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AD

BEARISH
$47.92 Live
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. · NYSE
Target $57.71 (+20.4%)
$44.03 52W Range $79.17

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$4.14B
P/E
28.19
ROE
5.3%
Profit margin
0.4%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid financial health based on profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency metrics. However, the absence of an Altman Z-Score, deeply negative forward P/E of -228.19, and deteriorating earnings trends raise serious concerns about sustainability. Despite strong revenue growth of 83.1% YoY and a healthy current ratio of 3.59, the company is burning through earnings with an operating margin of -13.26% and a profit margin near zero. Persistent negative earnings surprises, insider selling, and a technical trend score of 0/100 reinforce a deteriorating outlook despite bullish analyst recommendations.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 suggests robust accounting fundamentals and operational efficiency
Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 83.10%, significantly above sector average of 22.35%
High gross margin of 56.96%, indicating strong pricing power or cost control in core operations
Healthy current ratio of 3.59, reflecting strong short-term liquidity and ability to meet obligations
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.47, well below sector average of 1.12, suggesting conservative capital structure

Key Risks

Forward P/E of -228.19 indicates negative earnings expectations and potential profitability collapse
Operating margin of -13.26% and deteriorating ROE (5.34%) signal severe operational inefficiencies despite revenue growth
Absence of Altman Z-Score due to missing data raises red flags about credit risk and financial stability
Consistent earnings misses: 3 out of last 4 quarters missed estimates with an average surprise of -94.49%
Insider selling of $7.22M in the last 6 months, including CEO, signals lack of confidence from management
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$33.47
-30.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
35
Future
58
Past
40
Health
72
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Cautious Avoid
Key drivers: High revenue growth and strong Piotroski score offset by negative earnings, insider selling, and technical weakness
Confidence
76%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book of 1.64 is reasonable for a growth-oriented telecom services firm
  • Price/Sales of 1.09 is in line with sector dynamics
Watchpoints
  • Current price of $47.92 trades at a 43% premium to Graham Number ($33.47)
  • Forward P/E of -228.19 invalidates traditional valuation models due to negative earnings
Future
58/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 83.10% YoY is exceptional and well above peer average
  • Analyst target price of $57.71 implies 20.4% upside, suggesting growth optimism
Watchpoints
  • No earnings growth data available; most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -225.0%
  • Forward P/E is deeply negative, indicating no near-term profitability
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +103.5% and 3-year return of +199.9% show strong historical momentum
Watchpoints
  • Last 4 quarters show consistent earnings misses with average surprise of -94.49%
  • 1-month price change of -11.0% and 1-week drop of -17.1% indicate recent deterioration
Health
72/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score is unavailable, creating a critical data gap in bankruptcy risk assessment
  • Quick ratio of 0.64 suggests potential liquidity issues despite high current ratio
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength of 0/100 and no dividend yield indicate no income return
  • Payout ratio of 0.00% confirms no dividend distribution

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$47.92
Analyst Target
$57.71
Upside/Downside
+20.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+103.5%
3Y
+199.9%
1Y
+9.2%
6M
-7.1%
1M
-11.0%
1W
-17.1%
LBT
Liberty Global Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-8.9%
3Y
+19.8%
1Y
+14.6%
6M
+14.7%
1M
-0.8%
1W
-1.1%
LBT
Liberty Global Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-12.6%
3Y
+9.3%
1Y
+8.0%
6M
+10.9%
1M
-0.6%
1W
-1.0%
IRD
Iridium Communications Inc.
Peer
5Y
-10.0%
3Y
-39.4%
1Y
+45.5%
6M
+88.7%
1M
+38.7%
1W
+4.1%
LBT
Liberty Global Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-46.5%
3Y
-29.8%
1Y
+37.3%
6M
+32.6%
1M
+10.8%
1W
+3.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
28.19
Forward P/E
-228.19
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.64
P/S Ratio
1.09
EV/Revenue
1.32
EV/EBITDA
5.97
Market Cap
$4.14B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.43%
Operating Margin -13.26%
Gross Margin 56.96%
ROE 5.34%
ROA 1.43%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +83.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.59
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.64
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.77

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-20
$N/A
2025-11-07
$-0.45
-252.5% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.36
+7.7% surprise
2025-05-02
$0.21
-38.6% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing AD against 121 companies in the Communication Services sector (12 bullish, 36 neutral, 73 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.19
This Stock
vs
50.66
Sector Avg
-44.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.34%
This Stock
vs
-18.07%
Sector Avg
-129.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.43%
This Stock
vs
1.28%
Sector Avg
-66.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
1.28
Sector Avg
-63.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
83.1%
This Stock
vs
860.99%
Sector Avg
-90.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.59
This Stock
vs
2.47
Sector Avg
+45.3% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CARLSON ANTHONY J M
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
5,022 shares
HARCZAK HARRY J JR
Director
Sell
2025-08-18
1,960 shares · $149,357
CHAMBERS DOUGLAS W
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-08-12
93,300 shares · $7,069,341
CHAMBERS DOUGLAS W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-08-01
119,659 shares
WILLIAMS XAVIER
Director
Stock Award
2025-08-01
1,960 shares · $144,060
HARCZAK HARRY J JR
Director
Stock Award
2025-08-01
1,960 shares · $144,060
CARLSON WALTER C D
Director
Stock Award
2025-08-01
1,146 shares · $84,231
IRIZARRY MICHAEL S. PH.D.
Chief Technology Officer
Option Exercise
2025-07-30
18,683 shares · $856,989
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-07
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2025-11-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-10-27
init
Outperform
JP Morgan
2025-08-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AD from our newsroom.

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