RGLD
NEUTRAL
$268.12
Live
Royal Gold, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $330.0
(+23.1%)
$150.75
52W Range
$306.25
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 18, 2026
Market cap
$22.75B
P/E
40.02
ROE
9.1%
Profit margin
45.6%
Debt/Equity
0.13
Dividend yield
0.71%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
RGLD presents a dichotomy between a rock-solid balance sheet and an extreme valuation premium. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health, supported by a very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.13) and strong liquidity. However, the current price of $268.12 trades at a massive premium to both the Graham Number ($113.0) and the Intrinsic Value ($46.9). While revenue growth is explosive (86.1%), the negative earnings growth (-28.9%) and recent string of earnings misses suggest the current valuation is speculative and disconnected from fundamental growth.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profit margins (45.63%) and operating margins (60.19%)
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 3.12
Explosive year-over-year revenue growth of 86.10%
Strong analyst support with a target price of $330.00
Key Risks
Severe valuation gap compared to Graham and Intrinsic value models
Negative earnings growth (-28.9% YoY) despite revenue gains
Bearish insider sentiment with 7 sell transactions and 0 buys
Poor recent earnings track record (only 1 beat in the last 4 quarters)
Highly bearish technical trend (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$165.0
-38.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
50
Moderate
20
45
80
75
30
AI Verdict
Overvalued Quality
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Extreme valuation premium, Divergence between revenue and earnings growth
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E 40.02, PEG 1.06, Graham Number $113.0
Positives
- Forward P/E (20.11) is significantly lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is 2.3x the Graham Number
- Price is 5.7x the Intrinsic Value
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates and Earnings Track Record
Positives
- Massive YoY revenue growth (86.1%)
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings growth
- Recent earnings surprises are consistently negative
Past
80/100
Ref Historical price trends and margins
Positives
- Strong 5-year price appreciation (+142.6%)
- Consistent historical profitability
Watchpoints
- Recent quarterly earnings deterioration
Health
75/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.13)
- High Current Ratio (3.12)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield and Payout Ratio
Positives
- Sustainable payout ratio (27.28%)
Watchpoints
- Very low dividend yield (0.71%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$268.12
Analyst Target
$330.0
Upside/Downside
+23.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for RGLD and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
Primary
|
+142.6% | +99.0% | +46.3% | +38.9% | +10.8% | +0.5% |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Peer
|
+13.7% | -25.1% | +115.4% | +128.2% | +27.6% | +16.2% |
|
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
-22.4% | -18.6% | +0.5% | +3.8% | -10.5% | -0.0% |
|
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
Peer
|
+56.6% | +63.1% | +50.5% | +42.5% | -6.9% | -0.3% |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
Peer
|
+472.0% | +288.1% | +116.2% | +67.8% | +7.6% | +11.6% |
RGL
Royal Gold, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+142.6%
3Y
+99.0%
1Y
+46.3%
6M
+38.9%
1M
+10.8%
1W
+0.5%
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Peer
5Y
+13.7%
3Y
-25.1%
1Y
+115.4%
6M
+128.2%
1M
+27.6%
1W
+16.2%
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-22.4%
3Y
-18.6%
1Y
+0.5%
6M
+3.8%
1M
-10.5%
1W
-0.0%
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+56.6%
3Y
+63.1%
1Y
+50.5%
6M
+42.5%
1M
-6.9%
1W
-0.3%
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
Peer
5Y
+472.0%
3Y
+288.1%
1Y
+116.2%
6M
+67.8%
1M
+7.6%
1W
+11.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
40.02
Forward P/E
20.11
PEG Ratio
1.06
P/B Ratio
3.17
P/S Ratio
22.26
EV/Revenue
22.98
EV/EBITDA
27.9
Market Cap
$22.75B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
45.63%
Operating Margin
60.19%
Gross Margin
87.19%
ROE
9.12%
ROA
6.43%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+86.1%
Earnings Growth
-28.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+85.29%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-12.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.13
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.12
