ULCC
BEARISH
$4.23
Live
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $4.43
(+4.8%)
$2.89
52W Range
$6.66
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 22, 2026
Market cap
$971.77M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-25.0%
Profit margin
-3.7%
Debt/Equity
11.13
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
95%
ULCC exhibits critical financial instability, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9, indicating a total lack of fundamental improvement across all health metrics. The company is severely over-leveraged with a Debt/Equity ratio of 11.13 and faces a liquidity crisis with a Current Ratio of 0.46. While the stock has seen a 1-year price recovery of 38.2%, this appears to be speculative as the company maintains negative operating margins and stagnant revenue growth. The combination of extreme debt and zero fundamental health scores suggests a high risk of insolvency.
Key Strengths
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.26) suggests low valuation relative to revenue
Recent history of beating earnings estimates (2/4 last quarters)
Short-term price momentum (1-month change of +21.6%)
Positive average earnings surprise of 21.38% over the last 4 quarters
Market cap remains near $1B, providing some scale in the ULCC sector
Key Risks
Extreme leverage with Debt/Equity at 11.13, far exceeding sector averages
Severe liquidity risk with a Current Ratio of 0.46 (unable to cover short-term liabilities)
Negative profitability across Profit (-3.68%) and Operating (-9.63%) margins
Stagnant to negative revenue growth (-0.50% YoY)
Catastrophic long-term shareholder value destruction (-79.4% over 5 years)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.5
-17.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
12
Weak
30
20
10
0
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 0/9, Debt/Equity 11.13, Current Ratio 0.46, Negative ROE
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100
Graham Number is N/A due to negative earnings; valuation is purely speculative.
Positives
- Low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
- High Forward P/E (34.20) relative to negative current earnings
- P/B of 1.97 is high for a company with negative ROE
Future
20/100
Growth metrics are flat to negative, providing no fundamental catalyst for expansion.
Positives
- Recent EPS beats
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY revenue growth
- Negative Q/Q earnings growth
Past
10/100
Long-term trend is overwhelmingly bearish.
Positives
- 1-year price recovery
Watchpoints
- 5-year return of -79.4%
- Consistent history of negative margins
Health
0/100
The company is in a state of financial distress based on deterministic health scores.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 0/9
- Debt/Equity 11.13
- Current Ratio 0.46
Dividend
0/100
Company is not in a position to return capital to shareholders.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$4.23
Analyst Target
$4.43
Upside/Downside
+4.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ULCC and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-21
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-79.4% | -55.5% | +38.2% | -3.0% | +21.6% | +6.8% |
|
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.
Peer
|
-68.5% | +95.7% | +126.8% | +36.9% | +27.6% | -1.6% |
|
LMB
Limbach Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+658.4% | +360.4% | +6.4% | -9.1% | +3.0% | +2.7% |
|
BBSI
Barrett Business Services, Inc.
Peer
|
+137.1% | +61.7% | -13.4% | -17.5% | +3.9% | -3.8% |
|
RJET
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
-88.0% | -33.8% | +31.1% | +1.7% | +27.4% | +6.4% |
ULC
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-79.4%
3Y
-55.5%
1Y
+38.2%
6M
-3.0%
1M
+21.6%
1W
+6.8%
BKS
BlackSky Technology Inc.
