ACEL Accel Entertainment, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

ACEL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Gambling

Current Price Live

$11.29

Analyst Target

$15.17

+34.3% Upside

52W High

$13.28

52W Low

$9.02

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

68%

Analysis Accuracy

ACEL's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability. While the company shows strong earnings growth and beats earnings estimates consistently, high leverage (Debt/Equity: 2.22) and weak insider sentiment counterbalance these positives. Valuation is mixed—trading below analyst target of $15.17 but above the conservative Graham Number of $5.93. The stock faces headwinds from recent price underperformance and insider selling, despite solid ROE and revenue momentum.

Key Strengths

Strong earnings growth: YoY EPS growth of 13.6% and 167.3% earnings growth (YoY) reflect operational improvement.

Consistent earnings beat record: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of 17.29%.

High return on equity: ROE of 18.23% exceeds sector average of 6.36%, signaling efficient equity utilization.

Solid liquidity position: Current ratio of 2.57 and quick ratio of 2.38 indicate strong short-term financial health.

Attractive valuation relative to peers: P/E of 23.04 is below sector average of 58.47 despite superior profitability.

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score: 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health, particularly in profitability and leverage trends.

High debt burden: Debt/Equity ratio of 2.22 exceeds sector average (1.60) and increases financial risk.

Bearish insider activity: 9 sell transactions totaling $2.33M in the last 6 months signal lack of confidence from insiders.

Declining near-term momentum: 6M price return of -11.4% and bearish technical trend (0/100) indicate weak sentiment.

Missing Altman Z-Score: Inability to assess bankruptcy risk due to missing Z-Score is a critical data gap.

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$14.0

+24.0% above current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings

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