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STKL

NEUTRAL
$6.47 Live
SunOpta Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $7.4 (+14.4%)
$3.32 52W Range $6.94

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$767.41M
P/E
49.77
ROE
9.0%
Profit margin
1.9%
Debt/Equity
2.0
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
STKL presents a stark contrast between poor fundamental health and strong recent operational momentum. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a stable but fragile financial state, while the current price of $6.47 trades at a massive premium to both the Graham Number ($2.06) and Intrinsic Value ($0.91). While the company shows impressive earnings surprises and revenue growth, the 10-K filing reveals a 'proposed Arrangement' and 'anticipated delisting,' suggesting a corporate action (buyout or privatization) that likely decouples the stock price from traditional valuation metrics.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beats (3/4 last 4 quarters) with high average surprise (61.18%)
Steady revenue growth (13% YoY and Q/Q)
Strong 1-year price recovery (+65.9%)
Low PEG ratio (0.48) suggesting growth may justify the current P/E
Positive ROE (9.02%) and ROA (4.46%) despite thin margins

Key Risks

High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.00
Poor short-term liquidity indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.41
Extremely thin profit margins (1.93%) leaving little room for error
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value baselines
Regulatory/Corporate risk regarding the 'anticipated delisting' mentioned in the 10-K
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.25
-34.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
20
Future
75
Past
30
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative / Event-Driven
Key drivers: Corporate Arrangement/Delisting, Earnings Surprises, High Debt Load, Valuation Gap
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E 49.77, Graham $2.06, Intrinsic $0.91

Positives
  • P/S ratio under 1.0
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 49.77 is high
  • Price is >3x the Graham Number
  • Price is >7x the Intrinsic Value
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings track record

Positives
  • 13% Revenue growth
  • Strong EPS surprise track record
  • Forward P/E compression (30.52)
Watchpoints
  • Thin margins limit scalability
Past
30/100

Ref 5Y and 3Y price performance

Positives
  • Recent 1Y recovery
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change of -55.2%
  • Historical volatility in EPS
Health
40/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Current ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
  • Debt/Equity 2.00
  • Quick Ratio 0.41
Dividend
0/100

Ref Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$6.47
Analyst Target
$7.4
Upside/Downside
+14.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for STKL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
STK
SunOpta Inc.
Primary
5Y
-55.2%
3Y
-22.8%
1Y
+65.9%
6M
+13.9%
1M
-0.1%
1W
-0.1%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Peer
5Y
-81.8%
3Y
-75.7%
1Y
-49.4%
6M
-54.6%
1M
+11.1%
1W
-2.8%
ODD
Oddity Tech Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-68.2%
3Y
-68.2%
1Y
-63.2%
6M
-70.5%
1M
+8.3%
1W
+1.8%
MAM
Mama's Creations, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+558.5%
3Y
+767.2%
1Y
+146.8%
6M
+44.9%
1M
-0.6%
1W
+2.9%
AVO
Mission Produce, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-17.1%
3Y
+10.2%
1Y
+11.6%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+14.5%
1W
+8.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
49.77
Forward P/E
30.52
PEG Ratio
0.48
P/B Ratio
4.48
P/S Ratio
0.94
EV/Revenue
1.41
EV/EBITDA
13.08
Market Cap
$767.41M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.93%
Operating Margin 6.67%
Gross Margin 14.82%
ROE 9.02%
ROA 4.46%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +13.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +13.18%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.0
High debt
Current Ratio
1.18
Good
Quick Ratio
0.41
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.0

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
14.5%
Op. Margin
5.7%
Net Margin
2.6%
Total Assets
$0.7B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
3.07x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
57%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-04
$0.06
+76.5% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.05
+47.1% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.04
+60.0% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing STKL against 124 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (9 bullish, 47 neutral, 68 bearish)
P/E Ratio
49.77
This Stock
vs
34.46
Sector Avg
+44.4% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.02%
This Stock
vs
-22.53%
Sector Avg
-140.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.93%
This Stock
vs
-8.63%
Sector Avg
-122.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.0
This Stock
vs
1.52
Sector Avg
+31.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
13.0%
This Stock
vs
152.54%
Sector Avg
-91.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.18
This Stock
vs
2.32
Sector Avg
-49.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MCCULLOUGH CHRISTOPHER
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-04-14
17,147 shares
CLARK BRYAN P
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
6,283 shares
GABA GREG
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
9,611 shares
MCNAMARA LAUREN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
6,201 shares
KOBLER JUSTIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
6,531 shares
MCCULLOUGH CHRISTOPHER
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-04-10
5,271 shares
CARO JENNIFER ANN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
9,951 shares
DUZAN DANIELLE MARIE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
7,417 shares
DUCHSCHER ROBERT K
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
5,538 shares
KOCHER BRIAN W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-10
34,102 shares
MCNAMARA LAUREN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
12,531 shares
DUCHSCHER ROBERT K
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
5,013 shares
CLARK BRYAN P
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
14,091 shares
GABA GREG
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
21,553 shares
MCNAMARA LAUREN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
13,905 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-17

STKL filed an 8-K on April 17, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-K
FORM 10-K
2026-03-04

SunOpta Inc. has filed its Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 3, 2026. While the filing includes standard sections for risk factors and management's discussion of financial condition, specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-06

STKL filed an 8-K on February 6, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-12
10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-11-05

SunOpta Inc. (STKL) filed its Form 10-Q on November 5, 2025, though specific financial metrics were not included in the provided excerpts. The company identifies key risks related to future profitability, revenue trends, gross margin profiles, and fluctuations in customer demand and competition.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-05

STKL filed a Form 8-K on November 5, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-08-06

SunOpta Inc. (STKL) filed its Form 10-Q on August 6, 2025, which includes disclosures regarding risk factors and unregistered sales of equity securities. Management's forward-looking statements focus on expectations for future profitability, revenue trends, and the company's gross margin profile.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-06

STKL filed an 8-K on August 6, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-27
10-Q
FORM 10-Q
2025-05-07

SunOpta Inc. (STKL) filed its Form 10-Q on May 7, 2025, noting that future financial results are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Key risk factors include potential volatility in revenue trends, gross margin profiles, customer demand, and competitive pressures.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-07
DEF 14A
FORM DEF 14A
2025-04-11
10-K
FORM 10-K
2025-02-26
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-02-26
8-K
FORM 8-K
2024-12-18
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
5 analysts
DA Davidson
2026-02-09
Maintains
Buy Buy
Freedom Broker
2026-02-06
down
Buy Hold
Freedom Capital Markets
2025-12-05
init
Buy
Freedom Broker
2025-12-05
init
Buy
Mizuho
2025-11-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning STKL from our newsroom.

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