BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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BBW Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Cyclical
Specialty Retail
Current Price
Live
$63.35
Analyst Target
$70.0
+10.5%
Upside
52W High
$75.85
52W Low
$32.55
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$831.54M
P/E
14.7
ROE
41.2%
Profit margin
10.9%
Debt/Equity
0.78
Dividend yield
1.38%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
BBW's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($33.86) and intrinsic value ($30.17), currently priced at $63.35, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive and growth basis. Despite strong recent earnings surprises and solid profitability metrics like a 41.18% ROE, declining earnings growth and negative insider activity weigh on the outlook. Sector comparison shows BBW outperforming in profitability but facing headwinds from slowing revenue growth and stretched valuation.
Key Strengths
High return on equity (41.18%) significantly above sector average (6.87%)
Strong gross margin (56.20%) indicating pricing power and efficient cost control
Consistently beats earnings estimates, with 3 of last 4 quarters exceeding expectations
Low debt/equity ratio (0.78) compared to sector average (1.74), suggesting conservative leverage
Attractive dividend payout ratio (19.86%) leaving room for future increases
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health with potential instability
Earnings declining YoY (-15.1%) and QoQ (-17.7%), signaling weakening profitability
Current price ($63.35) is nearly double the Graham Number ($33.86), indicating substantial overvaluation
Insider selling activity totaling $4.69M in the last 6 months suggests lack of confidence
Technical trend score of 0/100 and recent weekly price drop (-10.3%) indicate deteriorating momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.02
-46.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
52
Moderate
35
40
75
50
60
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if growth reaccelerates
Key drivers: High profitability metrics, Overvaluation relative to conservative models, Declining earnings trend, Strong historical earnings surprises, Bearish insider activity
Confidence
70%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 14.70 below sector average of 48.10
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of 5.36 is high
- Current price 87% above Graham Number
- No PEG ratio due to inconsistent growth
Future
40/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target price of $70.00 implies upside
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of 2.70% is below sector average
- Earnings growth declining YoY (-15.1%)
- Q/Q earnings down -17.7%
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 52.8% 1-year return significantly outperforms peers
- 1447.6% 5-year return shows explosive long-term appreciation
- History of large earnings surprises (avg +22.46% last 4)
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings misses (e.g., -13.7% surprise in Q2 2024)
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.65 indicates short-term liquidity
- Debt/equity of 0.78 is manageable
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below strong threshold
- Quick ratio of 0.52 indicates limited liquid assets
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Low payout ratio (19.86%) is sustainable
- Dividend yield (1.38%) provides modest income
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak historical consistency
- No 5-year average yield data suggests instability
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$63.35
Analyst Target
$70.0
Upside/Downside
+10.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BBW and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
Primary
|
+1447.6% | +196.4% | +52.8% | +24.3% | +6.1% | -10.3% |
|
BALY
Bally's Corporation
Peer
|
-6.3% | -6.3% | -7.7% | +65.5% | -4.6% | -1.6% |
|
ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Peer
|
+13.1% | +27.0% | -0.2% | -11.4% | -1.7% | -2.2% |
|
AXL
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
-9.1% | -0.5% | +44.8% | +68.0% | +28.6% | +7.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
14.7
Forward P/E
15.75
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.36
P/S Ratio
1.58
EV/Revenue
1.7
EV/EBITDA
10.23
Market Cap
$831.54M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
10.93%
Operating Margin
8.57%
Gross Margin
56.2%
ROE
41.18%
ROA
14.82%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.7%
Earnings Growth
-15.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-17.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.78
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.65
Good
Quick Ratio
0.52
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.19
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-12
$N/A
2025-12-04
$0.62
+5.1% surprise
2025-08-28
$0.94
+27.0% surprise
2025-05-29
$1.17
+35.3% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BBW against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(5 bullish, 49 neutral, 40 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.7
This Stock
vs
42.97
Sector Avg
-65.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
41.18%
This Stock
vs
6.02%
Sector Avg
+583.8%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
10.93%
This Stock
vs
0.78%
Sector Avg
+1302.2%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.78
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-52.4%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.7%
This Stock
vs
7.65%
Sector Avg
-64.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.65
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-12.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $831.54M | 14.7 | 41.2% | 10.9% | $63.35 | |
|
BALY
Bally's Corporation
|
BEARISH | $811.18M | - | -115.6% | -17.4% | $16.5 | |
|
ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $951.68M | 23.04 | 18.2% | 3.3% | $11.29 | |
|
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $974.13M | 32.38 | 8.4% | 2.2% | $44.03 | |
|
AXL
American Axle &...
|
NEUTRAL | $982.81M | 23.66 | 6.3% | 0.7% | $8.28 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | ROTENBERG LESLI | Director | Sale | 1,000 | $61,336 |
| 2025-10-06 | LEAVITT CRAIG ANSEL | Director | Sale | 4,000 | $242,421 |
| 2025-10-06 | ROTENBERG LESLI | Director | Sale | 1,000 | $59,981 |
| 2025-10-01 | LEAVITT CRAIG ANSEL | Director | Sale | 4,250 | $269,010 |
| 2025-09-22 | JOHN SHARON PRICE | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 12,643 | $923,905 |
| 2025-09-22 | TODOROVIC VOJIN | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 2,744 | $199,997 |
| 2025-09-16 | JOHN SHARON PRICE | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 30,000 | $2,197,564 |
| 2025-09-16 | TODOROVIC VOJIN | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 10,000 | $732,520 |
| 2025-08-04 | FUNDLER YEVGENY | Officer | Stock Award | 1,698 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-12-22
Buy
Buy
CJS Securities
2025-12-10
Market Outperform
DA Davidson
2025-12-05
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-12-05
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-11-25
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-11-24
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-10-08
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-09-30
Buy
Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-09-17
Buy
Buy
Northland Capital Markets
2025-08-29
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BBW from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.