroom.

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