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AKR

BEARISH
$19.99 Live
Acadia Realty Trust · NYSE
Target $22.43 (+12.2%)
$16.98 52W Range $24.95

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.83B
P/E
153.77
ROE
-1.7%
Profit margin
4.5%
Debt/Equity
0.72
Dividend yield
3.96%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
68%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns: a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite a seemingly reasonable Price/Book of 1.17 and a dividend yield of 3.96%, the stock trades at extreme valuation multiples (P/E of 153.77, Forward P/E of 71.39) while exhibiting declining fundamentals—revenue and earnings are contracting YoY by 2.40% and 57.10%, respectively. Negative ROE of -1.67%, a dangerously high payout ratio of 607.69%, and inconsistent earnings beats (only 1 of last 4 quarters) further undermine confidence. Although analyst consensus recommends a 'buy', the technical trend is deeply bearish and insider sentiment is weak.

Key Strengths

Current Ratio of 2.63 suggests strong short-term liquidity
Gross Margin of 69.14% indicates pricing power and cost control at operational level
Debt/Equity of 0.72 is below sector average of 3.74, signaling conservative leverage
Dividend yield of 3.96% is above market average and may attract income investors
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +50.0% shows potential for short-term earnings recovery

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates borderline financial instability with risk of deterioration
Extremely high P/E of 153.77 and Forward P/E of 71.39 suggest severe overvaluation relative to earnings
Payout ratio of 607.69% implies dividend is unsustainable and at risk of cut
Earnings growth down 57.10% YoY and revenue declining, indicating fundamental weakness
Negative ROE of -1.67% reflects poor return on shareholder equity and capital inefficiency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.08
-64.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
34
Weak
Value
22
Future
38
Past
44
Health
39
Dividend
26
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals and high risk of dividend cut
Key drivers: High valuation multiples, Weak Piotroski score, Unsustainable dividend, Negative earnings growth, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
72%
Value
22/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book of 1.17 is near sector median
  • Graham Number provides a conservative floor estimate
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 153.77 is extremely high
  • Forward P/E of 71.39 implies aggressive growth assumptions
  • Intrinsic Value of $0.91 is far below current price
Future
38/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +50.0% hints at possible rebound
  • Analyst target price implies 12.2% upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth YoY is negative (-2.40%)
  • Earnings growth down 57.10% YoY
  • PEG Ratio unavailable due to unreliable growth forecast
Past
44/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5Y price return of +58.5% outperforms long-term REIT averages
  • Some history of large earnings surprises (e.g., +1555.7% in 2021)
Watchpoints
  • High volatility in earnings (including multiple negative quarters)
  • Only 1 earnings beat in last 4 quarters
  • Average surprise of -31.01% over last 4 quarters
Health
39/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio of 2.63 indicates strong liquidity
  • Quick Ratio of 1.07 shows ability to meet short-term obligations
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health
  • ROE of -1.67% reflects capital destruction
  • Altman Z-Score not available, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
26/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 3.96% is attractive on surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 607.69% is unsustainable
  • Dividend Strength score of 20/100 indicates high risk
  • No visibility on dividend stability given earnings volatility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$19.99
Analyst Target
$22.43
Upside/Downside
+12.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AKR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
Primary
5Y
+58.5%
3Y
+49.7%
1Y
-8.0%
6M
+8.6%
1M
-3.6%
1W
-5.0%
DX
Dynex Capital, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+32.5%
3Y
+80.0%
1Y
+34.4%
6M
+10.7%
1M
+9.8%
1W
+2.4%
UNI
Uniti Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-11.5%
3Y
+156.3%
1Y
+54.4%
6M
+109.3%
1M
+50.8%
1W
+7.3%
FCP
Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+12.2%
3Y
+18.8%
1Y
-3.2%
6M
+7.2%
1M
+7.5%
1W
-0.9%
APL
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+23.4%
3Y
-12.2%
1Y
-12.8%
6M
+2.0%
1M
+2.6%
1W
-0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
153.77
Forward P/E
71.39
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.17
P/S Ratio
7.26
EV/Revenue
12.59
EV/EBITDA
21.96
Market Cap
$2.83B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.55%
Operating Margin 19.65%
Gross Margin 69.14%
ROE -1.67%
ROA 0.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.4%
Earnings Growth -57.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -33.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.72
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.63
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.07
Good
Cash/Share
$0.46

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-10-28
$0.09
+28.1% surprise
2025-07-29
$0.06
-28.0% surprise
2025-04-29
$N/A
-93.1% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing AKR against 158 companies in the Real Estate sector (6 bullish, 31 neutral, 121 bearish)
P/E Ratio
153.77
This Stock
vs
42.45
Sector Avg
+262.2% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.67%
This Stock
vs
-35.03%
Sector Avg
-95.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.55%
This Stock
vs
11.41%
Sector Avg
-60.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.72
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-71.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.4%
This Stock
vs
17600.73%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.63
This Stock
vs
8.23
Sector Avg
-68.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Truist Securities
2025-11-28
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-09-12
up
Neutral Buy
Ladenburg Thalmann
2025-09-09
init
Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AKR from our newsroom.

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