STX
NEUTRAL
$547.75
Live
Seagate Technology Holdings plc · NASDAQ
Target $508.47
(-7.2%)
$72.62
52W Range
$553.57
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$122.71B
P/E
61.75
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
19.6%
Debt/Equity
10.47
Dividend yield
0.54%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
STX exhibits a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, but the financial profile is characterized by extreme leverage and a significant valuation disconnect. While earnings and revenue growth are explosive (Earnings +67.7% YoY), the current price of $547.75 trades at a massive premium to its Intrinsic Value ($261.66) and Graham Number ($20.49). The stock has experienced a parabolic 1-year gain of 632%, leaving it trading above the average analyst target price of $508.47. High debt-to-equity and bearish insider activity suggest the current rally may be overextended.
Key Strengths
Exceptional earnings growth (67.7% YoY)
Strong revenue growth (21.5% YoY)
Consistent earnings beat track record (3/4 last quarters)
Attractive PEG ratio (0.83) indicating growth justifies some premium
Strong operating margins (29.95%)
Key Risks
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 10.47
Severe valuation stretch (Price/Book of 260.34)
Current price exceeds analyst target price ($547.75 vs $508.47)
Bearish insider sentiment with significant CEO selling
Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$315.5
-42.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
54
Moderate
20
85
95
40
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued Growth
Key drivers: Hyper-growth in earnings, Extreme balance sheet leverage, Price-to-Intrinsic Value gap
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- PEG ratio < 1.0
Watchpoints
- P/E of 61.75 is high
- Price/Book of 260.34 is unsustainable
- Trades far above Graham Number
Future
85/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong Q/Q earnings growth (76.5%)
- Consistent positive earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Potential for growth deceleration after parabolic run
Past
95/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 1Y return of +632.1%
- Strong 3Y and 5Y performance
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
40/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Debt/Equity ratio of 10.47 is critical
- Quick ratio of 0.65 indicates liquidity pressure
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Manageable payout ratio (32.77%)
Watchpoints
- Very low dividend yield (0.54%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$547.75
Analyst Target
$508.47
Upside/Downside
-7.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for STX and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
Primary
|
+677.5% | +823.1% | +632.1% | +144.1% | +34.9% | +8.9% |
|
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
Peer
|
+82.0% | +82.0% | +3.3% | -23.2% | -7.6% | +1.2% |
|
ACN
Accenture plc
Peer
|
-20.8% | -19.4% | -39.2% | -19.1% | -11.2% | -3.1% |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc.
Peer
|
+12.9% | -1.1% | -29.1% | -36.5% | +3.2% | -0.0% |
|
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
Peer
|
+193.2% | +60.5% | -6.0% | -21.3% | +6.8% | +2.0% |
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
Primary
5Y
+677.5%
3Y
+823.1%
1Y
+632.1%
6M
+144.1%
1M
+34.9%
1W
+8.9%
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
Peer
5Y
+82.0%
3Y
+82.0%
1Y
+3.3%
6M
-23.2%
1M
-7.6%
1W
+1.2%
ACN
Accenture plc
Peer
5Y
-20.8%
3Y
-19.4%
1Y
-39.2%
6M
-19.1%
1M
-11.2%
1W
-3.1%
INT
Intuit Inc.
Peer
5Y
+12.9%
3Y
-1.1%
1Y
-29.1%
6M
-36.5%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-0.0%
PAN
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+193.2%
3Y
+60.5%
1Y
-6.0%
6M
-21.3%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+2.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
61.75
Forward P/E
26.93
PEG Ratio
0.83
P/B Ratio
260.34
P/S Ratio
12.2
EV/Revenue
12.25
EV/EBITDA
43.2
Market Cap
$122.71B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
19.59%
Operating Margin
29.95%
Gross Margin
38.77%
ROE
N/A
ROA
19.41%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+21.5%
Earnings Growth
+67.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+21.51%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+76.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
10.47
High debt
Current Ratio
1.12
Good
Quick Ratio
0.65
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.8
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$2.8B
Gross Margin
41.6%
Op. Margin
29.9%
Net Margin
21.0%
Total Assets
$8.7B
Liabilities
$8.2B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
17.97x
Operating CF
$0.7B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.6B
FCF Yield
84%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-01-27
$3.11
+9.6% surprise
2025-10-28
$2.61
+8.8% surprise
2025-07-29
$2.24
+6.1% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing STX against 465 companies in the Technology sector
(38 bullish, 160 neutral, 267 bearish)
P/E Ratio
61.75
This Stock
vs
87.62
Sector Avg
-29.5%
(Discount)
Profit Margin
19.59%
This Stock
vs
-12.71%
Sector Avg
-254.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
10.47
This Stock
vs
0.69
Sector Avg
+1419.7%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
21.5%
This Stock
vs
5335.22%
Sector Avg
-99.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.12
This Stock
vs
3.85
Sector Avg
-70.9%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
|
NEUTRAL | $122.71B | 61.75 | -% | 19.6% | $547.75 | |
|
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
|
NEUTRAL | $122.93B | 154.33 | 11.3% | 17.1% | $115.75 | Compare |
|
ACN
Accenture plc
|
NEUTRAL | $121.02B | 16.13 | 25.0% | 10.8% | $195.15 | Compare |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $120.32B | 28.15 | 23.5% | 21.6% | $432.38 | Compare |
|
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $130.82B | 89.07 | 16.3% | 13.0% | $160.32 | Compare |
STX
Seagate...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$122.7B
P/E
61.8
ROE
-%
Price
$547.75
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | MOSLEY WILLIAM D | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 20,000 | $8,414,638 |
| 2026-03-19 | MOSLEY WILLIAM D | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 24,584 | $10,000,034 |
| 2026-03-13 | MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 112 | $42,273 |
| 2026-03-11 | CHONG KIAN FATT | Officer | Stock Award | 678 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 942 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | ROMANO GIANLUCA | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,695 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | TEH BAN-SENG | Officer | Stock Award | 989 | - |
| 2026-03-11 | MOSLEY WILLIAM D | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 3,319 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | CHONG KIAN FATT | Officer | Stock Award | 581 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 1,130 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | ROMANO GIANLUCA | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 2,473 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | TEH BAN-SENG | Officer | Stock Award | 1,262 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | MOSLEY WILLIAM D | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 5,230 | - |
| 2026-03-02 | CONYERS YOLANDA LEE | Director | Sale | 750 | $295,192 |
| 2026-03-02 | MOSLEY WILLIAM D | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 20,000 | $7,695,262 |
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-04-01
20,000 shares
·
$8,414,638
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-19
24,584 shares
·
$10,000,034
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-13
112 shares
·
$42,273
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
2026-03-11
678 shares
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-11
942 shares
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-11
1,695 shares
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
2026-03-11
989 shares
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-11
3,319 shares
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
2026-03-09
581 shares
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
2026-03-09
1,130 shares
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-09
2,473 shares
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
2026-03-09
1,262 shares
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-09
5,230 shares
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
2026-03-02
750 shares
·
$295,192
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-02
20,000 shares
·
$7,695,262
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
22 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-16
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-04-13
Buy
Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-06
Overweight
Overweight
Bernstein
2026-03-31
Outperform
Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-03-30
Overweight
Mizuho
2026-02-17
Outperform
Outperform
Citigroup
2026-02-06
Buy
Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-04
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-01-29
Buy
Buy
Baird
2026-01-29
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning STX from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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