Peer
5Y
-68.5%
3Y
+95.7%
1Y
+126.8%
6M
+36.9%
1M
+27.6%
1W
-1.6%
LMB
Limbach Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+658.4%
3Y
+360.4%
1Y
+6.4%
6M
-9.1%
1M
+3.0%
1W
+2.7%
BBS
Barrett Business Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+137.1%
3Y
+61.7%
1Y
-13.4%
6M
-17.5%
1M
+3.9%
1W
-3.8%
RJE
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.0%
3Y
-33.8%
1Y
+31.1%
6M
+1.7%
1M
+27.4%
1W
+6.4%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
34.2
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.97
P/S Ratio
0.26
EV/Revenue
1.55
EV/EBITDA
-16.01
Market Cap
$971.77M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-3.68%
Operating Margin
-9.63%
Gross Margin
2.82%
ROE
-25.02%
ROA
-4.22%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-0.5%
Earnings Growth
+1.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-0.5%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-1.9%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
11.13
High debt
Current Ratio
0.46
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.39
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.92
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.0B
Gross Margin
2.5%
Op. Margin
4.9%
Net Margin
5.3%
Total Assets
$7.2B
Liabilities
$6.7B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
13.70x
Operating CF
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
35%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-11
$0.23
+71.8% surprise
2025-11-05
$-0.34
+7.7% surprise
2025-08-05
$-0.31
-15.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ULCC against 355 companies in the Industrials sector
(24 bullish, 118 neutral, 213 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-25.02%
This Stock
vs
-25.67%
Sector Avg
-2.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-3.68%
This Stock
vs
7.06%
Sector Avg
-152.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
11.13
This Stock
vs
3.06
Sector Avg
+263.4%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-0.5%
This Stock
vs
90.74%
Sector Avg
-100.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.46
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
-86.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $971.77M | - | -25.0% | -3.7% | $4.23 | |
|
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.
|
BEARISH | $974.68M | - | -88.2% | -87.3% | $27.08 | Compare |
|
LMB
Limbach Holdings, Inc.
|
BULLISH | $964.6M | 25.57 | 22.4% | 6.0% | $82.59 | Compare |
|
BBSI
Barrett Business Services, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $964.13M | 18.04 | 24.1% | 4.5% | $37.53 | Compare |
|
RJET
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $985.76M | 11.26 | 6.2% | 4.5% | $21.05 | Compare |
ULCC
Frontier Group...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$972M
P/E
-
ROE
-25.0%
Price
$4.23
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | SCHROETER ROBERT A | Officer | Stock Award | 82,762 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | DIAMOND HOWARD | Officer | Stock Award | 36,105 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | STEDKE TREVOR J | Officer | Stock Award | 26,676 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | WETZEL JOSHUA A | Officer | Stock Award | 12,874 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | CLERC ALEXANDRE | Officer | Stock Award | 14,421 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | SCHULLER STEVE | Officer | Sale | 5,000 | $30,000 |
| 2026-02-06 | SCHULLER STEVE | Officer | Stock Award | 21,775 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | SCHROETER ROBERT A | Officer | Stock Award | 14,421 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | MITCHELL MARK CHRISTOPHER | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 20,549 | - |
| 2026-02-06 | DEMPSEY JAMES G | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 66,494 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | DIAMOND HOWARD | Officer | Stock Award | 3,224 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | STEDKE TREVOR J | Officer | Stock Award | 2,536 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | WETZEL JOSHUA A | Officer | Stock Award | 815 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | WETZEL JOSHUA A | Officer | Stock Award | 4,619 | - |
| 2026-02-05 | CLERC ALEXANDRE | Officer | Stock Award | 2,536 | - |
SCHROETER ROBERT A
Officer
2026-03-25
82,762 shares
DIAMOND HOWARD
Officer
2026-02-06
36,105 shares
STEDKE TREVOR J
Officer
2026-02-06
26,676 shares
WETZEL JOSHUA A
Officer
2026-02-06
12,874 shares
CLERC ALEXANDRE
Officer
2026-02-06
14,421 shares
SCHULLER STEVE
Officer
2026-02-06
5,000 shares
·
$30,000
SCHULLER STEVE
Officer
2026-02-06
21,775 shares
SCHROETER ROBERT A
Officer
2026-02-06
14,421 shares
MITCHELL MARK CHRISTOPHER
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-06
20,549 shares
DEMPSEY JAMES G
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-06
66,494 shares
DIAMOND HOWARD
Officer
2026-02-05
3,224 shares
STEDKE TREVOR J
Officer
2026-02-05
2,536 shares
WETZEL JOSHUA A
Officer
2026-02-05
815 shares
WETZEL JOSHUA A
Officer
2026-02-05
4,619 shares
CLERC ALEXANDRE
Officer
2026-02-05
2,536 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
8-K
8-K
10-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
9 analysts
Citigroup
2026-03-20
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2026-03-16
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2026-03-02
Overweight
Underweight
Susquehanna
2026-01-09
Neutral
Neutral
B of A Securities
2026-01-06
Neutral
Underperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Citigroup
2025-12-04
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ULCC from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.