IRDM
BEARISH
$34.2
Live
Iridium Communications Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $30.38
(-11.2%)
$15.65
52W Range
$35.34
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 12, 2026
Market cap
$3.62B
P/E
32.26
ROE
22.0%
Profit margin
13.1%
Debt/Equity
3.87
Dividend yield
1.75%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
IRDM exhibits a severe disconnect between its current market price ($34.20) and its deterministic value markers, with a Graham Number of $10.25 and an Intrinsic Value of $7.42. While the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, this is offset by stagnant revenue growth (0.00%) and a significant decline in earnings (-24.20% YoY). The stock is trading at a massive premium (P/B of 7.76) despite a bearish technical trend and negative insider sentiment. The recent price surge appears speculative as it is not supported by fundamental growth or analyst target prices ($30.38).
Key Strengths
Very high gross margins (71.55%)
Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 22.01%
Stable Piotroski F-Score (6/9)
Healthy current ratio (2.48) providing short-term liquidity
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters
Key Risks
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value models
Stagnant revenue growth (0.00% YoY) and declining earnings (-24.20%)
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.87
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential reversal
Negative insider sentiment and lack of buying activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.5
-66.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
40
Moderate
15
20
50
60
55
AI Verdict
Overvalued Speculative
Key drivers: Valuation gap, Negative earnings growth, High debt load
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E 32.26, Graham Number $10.25
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Price is >3x the Graham Number
- P/E of 32.26 is high for 0% revenue growth
- PEG ratio of 2.07 indicates overpayment for growth
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong operating margins
Watchpoints
- YoY Revenue Growth: 0.00%
- YoY Earnings Growth: -24.20%
- Q/Q Earnings Growth: -31.60%
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 6-month price performance (+88.7%)
Watchpoints
- Poor 3-year return (-39.4%)
- Inconsistent quarterly earnings surprises
Health
60/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9 (Stable)
- Strong current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
- High Debt/Equity (3.87)
- Altman Z-Score missing
Dividend
55/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Sustainable payout ratio (54.72%)
Watchpoints
- Low yield (1.75%) relative to risk profile
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$34.2
Analyst Target
$30.38
Upside/Downside
-11.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for IRDM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
IRDM
Iridium Communications Inc.
Primary
|
-10.0% | -39.4% | +45.5% | +88.7% | +38.7% | +4.1% |
|
IAC
IAC Inc.
Peer
|
-69.3% | -1.5% | +19.0% | +27.1% | +7.6% | +2.6% |
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
Peer
|
+103.5% | +199.9% | +9.2% | -7.1% | -11.0% | -17.1% |
|
JOYY
JOYY Inc.
Peer
|
-25.1% | +128.0% | +68.1% | +11.1% | -1.8% | +2.6% |
|
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
Peer
|
-75.8% | -28.3% | -14.4% | -17.6% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
IRD
Iridium Communications Inc.
Primary
5Y
-10.0%
3Y
-39.4%
1Y
+45.5%
6M
+88.7%
1M
+38.7%
1W
+4.1%
IAC
IAC Inc.
Peer
5Y
-69.3%
3Y
-1.5%
1Y
+19.0%
6M
+27.1%
1M
+7.6%
1W
+2.6%
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+103.5%
3Y
+199.9%
1Y
+9.2%
6M
-7.1%
1M
-11.0%
1W
-17.1%
JOY
JOYY Inc.
Peer
5Y
-25.1%
3Y
+128.0%
1Y
+68.1%
6M
+11.1%
1M
-1.8%
1W
+2.6%
ATH
Autohome Inc.
