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DX

NEUTRAL
$13.76 Live
Dynex Capital, Inc. · NYSE
Target $15.1 (+9.7%)
$11.7 52W Range $14.93

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$2.85B
P/E
6.49
ROE
11.7%
Profit margin
79.5%
Debt/Equity
7.74
Dividend yield
14.83%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Dynex Capital presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and extreme leverage. While the stock trades below its Graham Number ($25.35) and Intrinsic Value ($14.84), the fundamental health is precarious with a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.74 and a dangerously low Current Ratio of 0.07. The high dividend yield of 14.83% is attractive but risky given the 96.23% payout ratio. Recent EPS growth is strong, but historical volatility and a bearish technical trend offset the valuation appeal.

Key Strengths

Trading below Graham Number ($25.35) and Intrinsic Value ($14.84)
Very low P/E ratio (6.49) relative to sector averages
Strong recent Q/Q EPS growth (+40.9%) and YoY growth (+616.7%)
High dividend yield of 14.83% providing significant immediate income
Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $15.10

Key Risks

Critical financial health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.74
Severe liquidity risk evidenced by a Current Ratio of 0.07
Dividend sustainability risk due to a 96.23% payout ratio
Highly volatile earnings track record with frequent misses over the last 25 quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.5
+5.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
47
Moderate
Value
85
Future
55
Past
30
Health
15
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
High-Risk Value Play
Key drivers: Deep valuation discount, Poor fundamental health (Piotroski), Extreme leverage, High dividend yield
Confidence
90%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 6.49, PEG 0.71, Graham Number $25.35

Positives
  • Price < Intrinsic Value
  • Price < Graham Number
  • Low P/E and PEG (0.71)
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales is high (9.38)
Future
55/100

Ref YoY EPS Growth +616.7%

Positives
  • Massive YoY EPS growth
  • Recent quarterly beat
Watchpoints
  • Bearish technical trend (0/100)
  • Sensitivity to interest rate volatility
Past
30/100

Ref 25-quarter earnings track record

Positives
  • Long-term 5Y price appreciation (+32.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings consistency
  • Frequent large negative surprises
Health
15/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Liquidity Ratios

Positives
  • Price/Book near 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Debt/Equity 7.74
  • Current Ratio 0.07
Dividend
50/100

Ref Yield 14.83%, Payout 96.23%

Positives
  • Very high yield (14.83%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio (96.23%) leaves no margin for error

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$13.76
Analyst Target
$15.1
Upside/Downside
+9.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
DX
Dynex Capital, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+32.5%
3Y
+80.0%
1Y
+34.4%
6M
+10.7%
1M
+9.8%
1W
+2.4%
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
Peer
5Y
+58.5%
3Y
+49.7%
1Y
-8.0%
6M
+8.6%
1M
-3.6%
1W
-5.0%
UNI
Uniti Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-11.5%
3Y
+156.3%
1Y
+54.4%
6M
+109.3%
1M
+50.8%
1W
+7.3%
APL
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+23.4%
3Y
-12.2%
1Y
-12.8%
6M
+2.0%
1M
+2.6%
1W
-0.5%
CUR
Curbline Properties Corp.
Peer
5Y
+48.3%
3Y
+48.3%
1Y
+25.5%
6M
+16.3%
1M
+9.7%
1W
-0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
6.49
Forward P/E
9.06
PEG Ratio
0.71
P/B Ratio
1.02
P/S Ratio
9.38
EV/Revenue
76.47
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$2.85B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 79.54%
Operating Margin 135.96%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 11.74%
ROA 1.45%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth N/A
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +234.81%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
7.74
High debt
Current Ratio
0.07
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.04
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.74

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-20
$N/A
2026-04-20
$0.31
+11.9% surprise
2026-01-26
$0.22
-17.6% surprise
2025-10-20
$0.25
-5.3% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing DX against 142 companies in the Real Estate sector (5 bullish, 25 neutral, 112 bearish)
P/E Ratio
6.49
This Stock
vs
46.03
Sector Avg
-85.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.74%
This Stock
vs
-39.99%
Sector Avg
-129.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
79.54%
This Stock
vs
10.1%
Sector Avg
+687.2% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
7.74
This Stock
vs
2.68
Sector Avg
+188.7% (Higher)
Current Ratio
0.07
This Stock
vs
8.82
Sector Avg
-99.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

POPENOE SMRITI LAXMAN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
136,006 shares
BOSTON BYRON L
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
136,006 shares
CHILDRESS JEFFREY L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-04
18,275 shares
POPENOE SMRITI LAXMAN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
66,287 shares
POPENOE SMRITI LAXMAN
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2026-02-27
2,000 shares · $24,380
BOSTON BYRON L
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
86,579 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-21

DX reported its quarterly financial results for the period ending March 31, 2026.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-20

DX filed an 8-K on April 20, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-07

DX filed a Definitive Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) on April 7, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-27

DX likely announced its quarterly or annual financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-25

DX filed its 10-K annual report on February 25, 2026, covering its business operations, financial condition, and risk factors. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-27

DX announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-26

DX likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the period ending December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-16

DX filed an 8-K on January 16, 2026, likely to announce preliminary financial results or earnings for the prior fiscal period.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-28
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-27

DX filed its 10-Q on October 27, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-20
8-K
8-K
2025-07-29
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-28
8-K
8-K
2025-07-21
8-K
8-K
2025-05-21
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
5 analysts
UBS
2026-04-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Jones Trading
2026-01-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-12-18
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning DX from our newsroom.

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