BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
BJRI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Cyclical
Restaurants
Current Price
Live
$44.03
Analyst Target
$44.0
-0.1%
Downside
52W High
$47.02
52W Low
$28.46
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 07, 2026
Market cap
$974.13M
P/E
32.38
ROE
8.4%
Profit margin
2.2%
Debt/Equity
1.41
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
BJRI's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling distress in operational efficiency and capital structure. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about potential bankruptcy risk, especially given a dangerously high Debt/Equity ratio of 1.41 and extremely low liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.36, Quick Ratio: 0.21). While the company shows strong earnings surprise history and recent EPS growth of 130.8% YoY, these gains are likely driven by one-time or cyclical factors, as evidenced by negative operating margins (-0.13%) and inconsistent profitability. The stock trades at a premium to its intrinsic value and Graham number, suggesting overvaluation despite modest revenue growth. Analysts recommend 'buy' but with limited conviction, as the technical trend is bearish and insider sentiment is neutral.
Key Strengths
Strong earnings surprise history with average 49.46% beat over last 4 quarters
Recent 130.8% YoY EPS growth indicates potential turnaround momentum
High 4-quarter beat rate (3/4) suggests earnings resilience
Trading near 52-week high ($47.02) with current price at $44.03, indicating market optimism
Peer comparison shows better P/E than some similar-sized firms (e.g., BBW, AMWD)
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and operational instability
No Altman Z-Score available; however, high Debt/Equity (1.41) and extremely low liquidity ratios signal distress risk
Negative operating margin (-0.13%) and low gross margin (15.27%) reflect weak profitability
Current price ($44.03) significantly exceeds Graham Number ($22.66) and Intrinsic Value ($9.52), indicating severe overvaluation
Technical trend is bearish (10/100), and insider sentiment is only 40/100, suggesting limited confidence from insiders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$12.5
-71.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
25
68
55
30
0
AI Verdict
bearish
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9), High financial leverage and liquidity risk, Overvaluation relative to intrinsic value, Negative operating margin, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
85%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.70 is below sector average (1.0+), suggesting relative value on revenue
- Forward P/E of 18.52 is below sector average (42.91), indicating potential future earnings optimism
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 32.38 is high relative to earnings stability
- Graham Number ($22.66) is far below current price ($44.03)
- Intrinsic Value ($9.52) is drastically lower than market price
- Stock trades at a 95% premium to Graham Number and 363% premium to intrinsic value
Future
68/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 130.8% YoY EPS growth indicates strong momentum
- Recent quarters show consistent earnings beats (3/4 in last 4)
- Average earnings surprise of 49.46% suggests strong execution
Watchpoints
- Q/Q EPS growth is -95.9%, indicating a sharp reversal in momentum
- Forward P/E of 18.52 is not supported by consistent earnings growth
- No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Past
55/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical earnings surprises show strong upside potential (e.g., +106.7% in Q1 2024)
- Multiple quarters show positive surprises despite losses in prior periods
Watchpoints
- Persistent negative operating margins and inconsistent profitability
- Significant negative surprises in prior quarters (e.g., -1907.5% in Q4 2023)
- Net losses in multiple quarters (e.g., Q4 2023, Q4 2022, Q1 2021)
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 1.41 is below sector average (1.65), suggesting slightly better leverage than peers
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below threshold for financial stability
- Current Ratio (0.36) and Quick Ratio (0.21) are critically low, indicating liquidity distress
- No Altman Z-Score available; however, financial health indicators suggest high risk
- Negative operating margin and low ROA (3.02%) reflect weak operational efficiency
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid (Dividend Strength: 0/100)
- Payout Ratio: 0.00%
- Dividend Yield: N/A
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
32.38
Forward P/E
18.52
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.62
P/S Ratio
0.7
EV/Revenue
1.01
EV/EBITDA
11.27
Market Cap
$974.13M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.23%
Operating Margin
-0.13%
Gross Margin
15.27%
ROE
8.44%
ROA
3.02%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+1.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.41
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.36
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.21
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.2
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.04
+59.9% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.97
+35.1% surprise
2025-05-01
$0.59
+53.4% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BJRI against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(5 bullish, 49 neutral, 40 bearish)
P/E Ratio
32.38
This Stock
vs
42.97
Sector Avg
-24.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.44%
This Stock
vs
6.02%
Sector Avg
+40.1%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
2.23%
This Stock
vs
0.78%
Sector Avg
+185.5%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.41
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
-14.7%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
1.4%
This Stock
vs
7.65%
Sector Avg
-81.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.36
This Stock
vs
1.88
Sector Avg
-80.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $974.13M | 32.38 | 8.4% | 2.2% | $44.03 | |
|
AXL
American Axle &...
|
NEUTRAL | $982.81M | 23.66 | 6.3% | 0.7% | $8.28 | |
|
ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $951.68M | 23.04 | 18.2% | 3.3% | $11.29 | |
|
ARHS
Arhaus, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.0B | 14.79 | 17.7% | 4.9% | $7.1 | |
|
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $831.54M | 14.7 | 41.2% | 10.9% | $63.35 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Barclays
2026-01-07
Underweight
Underweight
Freedom Capital Markets
2025-11-06
Buy
Barclays
2025-10-31
Underweight
Underweight
Mizuho
2025-10-28
Neutral
Barclays
2025-10-22
Underweight
Underweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BJRI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.