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TCOM

BULLISH
$55.01 Live
Trip.com Group Limited · NASDAQ
Target $76.75 (+39.5%)
$48.48 52W Range $78.99

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 21, 2026
Market cap
$35.95B
P/E
7.87
ROE
21.1%
Profit margin
53.3%
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
0.57%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
TCOM exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a very conservative Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18. The stock is significantly undervalued, trading at $55.01, which is well below its Graham Number of $77.43 and its growth-based intrinsic value of $206.21. Despite a bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent price weakness, the company's fundamental performance is exceptional, characterized by a 53.35% profit margin and 97.8% YoY earnings growth. The massive disconnect between the low P/E (7.87) and the strong growth profile suggests a high margin of safety.

Key Strengths

Deep valuation discount with a P/E of 7.87 vs sector average of 34.33
Strong financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Exceptional profitability with a 53.35% profit margin and 21.12% ROE
Explosive earnings growth (97.8% YoY) and consistent earnings beats
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18

Key Risks

Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) and 6-month price decline of 22.9%
Weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal conviction
High sensitivity to cyclical travel demand and macroeconomic shocks
Geopolitical risks associated with Chinese market operations
PEG ratio of 1.91 suggests growth may already be partially priced in relative to earnings
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.5
+110.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
76
Strong
Value
95
Future
88
Past
75
Health
90
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Strong Value Play
Key drivers: Extreme P/E discount, High Piotroski Score, Hyper-growth in earnings
Confidence
85%
Value
95/100

Ref P/E 7.87, Graham Number $77.43

Positives
  • Price is 29% below Graham Number
  • P/S ratio of 0.58 is very low
  • P/E is significantly below sector average
Watchpoints
  • PEG ratio slightly elevated at 1.91
Future
88/100

Ref Growth rates and Analyst Targets

Positives
  • YoY Earnings growth of 97.8%
  • Revenue growth of 20.8%
  • Strong analyst target price of $76.75
Watchpoints
  • Cyclical industry risk
Past
75/100

Ref Historical earnings surprises and price performance

Positives
  • Consistent history of beating EPS estimates
  • Strong recovery in earnings progression
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6-month price drop of 22.9%
Health
90/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Debt/Equity 0.18
  • Current Ratio 1.55
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield and Payout Ratio

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (4.57%) allows for growth reinvestment
Watchpoints
  • Negligible dividend yield of 0.57%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$55.01
Analyst Target
$76.75
Upside/Downside
+39.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for TCOM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-20
TCO
Trip.com Group Limited
Primary
5Y
+45.3%
3Y
+51.1%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
-22.9%
1M
+7.7%
1W
+6.3%
HMC
Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-6.1%
3Y
-1.4%
1Y
-9.2%
6M
-21.1%
1M
-16.9%
1W
-1.8%
YUM
Yum! Brands, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+56.1%
3Y
+28.0%
1Y
+11.1%
6M
+1.6%
1M
+3.1%
1W
-0.1%
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+25.2%
3Y
+3.6%
1Y
-47.3%
6M
-39.7%
1M
-24.4%
1W
+3.2%
JD
JD.com, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-58.0%
3Y
-20.7%
1Y
-15.8%
6M
-5.9%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+5.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.87
Forward P/E
11.79
PEG Ratio
1.91
P/B Ratio
1.44
P/S Ratio
0.58
EV/Revenue
-0.15
EV/EBITDA
-0.56
Market Cap
$35.95B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 53.35%
Operating Margin 16.46%
Gross Margin 80.58%
ROE 21.12%
ROA 3.87%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +20.8%
Earnings Growth +97.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +15.53%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +98.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.55
Good
Quick Ratio
1.2
Good
Cash/Share
$119.28

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-18
$N/A
2026-02-25
$4.97
+6.5% surprise
2025-11-17
$27.56
+245.4% surprise
2025-08-27
$7.2
+17.5% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing TCOM against 290 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (17 bullish, 96 neutral, 177 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.87
This Stock
vs
33.52
Sector Avg
-76.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
21.12%
This Stock
vs
-36.94%
Sector Avg
-157.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
53.35%
This Stock
vs
-5.81%
Sector Avg
-1018.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
-86.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
20.8%
This Stock
vs
14.13%
Sector Avg
+47.2% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.55
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-37.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
FORM 20-F
2025-04-11

Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) filed its Form 20-F annual report on April 11, 2025. This filing provides the comprehensive annual financial statements and detailed risk disclosures required for foreign private issuers.

20-F
FORM 20-F
2024-04-29

Trip.com Group Limited reports growth driven by the recovery of domestic and international travel demand. Key investor risks include geopolitical instability, regulatory changes within China, and competitive pressures in the online travel agency sector.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
30 analysts
TD Cowen
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
Benchmark
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
B of A Securities
2025-11-20
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-11-19
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-11-19
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Benchmark
2025-11-18
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning TCOM from our newsroom.

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