Peer
5Y
-75.8%
3Y
-28.3%
1Y
-14.4%
6M
-17.6%
1M
-1.6%
1W
+0.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
32.26
Forward P/E
26.11
PEG Ratio
2.07
P/B Ratio
7.76
P/S Ratio
4.15
EV/Revenue
6.06
EV/EBITDA
11.84
Market Cap
$3.62B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
13.12%
Operating Margin
25.95%
Gross Margin
71.55%
ROE
22.01%
ROA
5.67%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
N/A
Earnings Growth
-24.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-0.02%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-31.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
3.87
High debt
Current Ratio
2.48
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.7
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.92
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
72.8%
Op. Margin
25.9%
Net Margin
11.7%
Total Assets
$2.5B
Liabilities
$2.1B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
4.47x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
69%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-02-12
$0.27
+8.5% surprise
2025-10-23
$0.35
+37.2% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.2
-16.9% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing IRDM against 81 companies in the Communication Services sector
(8 bullish, 28 neutral, 45 bearish)
P/E Ratio
32.26
This Stock
vs
24.07
Sector Avg
+34.0%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.01%
This Stock
vs
-10.75%
Sector Avg
-304.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
13.12%
This Stock
vs
13.2%
Sector Avg
-0.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.87
This Stock
vs
0.94
Sector Avg
+312.9%
(Higher)
Current Ratio
2.48
This Stock
vs
2.84
Sector Avg
-12.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
IRDM
Iridium Communications Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.62B | 32.26 | 22.0% | 13.1% | $34.2 | |
|
IAC
IAC Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.14B | - | -2.1% | -4.3% | $40.85 | Compare |
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.14B | 28.19 | 5.3% | 0.4% | $47.92 | Compare |
|
JOYY
JOYY Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.06B | 14.47 | 36.8% | 98.7% | $60.04 | Compare |
|
ATHM
Autohome Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.75B | 13.07 | 5.8% | 24.2% | $23.14 | Compare |
IRDM
Iridium...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$3.6B
P/E
32.3
ROE
22.0%
Price
$34.2
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | KAPALKA TIMOTHY | Officer | Sale | 5,833 | $184,909 |
| 2026-03-31 | NIEHAUS ROBERT H | Director | Stock Award | 742 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | YEANEY JACQUELINE E | Director | Stock Award | 58 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | FITZPATRICK THOMAS J | Director | Stock Award | 95 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | CANFIELD THOMAS C | Director | Stock Award | 1,257 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | KRONGARD ALVIN BERNARD | Director | Stock Award | 639 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | SEARS KAY | Director | Stock Award | 58 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | SHIVANANDAN MONIQUE S. | Director | Stock Award | 85 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | OLSON ERIC T | Director | Stock Award | 756 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | FRAZIER LEON ANTHONY | Director | Stock Award | 182 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | ALTERMAN LOUIS M | Director | Stock Award | 74 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | DESCH MATTHEW J | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 407,564 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | KAPALKA TIMOTHY | Officer | Stock Award | 16,040 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | MCBRIDE SUZANNE E | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 175,187 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | MORGAN KATHLEEN A | Officer | Stock Award | 96,388 | - |
KAPALKA TIMOTHY
Officer
2026-04-06
5,833 shares
·
$184,909
NIEHAUS ROBERT H
Director
2026-03-31
742 shares
YEANEY JACQUELINE E
Director
2026-03-31
58 shares
FITZPATRICK THOMAS J
Director
2026-03-31
95 shares
CANFIELD THOMAS C
Director
2026-03-31
1,257 shares
KRONGARD ALVIN BERNARD
Director
2026-03-31
639 shares
SEARS KAY
Director
2026-03-31
58 shares
SHIVANANDAN MONIQUE S.
Director
2026-03-31
85 shares
OLSON ERIC T
Director
2026-03-31
756 shares
FRAZIER LEON ANTHONY
Director
2026-03-31
182 shares
ALTERMAN LOUIS M
Director
2026-03-31
74 shares
DESCH MATTHEW J
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
407,564 shares
KAPALKA TIMOTHY
Officer
2026-02-27
16,040 shares
MCBRIDE SUZANNE E
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-27
175,187 shares
MORGAN KATHLEEN A
Officer
2026-02-27
96,388 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-09
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-18
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
BWS Financial
2026-02-17
Sell
Sell
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-16
Overweight
Equal-Weight
BWS Financial
2025-10-24
Sell
Sell
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning IRDM from our newsroom.
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