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BBW

BEARISH
$40.91 Live
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. · NYSE
Target $62.0 (+51.6%)
$32.55 52W Range $75.85

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$536.99M
P/E
9.45
ROE
35.5%
Profit margin
9.9%
Debt/Equity
0.82
Dividend yield
2.25%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
BBW's deterministic health scores signal significant concern: the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health, with minimal positive signals across operational efficiency and profitability sustainability. While the Graham Number ($34.11) and intrinsic value ($30.31) suggest undervaluation, the current price of $40.91 trades at a premium, especially given deteriorating earnings growth (YoY -22.1%) and a recent 6-month price decline of 44.3%. Insider selling totaling $4.69M over six months, including a large sale by the CEO, reinforces bearish sentiment. Despite strong historical earnings surprises and high ROE, the company's growth stagnation and declining profitability undermine long-term confidence.

Key Strengths

High ROE of 35.50% indicates efficient use of equity capital
Strong gross margin of 55.80% reflects pricing power and cost control
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates (3/4 in last 4 quarters)
Positive recent earnings surprise of +3.3% in Q1 2026
Dividend payout ratio of 19.86% is sustainable and conservative

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress risk and weak operational health
Earnings declined sharply by 22.1% YoY despite stable revenue growth of 2.7%
Insider selling activity (8 transactions, $4.69M) suggests lack of confidence from leadership
Technical trend is 0/100 (bearish), with 6-month price drop of 44.3%
No Altman Z-Score available, but debt/equity of 0.82 and low quick ratio (0.53) raise liquidity concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$34.11
-16.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
52
Moderate
Value
55
Future
38
Past
72
Health
28
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: Weak Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Declining earnings growth (-22.1% YoY), Bearish technical trend, High insider selling volume, Premium valuation relative to Graham Number
Confidence
88%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number of $34.11 suggests defensive fair value
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $30.31 supports undervaluation baseline
  • P/E of 9.45 is below sector average (42.87)
Watchpoints
  • Current price of $40.91 trades at a 20% premium to Graham Number
  • No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation clarity
  • High Price/Book (3.42) suggests premium valuation despite weak growth
Future
38/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent earnings surprise of +3.3% in Q1 2026
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +103.2% suggests potential recovery momentum
  • Strong historical track record of beating estimates
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth only 2.7% YoY, indicating stagnation
  • Earnings growth is sharply negative (-22.1%)
  • No forward PEG or EBITDA metrics to assess future profitability
Past
72/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat history (3/4 in last 4 quarters)
  • Average earnings surprise of +11.8% over last 4 quarters
  • High historical EPS growth (e.g., +35.3% in 2025-08-28)
Watchpoints
  • Significant earnings misses in 2020 and 2022 (e.g., -80.4% in 2020-06-02)
  • Negative EPS in multiple quarters during pandemic (2020-08-31: -$0.82)
  • Recent Q/Q earnings decline of -24.4%
Health
28/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.82 is below sector average (1.65)
  • Current ratio of 1.54 indicates basic liquidity coverage
  • ROE of 35.50% reflects strong capital efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is critically low, indicating financial distress
  • Quick ratio of 0.53 suggests weak short-term liquidity
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low score implies distress risk
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.25% is attractive for a consumer cyclical
  • Payout ratio of 19.86% is well below 100%, indicating sustainability
  • Consistent dividend payments with no recent cuts
Watchpoints
  • No 5-year average yield available for trend analysis
  • Dividend strength score of 35/100 indicates moderate quality
  • Low insider sentiment (30/100) may signal lack of confidence in long-term payout

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$40.91
Analyst Target
$62.0
Upside/Downside
+51.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BBW and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+477.2%
3Y
+89.8%
1Y
+17.7%
6M
-44.3%
1M
-18.5%
1W
-3.4%
JOU
Johnson Outdoors Inc.
Peer
5Y
-61.9%
3Y
-7.2%
1Y
+138.1%
6M
+26.8%
1M
+16.5%
1W
+10.9%
SFI
Stitch Fix, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.6%
3Y
-13.5%
1Y
+25.8%
6M
-6.8%
1M
+22.2%
1W
+25.4%
TDU
ThredUp Inc.
Peer
5Y
-76.5%
3Y
+51.8%
1Y
+28.1%
6M
-54.3%
1M
+31.3%
1W
+8.6%
SCV
Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-32.1%
3Y
-18.2%
1Y
+13.1%
6M
-2.7%
1M
+13.1%
1W
+7.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
9.45
Forward P/E
9.65
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.42
P/S Ratio
1.01
EV/Revenue
1.19
EV/EBITDA
7.78
Market Cap
$536.99M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 9.85%
Operating Margin 13.83%
Gross Margin 55.8%
ROE 35.5%
ROA 13.07%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.7%
Earnings Growth -22.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -24.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.82
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.54
Good
Quick Ratio
0.53
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.06

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
53.7%
Op. Margin
8.6%
Net Margin
6.6%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
1.17x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
21%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-28
$N/A
2026-03-12
$1.26
+3.3% surprise
2025-12-04
$0.62
+5.1% surprise
2025-08-28
$0.94
+27.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing BBW against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
9.45
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-72.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
35.5%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-180.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
9.85%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-282.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.82
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-45.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.7%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-90.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.54
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-37.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GOLDMAN JAMES A
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-10
556 shares
ROTENBERG LESLI
Director
Sell
2025-10-13
1,000 shares · $61,336
LEAVITT CRAIG ANSEL
Director
Sell
2025-10-06
4,000 shares · $242,421
ROTENBERG LESLI
Director
Sell
2025-10-06
1,000 shares · $59,981
LEAVITT CRAIG ANSEL
Director
Sell
2025-10-01
4,250 shares · $269,010
JOHN SHARON PRICE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-09-22
12,643 shares · $923,905
TODOROVIC VOJIN
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-09-22
2,744 shares · $199,997
JOHN SHARON PRICE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-09-16
30,000 shares · $2,197,564
TODOROVIC VOJIN
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-09-16
10,000 shares · $732,520
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
Small Cap Consumer Research
2026-03-13
reit
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2026-03-05
reit
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2026-01-27
reit
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-12-22
reit
Buy Buy
CJS Securities
2025-12-10
init
Market Outperform
DA Davidson
2025-12-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-12-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-11-25
reit
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-11-24
reit
Buy Buy
Small Cap Consumer Research
2025-10-08
reit
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BBW from our newsroom.

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