AD Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Communication Services
Telecom Services
Current Price
Live
$47.92
Analyst Target
$57.71
+20.4%
Upside
52W High
$79.17
52W Low
$44.03
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$4.14B
P/E
28.19
ROE
5.3%
Profit margin
0.4%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid financial health based on profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency metrics. However, the absence of an Altman Z-Score, deeply negative forward P/E of -228.19, and deteriorating earnings trends raise serious concerns about sustainability. Despite strong revenue growth of 83.1% YoY and a healthy current ratio of 3.59, the company is burning through earnings with an operating margin of -13.26% and a profit margin near zero. Persistent negative earnings surprises, insider selling, and a technical trend score of 0/100 reinforce a deteriorating outlook despite bullish analyst recommendations.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 suggests robust accounting fundamentals and operational efficiency
Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 83.10%, significantly above sector average of 22.35%
High gross margin of 56.96%, indicating strong pricing power or cost control in core operations
Healthy current ratio of 3.59, reflecting strong short-term liquidity and ability to meet obligations
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.47, well below sector average of 1.12, suggesting conservative capital structure
Key Risks
Forward P/E of -228.19 indicates negative earnings expectations and potential profitability collapse
Operating margin of -13.26% and deteriorating ROE (5.34%) signal severe operational inefficiencies despite revenue growth
Absence of Altman Z-Score due to missing data raises red flags about credit risk and financial stability
Consistent earnings misses: 3 out of last 4 quarters missed estimates with an average surprise of -94.49%
Insider selling of $7.22M in the last 6 months, including CEO, signals lack of confidence from management
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$33.47
-30.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
41
Moderate
35
58
40
72
0
AI Verdict
Cautious Avoid
Key drivers: High revenue growth and strong Piotroski score offset by negative earnings, insider selling, and technical weakness
Confidence
76%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Book of 1.64 is reasonable for a growth-oriented telecom services firm
- Price/Sales of 1.09 is in line with sector dynamics
Watchpoints
- Current price of $47.92 trades at a 43% premium to Graham Number ($33.47)
- Forward P/E of -228.19 invalidates traditional valuation models due to negative earnings
Future
58/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 83.10% YoY is exceptional and well above peer average
- Analyst target price of $57.71 implies 20.4% upside, suggesting growth optimism
Watchpoints
- No earnings growth data available; most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -225.0%
- Forward P/E is deeply negative, indicating no near-term profitability
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +103.5% and 3-year return of +199.9% show strong historical momentum
Watchpoints
- Last 4 quarters show consistent earnings misses with average surprise of -94.49%
- 1-month price change of -11.0% and 1-week drop of -17.1% indicate recent deterioration
Health
72/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health across profitability, leverage, and efficiency
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score is unavailable, creating a critical data gap in bankruptcy risk assessment
- Quick ratio of 0.64 suggests potential liquidity issues despite high current ratio
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength of 0/100 and no dividend yield indicate no income return
- Payout ratio of 0.00% confirms no dividend distribution
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$47.92
Analyst Target
$57.71
Upside/Downside
+20.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AD and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
Primary
|
+103.5% | +199.9% | +9.2% | -7.1% | -11.0% | -17.1% |
|
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
Peer
|
-75.8% | -28.3% | -14.4% | -17.6% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
|
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+62.0% | +20.9% | +3.6% | -13.4% | +0.1% | -1.3% |
|
BATRK
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+53.5% | +13.8% | +3.9% | -13.1% | +0.5% | -1.2% |
|
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
-59.5% | -62.1% | -2.1% | -11.0% | -6.0% | -6.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
28.19
Forward P/E
-228.19
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.64
P/S Ratio
1.09
EV/Revenue
1.32
EV/EBITDA
5.97
Market Cap
$4.14B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
0.43%
Operating Margin
-13.26%
Gross Margin
56.96%
ROE
5.34%
ROA
1.43%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+83.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.59
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.64
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.77
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-20
$N/A
2025-11-07
$-0.45
-252.5% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.36
+7.7% surprise
2025-05-02
$0.21
-38.6% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing AD against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector
(0 bullish, 17 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.19
This Stock
vs
23.16
Sector Avg
+21.7%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.34%
This Stock
vs
-7.15%
Sector Avg
-174.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.43%
This Stock
vs
39.59%
Sector Avg
-98.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
1.11
Sector Avg
-57.3%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
83.1%
This Stock
vs
28.78%
Sector Avg
+188.7%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
3.59
This Stock
vs
2.22
Sector Avg
+62.0%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.14B | 28.19 | 5.3% | 0.4% | $47.92 | |
|
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.75B | 13.07 | 5.8% | 24.2% | $23.14 | |
|
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.69B | - | -0.2% | -0.1% | $42.71 | |
|
BATRK
Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.52B | - | -0.2% | -0.1% | $39.59 | |
|
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $6.89B | 5.02 | 8.9% | 11.6% | $20.45 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | CARLSON ANTHONY J M | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 5,022 | - |
| 2025-08-18 | HARCZAK HARRY J JR | Director | Sale | 1,960 | $149,357 |
| 2025-08-12 | CHAMBERS DOUGLAS W | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 93,300 | $7,069,341 |
| 2025-08-01 | CHAMBERS DOUGLAS W | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 119,659 | - |
| 2025-08-01 | WILLIAMS XAVIER | Director | Stock Award | 1,960 | $144,060 |
| 2025-08-01 | HARCZAK HARRY J JR | Director | Stock Award | 1,960 | $144,060 |
| 2025-08-01 | CARLSON WALTER C D | Director | Stock Award | 1,146 | $84,231 |
| 2025-07-30 | IRIZARRY MICHAEL S. PH.D. | Chief Technology Officer | Option Exercise | 18,683 | $856,989 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-07
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2025-11-25
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Overweight
Overweight
RBC Capital
2025-10-27
Outperform
JP Morgan
2025-08-12
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AD from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.