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ALB Albemarle Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ALB Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Basic Materials Specialty Chemicals
Current Price Live
$189.51
Analyst Target
$165.06
-12.9% Downside
52W High
$191.97
52W Low
$49.43

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant deterioration in fundamental performance. Despite a strong recent price run-up (+115.4% over 1Y), the company is unprofitable (negative profit and operating margins), has negative earnings growth (YoY), and trades at an extremely high forward P/E of 82.85. While the balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio and manageable debt/equity of 0.37, the lack of Altman Z-Score and Graham Number, combined with deteriorating profitability and insider selling, raises serious concerns about sustainability. The analyst target price of $165.06 implies 13% downside from current levels, reinforcing overvaluation relative to fundamentals.

Key Strengths

Strong short-term liquidity with current ratio of 2.27 and quick ratio of 1.38
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.37, indicating conservative capital structure
Recent earnings surprises have been positive on average over the last four quarters (+88.45%)
Dividend payout ratio of 57.97% is sustainable for now given stable cash flows
Significant year-to-date price momentum (+128.2% over 6M) suggests strong market sentiment

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and deteriorating operational performance
Negative profit margin (-0.43%) and operating margin (-2.24%) indicate core business unprofitability
Extremely high forward P/E of 82.85 suggests substantial overvaluation relative to earnings power
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -272.7%, reflecting a sharp earnings collapse
Insider selling activity and bearish technical trend (10/100) signal lack of confidence from insiders and weak price momentum near 52-week high
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$120.0
-36.7% below current price

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