AKR Acadia Realty Trust - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AKR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Real Estate
REIT - Retail
Current Price
Live
$19.99
Analyst Target
$22.43
+12.2%
Upside
52W High
$24.95
52W Low
$16.98
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.83B
P/E
153.77
ROE
-1.7%
Profit margin
4.5%
Debt/Equity
0.72
Dividend yield
3.96%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns: a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite a seemingly reasonable Price/Book of 1.17 and a dividend yield of 3.96%, the stock trades at extreme valuation multiples (P/E of 153.77, Forward P/E of 71.39) while exhibiting declining fundamentals—revenue and earnings are contracting YoY by 2.40% and 57.10%, respectively. Negative ROE of -1.67%, a dangerously high payout ratio of 607.69%, and inconsistent earnings beats (only 1 of last 4 quarters) further undermine confidence. Although analyst consensus recommends a 'buy', the technical trend is deeply bearish and insider sentiment is weak.
Key Strengths
Current Ratio of 2.63 suggests strong short-term liquidity
Gross Margin of 69.14% indicates pricing power and cost control at operational level
Debt/Equity of 0.72 is below sector average of 3.74, signaling conservative leverage
Dividend yield of 3.96% is above market average and may attract income investors
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +50.0% shows potential for short-term earnings recovery
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates borderline financial instability with risk of deterioration
Extremely high P/E of 153.77 and Forward P/E of 71.39 suggest severe overvaluation relative to earnings
Payout ratio of 607.69% implies dividend is unsustainable and at risk of cut
Earnings growth down 57.10% YoY and revenue declining, indicating fundamental weakness
Negative ROE of -1.67% reflects poor return on shareholder equity and capital inefficiency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.08
-64.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
34
Weak
22
38
44
39
26
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals and high risk of dividend cut
Key drivers: High valuation multiples, Weak Piotroski score, Unsustainable dividend, Negative earnings growth, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
72%
Value
22/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Book of 1.17 is near sector median
- Graham Number provides a conservative floor estimate
Watchpoints
- P/E of 153.77 is extremely high
- Forward P/E of 71.39 implies aggressive growth assumptions
- Intrinsic Value of $0.91 is far below current price
Future
38/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Q/Q EPS growth of +50.0% hints at possible rebound
- Analyst target price implies 12.2% upside
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY is negative (-2.40%)
- Earnings growth down 57.10% YoY
- PEG Ratio unavailable due to unreliable growth forecast
Past
44/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y price return of +58.5% outperforms long-term REIT averages
- Some history of large earnings surprises (e.g., +1555.7% in 2021)
Watchpoints
- High volatility in earnings (including multiple negative quarters)
- Only 1 earnings beat in last 4 quarters
- Average surprise of -31.01% over last 4 quarters
Health
39/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 2.63 indicates strong liquidity
- Quick Ratio of 1.07 shows ability to meet short-term obligations
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health
- ROE of -1.67% reflects capital destruction
- Altman Z-Score not available, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
26/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.96% is attractive on surface
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 607.69% is unsustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 20/100 indicates high risk
- No visibility on dividend stability given earnings volatility
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$19.99
Analyst Target
$22.43
Upside/Downside
+12.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AKR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
Primary
|
+58.5% | +49.7% | -8.0% | +8.6% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
|
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
Peer
|
+23.4% | -12.2% | -12.8% | +2.0% | +2.6% | -0.5% |
|
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
Peer
|
-28.0% | +2.9% | +18.2% | +19.0% | +5.9% | -4.0% |
|
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
Peer
|
+35.3% | +30.8% | +25.2% | +20.6% | +7.7% | -1.0% |
|
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
|
-7.8% | -22.3% | -34.2% | -32.0% | -2.4% | -6.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
153.77
Forward P/E
71.39
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.17
P/S Ratio
7.26
EV/Revenue
12.59
EV/EBITDA
21.96
Market Cap
$2.83B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
4.55%
Operating Margin
19.65%
Gross Margin
69.14%
ROE
-1.67%
ROA
0.98%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.4%
Earnings Growth
-57.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-33.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.72
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.63
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.07
Good
Cash/Share
$0.46
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-10-28
$0.09
+28.1% surprise
2025-07-29
$0.06
-28.0% surprise
2025-04-29
$N/A
-93.1% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing AKR against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector
(2 bullish, 16 neutral, 38 bearish)
P/E Ratio
153.77
This Stock
vs
48.42
Sector Avg
+217.6%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.67%
This Stock
vs
-75.18%
Sector Avg
-97.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.55%
This Stock
vs
26.54%
Sector Avg
-82.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.72
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
-78.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.4%
This Stock
vs
1863.1%
Sector Avg
-100.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.63
This Stock
vs
8.05
Sector Avg
-67.3%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
|
BEARISH | $2.83B | 153.77 | -1.7% | 4.5% | $19.99 | |
|
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.92B | 16.88 | 5.4% | 12.4% | $12.32 | |
|
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.07B | 96.63 | 3.7% | 55.3% | $18.36 | |
|
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.66B | 39.43 | 3.0% | 20.0% | $18.53 | |
|
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.64B | 10.05 | 6.6% | 35.1% | $7.74 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Truist Securities
2025-11-28
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2025-09-12
Neutral
Buy
Ladenburg Thalmann
2025-09-09
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AKR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.