ZG
BEARISH
$44.5
Live
Zillow Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $73.48
(+65.1%)
$39.14
52W Range
$90.22
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 24, 2026
Market cap
$10.72B
P/E
494.44
ROE
0.5%
Profit margin
0.9%
Debt/Equity
0.09
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Zillow Group (ZG) presents a stark disconnect between its deterministic value metrics and its current market price, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a Graham Number of $6.41 against a price of $44.50. While the balance sheet is exceptionally clean with very low debt (D/E 0.09) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio 3.12), the valuation is unsustainable on a trailing basis (P/E 494.44). Recent performance is alarming, characterized by a 40.3% drop in the last 6 months and a collapse in YoY EPS growth (-96.3%). Despite bullish analyst targets, the technical trend is completely bearish (0/100), suggesting the market is pricing in significant risk not captured by forward-looking estimates.
Key Strengths
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 3.12
Consistent double-digit revenue growth (18.10% YoY)
High gross margins (74.14%) indicating a scalable business model
Strong forward P/E (15.24) relative to trailing P/E, suggesting expected earnings recovery
Key Risks
Extreme valuation gap between current price and Graham Number ($6.41)
Severe recent collapse in EPS growth (-97.7% Q/Q)
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative 1-year price performance
Thin net profit margins (0.89%) leaving little room for operational error
Significant disconnect between analyst price targets ($73.48) and actual price action
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-36.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
33
Weak
15
45
20
85
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued Growth Play in Downtrend
Key drivers: Balance sheet strength, Revenue growth, Valuation disconnect, EPS collapse, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E 494.44, Graham Number $6.41
Positives
- PEG ratio of 0.92 suggests growth is priced reasonably relative to forward earnings
Watchpoints
- Trailing P/E of 494.44 is extreme
- Price is ~7x the Graham Number
- Intrinsic value formula suggests massive overvaluation
Future
45/100
Ref Revenue Growth 18.10%, EPS Growth -96.3%
Positives
- Revenue growth remains steady at 18%
Watchpoints
- Recent EPS growth is deeply negative
- Operating margins are negative (-1.68%)
Past
20/100
Ref 5Y Change -69.0%
Positives
- History of beating earnings estimates in previous years
Watchpoints
- 5-year return is -69%
- 6-month return is -40.3%
Health
85/100
Ref Piotroski 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.09
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity
- High Current and Quick ratios
- Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates stability
Watchpoints
- Negative ROA (-0.35%)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$44.5
Analyst Target
$73.48
Upside/Downside
+65.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ZG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ZG
Zillow Group, Inc.
Primary
|
-69.0% | +2.5% | -29.6% | -40.3% | -1.3% | +0.9% |
|
Z
Zillow Group, Inc.
Peer
|
-68.5% | +0.1% | -30.8% | -43.0% | -1.8% | +0.9% |
|
TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.
Peer
|
-66.0% | -61.3% | -49.4% | -54.2% | -0.2% | +13.3% |
|
GSAT
Globalstar, Inc.
Peer
|
+296.5% | +351.6% | +279.1% | +68.6% | +27.0% | -5.9% |
|
PSKY
Paramount Skydance Corporation
Peer
|
-65.5% | -43.5% | +9.0% | -29.4% | +30.4% | +10.6% |
ZG
Zillow Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-69.0%
3Y
+2.5%
1Y
-29.6%
6M
-40.3%
1M
-1.3%
1W
+0.9%
Z
Zillow Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-68.5%
3Y
+0.1%
1Y
-30.8%
6M
-43.0%
1M
-1.8%
1W
+0.9%
TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-66.0%
3Y
-61.3%
1Y
-49.4%
6M
-54.2%
1M
-0.2%
1W
+13.3%
GSA
Globalstar, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+296.5%
3Y
+351.6%
1Y
+279.1%
6M
+68.6%
1M
+27.0%
1W
-5.9%
PSK
Paramount Skydance Corporation
Peer
5Y
-65.5%
3Y
-43.5%
1Y
+9.0%
6M
-29.4%
1M
+30.4%
1W
+10.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
494.44
Forward P/E
15.24
PEG Ratio
0.92
P/B Ratio
2.19
P/S Ratio
4.15
EV/Revenue
3.81
EV/EBITDA
142.47
Market Cap
$10.72B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.89%
Operating Margin
-1.68%
Gross Margin
74.14%
ROE
0.47%
ROA
-0.35%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+18.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+18.05%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.09
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.12
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.14
Excellent
Cash/Share
$5.43
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
72.8%
Op. Margin
-1.7%
Net Margin
0.5%
Total Assets
$5.7B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$4.9B
Debt/Equity
0.16x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
46%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-10
$0.01
+164.9% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.44
+3.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.4
-3.8% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing ZG against 173 companies in the Communication Services sector
(13 bullish, 50 neutral, 110 bearish)
P/E Ratio
494.44
This Stock
vs
61.24
Sector Avg
+707.4%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.47%
This Stock
vs
-47.96%
Sector Avg
-101.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.89%
This Stock
vs
-8.31%
Sector Avg
-110.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.09
This Stock
vs
1.44
Sector Avg
-93.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
18.1%
This Stock
vs
602.37%
Sector Avg
-97.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.12
This Stock
vs
2.24
Sector Avg
+39.6%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ZG
Zillow Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $10.72B | 494.44 | 0.5% | 0.9% | $44.5 | |
|
Z
Zillow Group, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $10.67B | 494.44 | 0.5% | 0.9% | $44.5 | Compare |
|
TTD
The Trade Desk, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $11.45B | 26.72 | 16.3% | 15.3% | $24.05 | Compare |
|
GSAT
Globalstar, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $9.41B | - | -2.4% | -3.2% | $73.16 | Compare |
|
PSKY
Paramount Skydance Corporation
|
BEARISH | $13.05B | 391.33 | -0.9% | -2.1% | $11.74 | Compare |
ZG
Zillow Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$10.7B
P/E
494.4
ROE
0.5%
Price
$44.5
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
23 analysts
RBC Capital
2026-03-25
Outperform
Outperform
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-03-25
Neutral
Neutral
Baird
2026-03-18
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2026-02-12
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-11
Neutral
Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-02-11
Overweight
Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-02-11
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Barclays
2026-02-11
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-11
Neutral
Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-02-10
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ZG from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.