BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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BKSY Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Specialty Business Services
Current Price
Live
$27.08
Analyst Target
$26.38
-2.6%
Downside
52W High
$33.2
52W Low
$6.15
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$974.68M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-88.2%
Profit margin
-87.3%
Debt/Equity
2.23
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial health concerns with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating weak operational and balance sheet fundamentals. Despite strong gross margins and recent revenue beat trends, the company is deeply unprofitable with negative earnings, deteriorating margins, and a high debt/equity ratio. Insider selling activity, declining YoY revenue, and stretched valuation metrics further undermine confidence. While the stock has rallied 126.8% over the past year, fundamentals do not support this appreciation, raising sustainability concerns.
Key Strengths
High gross margin of 68.02% indicates strong pricing power or low cost of sales
Recent earnings surprises have been positive in 2 of the last 4 quarters
Current and quick ratios are healthy at 3.89 and 3.61, suggesting short-term liquidity is not immediately constrained
Outperformed earnings estimates in key quarters (e.g., +67.9% in Q1 2024)
Significant year-over-year EPS improvement (+38.6%) from prior deep losses
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals critical financial weakness and high risk of operational distress
Profit margin of -87.30% and ROE of -88.23% reflect persistent and severe unprofitability
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.23 is elevated, increasing financial risk, especially in a high-interest environment
Revenue growth is declining YoY (-13.00%), indicating weakening top-line momentum
Insiders have sold $2.20M in shares over the last 6 months with no buys, signaling lack of confidence
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
24
Weak
20
45
38
15
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with deteriorating fundamentals and unsustainable valuation
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1, Negative profitability across all metrics, Insider selling wave, Revenue contraction, Valuation multiples disconnected from earnings
Confidence
80%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of 10.62 is extremely high for a company with negative ROE
- Forward P/E of -24.90 implies no earnings recovery is priced in
- No Graham Number due to unprofitability
- Price/Sales of 9.58 is elevated relative to peers and growth trajectory
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Year-over-year EPS growth of +38.6% shows some loss-narrowing progress
- Recent earnings surprises indicate possible operational improvements
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is negative YoY (-13.00%)
- Forward P/E remains deeply negative
- No clear path to profitability
Past
38/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Stock up 126.8% over the past year
- Some quarters showed strong earnings beats (e.g., +67.9%)
Watchpoints
- Long history of earnings misses (8 of last 15 quarters below estimates)
- Consistent net losses over all reported quarters
- Profitability has not materially improved despite stock performance
Health
15/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 3.89 and quick ratio of 3.61 indicate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates severe financial distress
- No Altman Z-Score available, increasing uncertainty
- ROA of -9.85% and ROE of -88.23% show capital inefficiency
- Debt/Equity of 2.23 increases bankruptcy risk if losses persist
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Dividend strength score of 0/100 confirms no income appeal
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$27.08
Analyst Target
$26.38
Upside/Downside
-2.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BKSY and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.
Primary
|
-68.5% | +95.7% | +126.8% | +36.9% | +27.6% | -1.6% |
|
BBSI
Barrett Business Services, Inc.
Peer
|
+137.1% | +61.7% | -13.4% | -17.5% | +3.9% | -3.8% |
|
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
Peer
|
+20.2% | +20.2% | +20.2% | +8.1% | -13.8% | +0.1% |
|
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
|
+46.3% | +47.4% | +517.6% | +808.6% | +76.6% | +12.2% |
|
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
Peer
|
-92.5% | -57.6% | +87.2% | +23.9% | -1.9% | -5.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-24.9
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
10.62
P/S Ratio
9.58
EV/Revenue
10.05
EV/EBITDA
-59.87
Market Cap
$974.68M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-87.3%
Operating Margin
-85.77%
Gross Margin
68.02%
ROE
-88.23%
ROA
-9.85%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-13.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
2.23
High debt
Current Ratio
3.89
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.61
Excellent
Cash/Share
$4.1
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-05
$N/A
2025-11-06
$-0.43
-20.9% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.4
+17.7% surprise
2025-05-08
$-0.35
+24.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing BKSY against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(6 bullish, 59 neutral, 57 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-88.23%
This Stock
vs
7.83%
Sector Avg
-1226.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-87.3%
This Stock
vs
57.85%
Sector Avg
-250.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.23
This Stock
vs
5.46
Sector Avg
-59.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-13.0%
This Stock
vs
22.8%
Sector Avg
-157.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.89
This Stock
vs
2.64
Sector Avg
+47.5%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.
|
BEARISH | $974.68M | - | -88.2% | -87.3% | $27.08 | |
|
BBSI
Barrett Business Services, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $964.13M | 18.04 | 24.1% | 4.5% | $37.53 | |
|
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
|
BEARISH | $1.03B | 95.43 | -% | 0.8% | $13.36 | |
|
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.05B | - | -% | -15.1% | $9.45 | |
|
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
|
BEARISH | $793.95M | - | -18.1% | -132.8% | $2.64 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | ABRAHAM MAGID M | Director | Stock Award | 1,200 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | TOLONEN JAMES R | Director | Stock Award | 1,200 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | GORDON SUSAN M. | Director | Stock Award | 1,200 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | PORTEOUS WILLIAM D. | Director | Stock Award | 1,200 | - |
| 2025-12-12 | DUBOIS HENRY EDWARD | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 12,912 | $248,814 |
| 2025-12-12 | LIN CHRISTIANA L | General Counsel | Sale | 10,388 | $200,177 |
| 2025-12-12 | O TOOLE BRIAN E | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 13,416 | $258,526 |
| 2025-12-12 | WARD TRACY | Officer | Sale | 700 | $13,489 |
| 2025-12-10 | TOLONEN JAMES R | Director | Stock Award | 750 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | PORTEOUS WILLIAM D. | Director | Stock Award | 1,500 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | ABRAHAM MAGID M | Director | Stock Award | 1,116 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | TOLONEN JAMES R | Director | Stock Award | 1,116 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | GORDON SUSAN M. | Director | Stock Award | 1,116 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | PORTEOUS WILLIAM D. | Director | Stock Award | 1,116 | - |
| 2025-09-15 | O TOOLE BRIAN E | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 250,000 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
8 analysts
Jefferies
2025-12-22
Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-10
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BKSY from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.