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AXL vs BJRI

AXL
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$8.28
Market Cap
$982.8M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
65%
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$44.03
Market Cap
$974.1M
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
AXL
23.66
BJRI
32.38
Forward P/E
AXL
11.85
BJRI
18.52
P/B Ratio
AXL
1.37
BJRI
2.62
P/S Ratio
AXL
0.17
BJRI
0.7
EV/EBITDA
AXL
4.24
BJRI
11.27

Profitability

Gross Margin
AXL
12.31%
BJRI
15.27%
Operating Margin
AXL
4.54%
BJRI
-0.13%
Profit Margin
AXL
0.72%
BJRI
2.23%
ROE
AXL
6.28%
BJRI
8.44%
ROA
AXL
2.95%
BJRI
3.02%

Growth

Revenue Growth
AXL
0.0%
BJRI
1.4%
Earnings Growth
AXL
-12.5%
BJRI
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
AXL
3.81
BJRI
1.41
Current Ratio
AXL
1.77
BJRI
0.36
Quick Ratio
AXL
1.24
BJRI
0.21

Dividends

Dividend Yield
AXL
--
BJRI
--
Payout Ratio
AXL
0.0%
BJRI
0.0%

AI Verdict

AXL NEUTRAL

The company exhibits weak fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and lacks an Altman Z-Score to confirm financial distress risk. Despite a recent strong price run-up (+44.8% 1Y), profitability is thin, growth is negative, and leverage is extremely high (Debt/Equity: 3.81). Valuation metrics are mixed, with a low P/S of 0.17 suggesting potential undervaluation, but elevated P/E of 23.66 and negative earnings growth raise concerns. Analysts concur with a 'hold' rating, aligning with the uncertain outlook.

Strengths
Low Price/Sales ratio (0.17) suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Recent strong price momentum (+68% over 6 months)
Historically high earnings surprise frequency, especially in 2024
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and limited operational strength
Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio (3.81) far exceeds sector average (1.59), increasing financial risk
Negative earnings growth (YoY: -12.5%, Q/Q: -8%) and declining profitability
BJRI BEARISH

BJRI's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling distress in operational efficiency and capital structure. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about potential bankruptcy risk, especially given a dangerously high Debt/Equity ratio of 1.41 and extremely low liquidity ratios (Current Ratio: 0.36, Quick Ratio: 0.21). While the company shows strong earnings surprise history and recent EPS growth of 130.8% YoY, these gains are likely driven by one-time or cyclical factors, as evidenced by negative operating margins (-0.13%) and inconsistent profitability. The stock trades at a premium to its intrinsic value and Graham number, suggesting overvaluation despite modest revenue growth. Analysts recommend 'buy' but with limited conviction, as the technical trend is bearish and insider sentiment is neutral.

Strengths
Strong earnings surprise history with average 49.46% beat over last 4 quarters
Recent 130.8% YoY EPS growth indicates potential turnaround momentum
High 4-quarter beat rate (3/4) suggests earnings resilience
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and operational instability
No Altman Z-Score available; however, high Debt/Equity (1.41) and extremely low liquidity ratios signal distress risk
Negative operating margin (-0.13%) and low gross margin (15.27%) reflect weak profitability

Compare Another Pair

AXL vs BJRI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) and BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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