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TTD

NEUTRAL
$24.05 Live
The Trade Desk, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $31.0 (+28.9%)
$19.74 52W Range $91.45
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 21, 2026
Market cap
$11.45B
P/E
26.72
ROE
16.3%
Profit margin
15.3%
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
The Trade Desk presents a dichotomy between strong operational efficiency and poor market sentiment. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the balance sheet is lean with a low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18, the stock has suffered a catastrophic long-term price decline (-66% over 5 years). Valuation is mixed: it trades significantly above its Graham Number ($10.28) and Intrinsic Value ($16.43), yet its Forward P/E (10.11) and PEG Ratio (0.86) suggest it is undervalued relative to its growth trajectory. The combination of bearish insider activity and poor technical trends offsets the strong margins and analyst 'buy' recommendations.

Key Strengths

Exceptional Gross Margins (78.62%) and Operating Margins (30.34%)
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18
Attractive PEG Ratio (0.86), indicating growth is not fully priced in
Strong analyst consensus with a target price of $31.00
Consistent history of earnings beats over the last 25 quarters

Key Risks

Severe long-term price erosion (-49.4% 1Y, -66% 5Y)
Bearish insider sentiment with recent director selling
Earnings growth (7.5%) is lagging significantly behind revenue growth (14.3%)
Current price ($24.05) is a premium to the growth-based intrinsic value ($16.43)
Lack of dividend yield provides no floor for long-term holders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.5
-10.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
60
Future
65
Past
20
Health
55
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Value
Key drivers: Strong margins, Low debt, Poor price momentum, Low Forward P/E
Confidence
85%
Value
60/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 10.11 is very low for the sector
  • PEG Ratio < 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Price is 134% above Graham Number
  • Price is 46% above Intrinsic Value
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Steady 14.3% YoY revenue growth
  • Strong analyst target price of $31
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth slowing relative to revenue
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long track record of EPS surprises
Watchpoints
  • Devastating 5-year return of -66%
  • Consistent downward trend across 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y horizons
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.18)
  • Healthy Current Ratio (1.61)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable', not 'Strong'
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$24.05
Analyst Target
$31.0
Upside/Downside
+28.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for TTD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-20
TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-66.0%
3Y
-61.3%
1Y
-49.4%
6M
-54.2%
1M
-0.2%
1W
+13.3%
PSK
Paramount Skydance Corporation
Peer
5Y
-65.5%
3Y
-43.5%
1Y
+9.0%
6M
-29.4%
1M
+30.4%
1W
+10.6%
GSA
Globalstar, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+296.5%
3Y
+351.6%
1Y
+279.1%
6M
+68.6%
1M
+27.0%
1W
-5.9%
BIL
Bilibili Inc.
Peer
5Y
-75.1%
3Y
+30.3%
1Y
+103.3%
6M
+43.0%
1M
+34.8%
1W
+2.8%
ROK
Roku, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-71.5%
3Y
+43.8%
1Y
+34.3%
6M
-5.5%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-1.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.72
Forward P/E
10.11
PEG Ratio
0.86
P/B Ratio
4.61
P/S Ratio
3.95
EV/Revenue
3.65
EV/EBITDA
15.33
Market Cap
$11.45B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 15.31%
Operating Margin 30.34%
Gross Margin 78.62%
ROE 16.32%
ROA 6.01%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +14.3%
Earnings Growth +7.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +14.27%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +2.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.61
Good
Quick Ratio
1.55
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.74

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
80.7%
Op. Margin
30.3%
Net Margin
22.1%
Total Assets
$6.2B
Liabilities
$3.7B
Equity
$2.5B
Debt/Equity
1.48x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
90%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.59
+1.7% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.45
+1.9% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.41
-0.9% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing TTD against 160 companies in the Communication Services sector (14 bullish, 45 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.72
This Stock
vs
51.54
Sector Avg
-48.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
16.32%
This Stock
vs
-42.46%
Sector Avg
-138.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
15.31%
This Stock
vs
-8.08%
Sector Avg
-289.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-87.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
14.3%
This Stock
vs
646.82%
Sector Avg
-97.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.61
This Stock
vs
2.3
Sector Avg
-29.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

TTD The Trade Desk, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$11.4B
P/E
26.7
ROE
16.3%
Price
$24.05
PSKY Paramount...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$13.1B
P/E
391.3
ROE
-0.9%
Price
$11.74
 Compare with TTD
GSAT Globalstar, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$9.4B
P/E
-
ROE
-2.4%
Price
$73.16
 Compare with TTD
BILI Bilibili Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$13.6B
P/E
128.5
ROE
5.4%
Price
$33.4
 Compare with TTD
ROKU Roku, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$13.9B
P/E
160.4
ROE
3.4%
Price
$94.62
 Compare with TTD

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CUNNINGHAM ANDREA LEE
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
48 shares · $1,231
VOLLERO ANDREW
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-02
12,304 shares
FALBERG KATHRYN E.
Director
Sell
2026-03-05
152,828 shares · $4,655,113
GREEN JEFFREY TERRY
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2026-03-04
6,000,000 shares · $148,101,266
GREEN JEFFREY TERRY
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
398,089 shares
GRANT JAY R
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
167,197 shares
KUNDRA VIVEK
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
167,197 shares
JACOBSON SAMANTHA
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
167,197 shares
DAVIS TAHNIL
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
167,197 shares
GREEN JEFFREY TERRY
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-02-13
28,029 shares
GREEN JEFFREY TERRY
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-03
167,307 shares
GREEN JEFFREY TERRY
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-12-03
250,000 shares
KUNDRA VIVEK
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
322 shares · $11,476
GREEN JEFFREY TERRY
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-11-14
28,028 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-20

The Trade Desk likely filed this 8-K to report its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-09

The Trade Desk (TTD) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 9, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-06
8-K
8-K
2026-03-25
8-K
8-K
2026-03-09

The Trade Desk (TTD) filed an 8-K on March 9, 2026, likely to announce its financial results or a material corporate event.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

The Trade Desk (TTD) filed its annual 10-K on February 27, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed sections on risk factors and management's discussion and analysis of results of operations.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

The Trade Desk likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-26

The Trade Desk likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

The Trade Desk (TTD) filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 6, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing details the company's risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06
8-K
8-K
2025-09-17
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
33 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-06
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-19
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Rosenblatt
2026-03-18
down
Buy Neutral
Stifel
2026-03-18
down
Buy Hold
Wedbush
2026-03-06
down
Neutral Underperform
Piper Sandler
2026-03-02
reit
Neutral Neutral
Keybanc
2026-03-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
DA Davidson
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-02-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
Scotiabank
2026-02-26
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning TTD from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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