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.87
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.76
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
64.5%
Op. Margin
59.8%
Net Margin
24.9%
Total Assets
$9.5B
Liabilities
$2.3B
Equity
$7.2B
Debt/Equity
0.33x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
100%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-18
$1.92
-27.4% surprise
2025-11-05
$1.92
-18.3% surprise
2025-08-06
$1.81
+7.9% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing RGLD against 91 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(3 bullish, 32 neutral, 56 bearish)
P/E Ratio
40.02
This Stock
vs
43.46
Sector Avg
-7.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.12%
This Stock
vs
-13.19%
Sector Avg
-169.2%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
45.63%
This Stock
vs
-11.04%
Sector Avg
-513.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.13
This Stock
vs
0.85
Sector Avg
-84.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
86.1%
This Stock
vs
40.11%
Sector Avg
+114.7%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
3.12
This Stock
vs
6.66
Sector Avg
-53.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $22.75B | 40.02 | 9.1% | 45.6% | $268.12 | |
|
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
|
BEARISH | $22.3B | - | 0.2% | -0.4% | $189.51 | Compare |
|
PPG
PPG Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $23.87B | 15.41 | 21.1% | 9.9% | $106.67 | Compare |
|
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $19.36B | 220.05 | 0.5% | -11.4% | $46.21 | Compare |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $18.23B | 32.89 | 14.3% | 33.5% | $43.42 | Compare |
RGLD
Royal Gold, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$22.7B
P/E
40.0
ROE
9.1%
Price
$268.12
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | ISTO MARK EDWARD | Director | Sale | 2,000 | $549,660 |
| 2026-03-11 | CRANDALL DAVID R | Chief Operating Officer | Gift | 150 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | LIBNER PAUL K | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 3,200 | $907,119 |
| 2026-03-02 | BREEZE DANIEL | Officer | Sale | 1,400 | $421,211 |
| 2026-02-26 | HEISSENBUTTEL WILLIAM HOLMES | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 4,892 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | HAYES WILLIAM MICHAEL | Director | Stock Award | 561 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | BREEZE DANIEL | Officer | Stock Award | 2,131 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | LIBNER PAUL K | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,952 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | SHEFMAN RANDY | General Counsel | Stock Award | 1,897 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | CHUBBS FABIANA ELIZABETH | Director | Stock Award | 561 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | RAFFIELD MARTIN PHILIP | Officer | Stock Award | 1,948 | - |
| 2026-02-26 | CRANDALL DAVID R | Officer | Stock Award | 914 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | HAYES WILLIAM MICHAEL | Director | Sale | 4,173 | $1,156,213 |
| 2026-02-03 | ISTO MARK EDWARD | Director | Gift | 580 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | VANCE RONALD JAY | Director | Sale | 300 | $65,559 |
ISTO MARK EDWARD
Director
2026-03-12
2,000 shares
·
$549,660
CRANDALL DAVID R
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-11
150 shares
LIBNER PAUL K
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-04
3,200 shares
·
$907,119
BREEZE DANIEL
Officer
2026-03-02
1,400 shares
·
$421,211
HEISSENBUTTEL WILLIAM HOLMES
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-26
4,892 shares
HAYES WILLIAM MICHAEL
Director
2026-02-26
561 shares
BREEZE DANIEL
Officer
2026-02-26
2,131 shares
LIBNER PAUL K
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-26
1,952 shares
SHEFMAN RANDY
General Counsel
2026-02-26
1,897 shares
CHUBBS FABIANA ELIZABETH
Director
2026-02-26
561 shares
RAFFIELD MARTIN PHILIP
Officer
2026-02-26
1,948 shares
CRANDALL DAVID R
Officer
2026-02-26
914 shares
HAYES WILLIAM MICHAEL
Director
2026-02-20
4,173 shares
·
$1,156,213
ISTO MARK EDWARD
Director
2026-02-03
580 shares
VANCE RONALD JAY
Director
2025-12-17
300 shares
·
$65,559
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
8-K
10-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
12 analysts
UBS
2026-04-15
Buy
Scotiabank
2026-01-26
Sector Outperform
Sector Perform
TD Cowen
2025-11-18
Buy
Buy
Scotiabank
2025-10-23
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning RGLD from our newsroom.
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