ALX Alexander's, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
ALX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Real Estate
REIT - Retail
Current Price
Live
$243.04
Analyst Target
$190.0
-21.8%
Downside
52W High
$260.84
52W Low
$185.75
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.24B
P/E
34.38
ROE
23.0%
Profit margin
17.0%
Debt/Equity
7.86
Dividend yield
7.33%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a concerning lack of Altman Z-Score due to insufficient data. Despite strong profitability metrics like high ROE and gross margin, the company faces significant risks including an extremely high debt/equity ratio of 7.86, negative earnings growth, and a dangerously high payout ratio of 252.10%, which raises sustainability concerns. The stock is trading at $243.04, far above both the Graham Number ($63.22) and intrinsic value estimate ($49.49), suggesting severe overvaluation. While recent price performance has been strong over the past year, weak fundamentals and deteriorating growth trends point to elevated downside risk.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 7.33% offers attractive income potential
Strong profitability with ROE of 22.99% and gross margin of 51.48%
Operating margin of 30.63% exceeds sector average
Recent quarterly EPS growth of +170.8% shows short-term earnings rebound
Profit margin of 16.99% remains solid despite sector-wide pressures
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health and limited resilience
Debt/Equity ratio of 7.86 is more than double the sector average (3.56), increasing default risk
Payout ratio of 252.10% implies dividends are not sustainably covered by earnings
Negative YoY revenue (-4.00%) and earnings growth (-10.80%) signal deteriorating fundamentals
Current ratio of 0.86 and quick ratio of 0.73 indicate potential liquidity strain
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$55.0
-77.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
25
30
55
32
40
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals and high financial risk
Key drivers: Severe overvaluation relative to Graham and intrinsic models, High leverage and poor liquidity metrics, Unsustainable dividend payout ratio, Negative earnings and revenue growth trends, Low Piotroski F-Score indicating weak financial health
Confidence
88%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 34.38 is below sector average of 62.43
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of 9.67 is extremely high
- Current price ($243.04) is 3.8x the Graham Number ($63.22)
- Trading far above intrinsic value of $49.49
- No PEG ratio due to negative growth
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E of 18.68 suggests expected earnings improvement
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +170.8% indicates possible turnaround
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY is -4.00%
- Earnings growth YoY is -10.80%
- Q/Q earnings growth is -10.60%
- No analyst target high or low, limited coverage
Past
55/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 1-year price return of +37.1% outperforms peers
- 3-year and 5-year returns are positive
- One earnings beat in last three quarters
Watchpoints
- Only 1 out of 3 recent quarters beat estimates
- Large earnings surprise swing: +92.8% to -73.3%
- Long-term revenue and earnings trends are declining
Health
32/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROE of 22.99% is strong
- Operating cash flow data unavailable but not negative
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Altman Z-Score unavailable due to missing inputs, raising transparency concerns
- Debt/Equity of 7.86 is dangerously high
- Current ratio of 0.86 and quick ratio of 0.73 indicate liquidity risk
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 7.33% is attractive in current rate environment
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 252.10% is unsustainable long-term
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates high risk
- No 5-year average yield to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$243.04
Analyst Target
$190.0
Upside/Downside
-21.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALX and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALX
Alexander's, Inc.
Primary
|
+28.6% | +33.4% | +37.1% | -2.2% | +11.4% | +0.9% |
|
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Peer
|
+49.1% | +20.2% | +23.8% | +5.8% | +2.0% | -2.3% |
|
AAT
American Assets Trust, Inc.
Peer
|
-18.7% | -20.1% | -20.4% | -8.6% | -4.6% | 0.0% |
|
BFS
Saul Centers, Inc.
Peer
|
+35.2% | -8.1% | -6.4% | -1.2% | +1.6% | -1.1% |
|
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
Peer
|
+58.2% | +26.3% | +25.3% | +16.0% | +0.5% | -0.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
34.38
Forward P/E
18.68
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
9.67
P/S Ratio
5.75
EV/Revenue
9.1
EV/EBITDA
18.75
Market Cap
$1.24B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
16.99%
Operating Margin
30.63%
Gross Margin
51.48%
ROE
22.99%
ROA
3.28%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-4.0%
Earnings Growth
-10.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-10.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
7.86
High debt
Current Ratio
0.86
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.73
Poor
Cash/Share
$56.03
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-09
$N/A
2020-08-03
$2.41
+92.8% surprise
2020-05-04
$0.89
-73.3% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing ALX against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector
(1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.38
This Stock
vs
48.41
Sector Avg
-29.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.99%
This Stock
vs
-78.05%
Sector Avg
-129.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
16.99%
This Stock
vs
26.54%
Sector Avg
-36.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
7.86
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
+140.3%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-4.0%
This Stock
vs
1826.76%
Sector Avg
-100.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.86
This Stock
vs
8.06
Sector Avg
-89.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ALX
Alexander's, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.24B | 34.38 | 23.0% | 17.0% | $243.04 | |
|
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real...
|
BEARISH | $1.38B | 11.4 | 7.4% | 51.3% | $9.92 | |
|
AAT
American Assets Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.39B | 17.8 | 7.0% | 14.1% | $17.98 | |
|
BFS
Saul Centers, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.08B | 27.63 | 10.3% | 13.8% | $31.5 | |
|
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.51B | 20.54 | 7.3% | 32.4% | $20.75 |
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ALX from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.